Mercury Systems Inc

Mercury Systems Inc (MRCY) Stock Analysis

$88.540

-1.886 (-2.13%)At close

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High
90.700
Open
90.620
VWAP
89.07
Vol
641.31K
Mkt Cap
1.59B
Low
87.970
Amount
57.12M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
64.19

Mercury Systems, Inc. is a technology company that delivers mission-critical processing to the edge where signals and data are collected to solve the most pressing aerospace and defense challenges. The Mercury Processing Platform spans the full breadth of signal processing from radio frequency (RF) front end to the human-machine interface to convert data, gathered in remote and hostile environments, into critical decisions. The Company offers products and custom solutions from silicon to system scale, including components, modules, subsystems, and systems. Its products and solutions are deployed for a variety of applications including sensor and radar processing, electronic warfare, avionics, weapons, command, control, communications, and intelligence (C4I). The Company serves United States and European defense prime contractors, the United States government, original equipment manufacturers (OEM) and commercial aerospace companies.

www.mrcy.com

AI analysis of Mercury Systems Inc (MRCY)

hold

Mercury Systems Inc is currently a hold. The stock is priced at $88.54, which is below several analyst price targets, including $130 from Baird and $120 from Truist. However, the stock has an RSI of 25.64, indicating it is oversold, and a forward P/E of 54.64, suggesting high valuation concerns. The recent decline in profitability, with a net profit margin of only 0.28% in Q4 2026, raises caution. While the backlog is strong at $1.9 billion, the significant insider selling (up 163.42%) and hedge fund selling (up 387.56%) indicate potential risks. Therefore, while there are growth prospects, the current market sentiment and profitability issues suggest holding rather than buying.

Analyst Ratings (9)

-8.29% downside
Buy
7 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Current: 88.54
Low
49.00
Average
81.20
High
102.00

Baird

2026-08-24

Price Target

$130

Outperform

Truist

2026-08-20

Price Target

$120

Buy

Canaccord

2026-08-20

Price Target

$128

Buy

RBC Capital

2026-08-19

Price Target

$120

Outperform

Piper Sandler

2026-08-19

Price Target

$131

Overweight

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Mercury Systems Inc (MRCY) is 54.64, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 141.07.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
141.07
Current P/E
54.64
Overvalued
458.30
Undervalued
-176.16

Forward EV/EBITDA

Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
-10.15
Current EV/EBITDA
64.19
Overvalued
163.40
Undervalued
-183.71

Forward P/S

Overvalued
5Y Average P/S
3.19
Current P/S
4.45
Overvalued
4.29
Undervalued
2.09

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for MRCY

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%MRCY

$53.42

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%MRCY

$45.18

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%MRCY

$35.22

Scenario price

Whales holding MRCY

P

Peregrine Capital Management, LLC

+ HoldingMRCY

+6.74%

3M Return

S

Snyder Capital Management, L.P.

+ HoldingMRCY

+5.37%

3M Return

S

Segall Bryant & Hamill, LLC

+ HoldingMRCY

-2.63%

3M Return

E

Emerald Advisers, LLC

+ HoldingMRCY

-6.34%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-08-19 (ET)

12:00:00

Major Averages Rise as Bond Yields Slip

09:00:00

SK Hynix Approves 40 Trillion Won Share Buyback

2026-08-18 (ET)

19:30:00

NASDAQ Drops 1.3% as US Stocks Retreat

2026-08-03 (ET)

09:00:00

Mercury Systems and Palantir Announce Strategic Agreement

2026-05-28 (ET)

17:10:00

Mercury Systems Secures Contract for 1,000 RTBX06 Servers with Blue Raven

News

MRCY FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Mercury Systems, Inc. is a technology company that delivers mission-critical processing to the edge where signals and data are collected to solve the most pressing aerospace and defense challenges. The Mercury Processing Platform spans the full breadth of signal processing from radio frequency (RF) front end to the human-machine interface to convert data, gathered in remote and hostile environments, into critical decisions. The Company offers products and custom solutions from silicon to system scale, including components, modules, subsystems, and systems. Its products and solutions are deployed for a variety of applications including sensor and radar processing, electronic warfare, avionics, weapons, command, control, communications, and intelligence (C4I). The Company serves United States and European defense prime contractors, the United States government, original equipment manufacturers (OEM) and commercial aerospace companies. It operates in the Industrials sector (ELECTRONIC COMPONENTS & ACCESSORIES industry).

Mercury Systems Inc is currently a hold. The stock is priced at $88.54, which is below several analyst price targets, including $130 from Baird and $120 from Truist. However, the stock has an RSI of 25.64, indicating it is oversold, and a forward P/E of 54.64, suggesting high valuation concerns. The recent decline in profitability, with a net profit margin of only 0.28% in Q4 2026, raises caution. While the backlog is strong at $1.9 billion, the significant insider selling (up 163.42%) and hedge fund selling (up 387.56%) indicate potential risks. Therefore, while there are growth prospects, the current market sentiment and profitability issues suggest holding rather than buying.

9 analysts cover MRCY: 7 rate it Buy, 2 Hold and 0 Sell. The average price target is 81.20.

This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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