Natera Inc

Natera Inc (NTRA) Stock Analysis

$393.440

-11.016 (-2.80%)At close

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High
410.630
Open
405.760
VWAP
397.11
Volume
1.58M
Mkt Cap
13.51B
Low
387.260
Amount
628.11M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
-194.21

Natera, Inc. provides cell-free DNA (cfDNA) and genetic testing, dedicated to oncology, women’s health, and organ health. The Company's cfDNA technology platform combines novel molecular biology techniques with bioinformatics software and artificial intelligence. It has leveraged its platform to develop non-invasive prenatal test on the market (Panorama), the first tumor-specific assay for truly individualized cancer care (Signatera), best-in-class rejection assessment for kidney transplantation (Prospera) and others. In the women’s health space, it develops and commercializes non- or minimally- invasive tests to evaluate risk for, and thereby enable early detection of, a range of genetic conditions, such as Down syndrome. In oncology, it is focused on detecting molecular residual disease and recurrence monitoring in solid tumors, among others. In organ health, it offers tests to assess kidney, heart, and lung transplant rejection as well as genetic testing for chronic kidney disease.

AI analysis of Natera Inc (NTRA)

Buy

Natera Inc is a good buy right now due to its recent regulatory approval for the Signatera test in Japan, which is expected to significantly boost revenue. The current price of $393.44 is below the median analyst target of $435, suggesting a potential upside of approximately 10.5%. Additionally, the company has shown a remarkable year-to-date change of +71.93% and a one-year change of +108.61%, indicating strong momentum. However, the main risk is the high forward P/E ratio of 5000, reflecting uncertainty in future earnings.

Analyst Ratings (6)

-33.17% Downside
Buy
6 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Current: 393.44
Low
205.00
Average
262.92
High
300.00

Morgan Stanley

2026-10-12

Price Target

$435

Overweight

Barclays

2026-10-07

Price Target

$475

Overweight

Citi

2026-10-06

Price Target

$480

Buy

Guggenheim

2026-10-01

Price Target

$475

Buy

RBC Capital

2026-09-25

Price Target

$460

Outperform

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Natera Inc (NTRA) is 5000.00, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 102.09.

Forward P/E

Strongly Overvalued
5Y Average P/E
102.09
Current P/E
5000.00
Overvalued
944.48
Undervalued
-740.30

Forward EV/EBITDA

Undervalued
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
-62.32
Current EV/EBITDA
-194.21
Overvalued
8.99
Undervalued
-133.63

Forward P/S

Strongly Overvalued
5Y Average P/S
8.26
Current P/S
16.59
Overvalued
11.45
Undervalued
5.07

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for NTRA

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%NTRA

$331.47

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%NTRA

$269.67

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%NTRA

$245.12

Scenario price

Whales holding NTRA

B

Braidwell LP

+ HoldingNTRA

+15.28%

3M Return

D

Duquesne Family Office LLC

+ HoldingNTRA

+8.54%

3M Return

S

Sofinnova Investments, Inc.

+ HoldingNTRAUTHR

+7.79%

3M Return

M

Maverick Capital, Ltd.

+ HoldingNTRA

+4.09%

3M Return

C

Chevy Chase Trust Company

+ HoldingNTRA

+4.00%

3M Return

S

Sterling Capital Management LLC

+ HoldingNTRA

+3.59%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-10-13 (ET)

08:00:00

Natera and TransCode Collaborate on Colorectal Cancer Research

2026-10-09 (ET)

08:30:00

Natera Receives FDA Breakthrough Device Designation

2026-10-07 (ET)

08:30:00

Natera Launches Signatera-Guided Melanoma Trial

2026-10-05 (ET)

08:30:00

AFT and Natera Launch AFT-70 NAVIGATE Clinical Trial

2026-09-24 (ET)

09:30:00

BTIG Analyst Says Grail Cancer Test Received Positive FDA Vote

News

NTRA FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Natera, Inc. provides cell-free DNA (cfDNA) and genetic testing, dedicated to oncology, women’s health, and organ health. The Company's cfDNA technology platform combines novel molecular biology techniques with bioinformatics software and artificial intelligence. It has leveraged its platform to develop non-invasive prenatal test on the market (Panorama), the first tumor-specific assay for truly individualized cancer care (Signatera), best-in-class rejection assessment for kidney transplantation (Prospera) and others. In the women’s health space, it develops and commercializes non- or minimally- invasive tests to evaluate risk for, and thereby enable early detection of, a range of genetic conditions, such as Down syndrome. In oncology, it is focused on detecting molecular residual disease and recurrence monitoring in solid tumors, among others. In organ health, it offers tests to assess kidney, heart, and lung transplant rejection as well as genetic testing for chronic kidney disease. It operates in the Healthcare sector (SERVICES-MEDICAL LABORATORIES industry).

Natera Inc is a good buy right now due to its recent regulatory approval for the Signatera test in Japan, which is expected to significantly boost revenue. The current price of $393.44 is below the median analyst target of $435, suggesting a potential upside of approximately 10.5%. Additionally, the company has shown a remarkable year-to-date change of +71.93% and a one-year change of +108.61%, indicating strong momentum. However, the main risk is the high forward P/E ratio of 5000, reflecting uncertainty in future earnings.

6 analysts cover NTRA: 6 rate it Buy, 0 Hold and 0 Sell. The average price target is 262.92.

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This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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