Novartis AG

Novartis AG (NVS) Stock Analysis

$150.380

+3.579 (+2.38%)At close

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High
151.830
Open
150.320
VWAP
150.62
Volume
2.09M
Mkt Cap
217.41B
Low
149.635
Amount
314.85M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
12.06

Novartis AG is a Switzerland-based pharmaceutical company. The Company develops, manufactures, and markets branded and generic prescription drugs, active pharmaceutical ingredients (APIs), biosimilars and ophthalmic products. The Company uses science and digital technologies for treatments in the disease areas of immunology, dermatology, cancer, ophthalmology, neuroscience, respiratory, cardiovascular, renal and metabolism. The business activities of the Company are divided into two segments: Innovative Medicines, which includes innovative patent-protected prescription medicines for blood pressure, cancer and other ailments, and Sandoz, which includes generic pharmaceuticals and biosimilars.

AI analysis of Novartis AG (NVS)

Buy

Novartis AG (NVS) is a good buy right now, trading at $143.75 with a forward P/E of 14.71, indicating potential for growth compared to its current valuation. The recent $7.8 billion deal with Abogen Biosciences highlights Novartis's commitment to innovation in drug development, which is crucial as several blockbuster drugs are facing patent expirations by 2030. Additionally, the stock has shown a solid 11.33% increase over the past year, suggesting a positive long-term trend. However, the main risk is the recent downgrade in price targets from analysts, with Morgan Stanley lowering its target from $170 to $156, reflecting concerns over clinical execution risks. Overall, the strong fundamentals and strategic partnerships position Novartis favorably for long-term investors.

Analyst Ratings (3)

-15.05% Downside
Hold
1 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Current: 150.38
Low
112.00
Average
127.75
High
143.00

Morgan Stanley

2026-10-06

Price Target

$156

Overweight

HSBC

2026-09-10

Price Target

$136

Hold

HSBC

2026-09-09

Price Target

$110

Hold

Citi

2026-09-09

Price Target

$135

Buy

Deutsche Bank

2026-09-09

Price Target

—

Hold

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Novartis AG (NVS) is 14.71, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 13.23.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
13.23
Current P/E
14.71
Overvalued
16.85
Undervalued
9.62

Forward EV/EBITDA

Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
11.65
Current EV/EBITDA
12.06
Overvalued
12.66
Undervalued
10.65

Forward P/S

Fair
5Y Average P/S
4.17
Current P/S
4.55
Overvalued
4.61
Undervalued
3.73

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for NVS

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%NVS

$136.39

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%NVS

$131.84

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%NVS

$120.00

Scenario price

Whales holding NVS

T

Turtle Creek Management, LLC

+ HoldingNVS

+19.09%

3M Return

W

W1M Investment Management Limited

+ HoldingNVS

+14.51%

3M Return

I

Ingalls & Snyder, LLC

+ HoldingNVS

+10.87%

3M Return

S

SOCIETE GENERALE INVESTMENT SOLUTIONS (FRANCE)

+ HoldingNVS

+10.57%

3M Return

J

John W. Bristol & Co., Inc.

+ HoldingNVS

+8.30%

3M Return

M

Mercer Investments LLC

+ HoldingNVS

+8.03%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-10-07 (ET)

12:00:00

Novartis' Rhapsido Approved by FDA for Adult Dermographism

07:30:00

Novartis to Present 46 MS Research Data at MSToronto2026

2026-10-02 (ET)

06:30:00

Abogen Biosciences Enters $575M Agreement with Novartis

2026-09-21 (ET)

10:30:00

Trump Announces U.S. Agreement with Greenland for Security Control

2026-09-18 (ET)

11:25:00

Novartis' Cosentyx Receives Positive Opinion for Polymyalgia Rheumatica in EU

News

NVS FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Novartis AG is a Switzerland-based pharmaceutical company. The Company develops, manufactures, and markets branded and generic prescription drugs, active pharmaceutical ingredients (APIs), biosimilars and ophthalmic products. The Company uses science and digital technologies for treatments in the disease areas of immunology, dermatology, cancer, ophthalmology, neuroscience, respiratory, cardiovascular, renal and metabolism. The business activities of the Company are divided into two segments: Innovative Medicines, which includes innovative patent-protected prescription medicines for blood pressure, cancer and other ailments, and Sandoz, which includes generic pharmaceuticals and biosimilars. It operates in the Healthcare sector (PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS industry).

Novartis AG (NVS) is a good buy right now, trading at $143.75 with a forward P/E of 14.71, indicating potential for growth compared to its current valuation. The recent $7.8 billion deal with Abogen Biosciences highlights Novartis's commitment to innovation in drug development, which is crucial as several blockbuster drugs are facing patent expirations by 2030. Additionally, the stock has shown a solid 11.33% increase over the past year, suggesting a positive long-term trend. However, the main risk is the recent downgrade in price targets from analysts, with Morgan Stanley lowering its target from $170 to $156, reflecting concerns over clinical execution risks. Overall, the strong fundamentals and strategic partnerships position Novartis favorably for long-term investors.

3 analysts cover NVS: 1 rate it Buy, 2 Hold and 0 Sell. The average price target is 127.75.

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This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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