NVR Inc

NVR Inc (NVR) Stock Analysis

$5,733.120

-63.638 (-1.11%)At close

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High
5,740.890
Open
5,706.050
VWAP
5,696.93
Volume
53.94K
Mkt Cap
23.98B
Low
5,616.775
Amount
307.32M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
11.18

NVR, Inc. is engaged in the construction and sale of single-family detached homes, townhomes, and condominium buildings. The Company operates through two segments: homebuilding and mortgage banking. The homebuilding operations primarily construct and sell single-family detached homes, townhomes and condominium buildings under three trade names: Ryan Homes, NVHomes and Heartland Homes, and operate in 37 metropolitan areas in 16 states and Washington, District of Columbia (D.C.). Its mortgage banking operations primarily operate in the homebuilding operations market. Its mortgage banking business consists of origination fees, gains on sales of loans, and title fees. The homebuilding segments are comprised of operating divisions, such as Mid Atlantic, North East, Mid East and South East. Its Mid Atlantic divisions operate in Maryland, Virginia, West Virginia, Delaware and Washington, District of Columbia (D.C.). Its North East division operates in New Jersey and Eastern Pennsylvania.

AI analysis of NVR Inc (NVR)

Hold

NVR is not a good buy right now due to its current price of $5,899.16, which is significantly above the analyst price target of $5,058, indicating potential downside. Additionally, the RSI is at 30.651, suggesting the stock is oversold but may not have immediate upward momentum. The main risk is the high mortgage rates, nearing 7%, which are impacting homebuying demand and could further pressure NVR's margins, which have already decreased to 21.44%.

Analyst Ratings (8)

Hold
2 Buy
6 Hold
0 Sell
Current: 5,733.12
Low
—
Average
—
High
—

Morgan Stanley

2026-10-01

Price Target

$5058

Underweight

BTIG

2026-09-22

Price Target

—

Buy

BofA

2026-07-24

Price Target

—

Buy

UBS

2026-07-24

Price Target

—

Neutral

BTIG

2026-07-24

Price Target

—

Buy

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for NVR Inc (NVR) is 14.79, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 14.82.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
14.82
Current P/E
14.79
Overvalued
17.65
Undervalued
11.99

Forward EV/EBITDA

Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
10.41
Current EV/EBITDA
11.18
Overvalued
12.56
Undervalued
8.26

Forward P/S

Undervalued
5Y Average P/S
2.01
Current P/S
1.60
Overvalued
2.36
Undervalued
1.66

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for NVR

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%NVR

$10,000.00

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%NVR

$8,567.32

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%NVR

$6,734.40

Scenario price

Whales holding NVR

B

Beacon Investment Advisory Services, Inc.

+ HoldingNVR

+3.13%

3M Return

V

Vulcan Value Partners, LLC

+ HoldingNVR

+3.06%

3M Return

O

Osterweis Capital Management, Inc.

+ HoldingNVR

+2.70%

3M Return

V

Van Lanschot Kempen Investment Management N.V.

+ HoldingNVR

+2.02%

3M Return

M

Mercier Van Lanschot NV

+ HoldingNVR

+1.28%

3M Return

G

Giverny Capital Inc.

+ HoldingNVR

+0.83%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-07-23 (ET)

09:30:00

Company Reports Q2 Revenue of $2.33B

2026-05-08 (ET)

17:40:00

NVR Authorizes Stock Buyback of Up to $750M

17:10:00

NVR Authorizes $750M Stock Buyback

2026-04-22 (ET)

16:30:00

U.S. Stocks Rise Broadly on U.S.-Iran Ceasefire News

12:00:00

U.S. Stocks Rise on Ceasefire Agreement, S&P 500 Up 0.81%

News

NVR FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

NVR, Inc. is engaged in the construction and sale of single-family detached homes, townhomes, and condominium buildings. The Company operates through two segments: homebuilding and mortgage banking. The homebuilding operations primarily construct and sell single-family detached homes, townhomes and condominium buildings under three trade names: Ryan Homes, NVHomes and Heartland Homes, and operate in 37 metropolitan areas in 16 states and Washington, District of Columbia (D.C.). Its mortgage banking operations primarily operate in the homebuilding operations market. Its mortgage banking business consists of origination fees, gains on sales of loans, and title fees. The homebuilding segments are comprised of operating divisions, such as Mid Atlantic, North East, Mid East and South East. Its Mid Atlantic divisions operate in Maryland, Virginia, West Virginia, Delaware and Washington, District of Columbia (D.C.). Its North East division operates in New Jersey and Eastern Pennsylvania. It operates in the Consumer Cyclicals sector (OPERATIVE BUILDERS industry).

NVR is not a good buy right now due to its current price of $5,899.16, which is significantly above the analyst price target of $5,058, indicating potential downside. Additionally, the RSI is at 30.651, suggesting the stock is oversold but may not have immediate upward momentum. The main risk is the high mortgage rates, nearing 7%, which are impacting homebuying demand and could further pressure NVR's margins, which have already decreased to 21.44%.

8 analysts cover NVR: 2 rate it Buy, 6 Hold and 0 Sell. The average price target is 8,658.

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This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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