Mercury Systems Inc

Mercury Systems Inc (MRCY) Stock Analysis

$75.990

+1.763 (+2.32%)At close

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High
76.835
Open
75.170
VWAP
75.73
Volume
576.09K
Mkt Cap
1.59B
Low
74.360
Amount
43.63M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
56.08

Mercury Systems, Inc. is a technology company that delivers mission-critical processing to the edge where signals and data are collected to solve the most pressing aerospace and defense challenges. The Mercury Processing Platform spans the full breadth of signal processing from radio frequency (RF) front end to the human-machine interface to convert data, gathered in remote and hostile environments, into critical decisions. The Company offers products and custom solutions from silicon to system scale, including components, modules, subsystems, and systems. Its products and solutions are deployed for a variety of applications including sensor and radar processing, electronic warfare, avionics, weapons, command, control, communications, and intelligence (C4I). The Company serves United States and European defense prime contractors, the United States government, original equipment manufacturers (OEM) and commercial aerospace companies.

www.mrcy.com

AI analysis of Mercury Systems Inc (MRCY)

Sell

Mercury Systems Inc is not a good buy right now due to its current price of $74.27, which is significantly below the analyst price targets of $115 and $130, indicating potential upside. However, the stock has an RSI of 20.948, suggesting it is oversold, but the negative sentiment from insider selling (up 163.42%) and hedge fund selling (up 387.56%) raises concerns about future performance. The main risk is the forward P/E ratio of 50, indicating high valuation expectations that may not be met.

Analyst Ratings (9)

+6.86% upside
Buy
7 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Current: 75.99
Low
49.00
Average
81.20
High
102.00

Guggenheim

2026-09-14

Price Target

$115

Buy

Baird

2026-08-24

Price Target

$130

Outperform

Truist

2026-08-20

Price Target

$120

Buy

Canaccord

2026-08-20

Price Target

$128

Buy

RBC Capital

2026-08-19

Price Target

$120

Outperform

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Mercury Systems Inc (MRCY) is 50.00, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 141.82.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
141.82
Current P/E
50.00
Overvalued
458.66
Undervalued
-175.02

Forward EV/EBITDA

Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
-8.81
Current EV/EBITDA
56.08
Overvalued
165.03
Undervalued
-182.65

Forward P/S

Fair
5Y Average P/S
3.23
Current P/S
3.82
Overvalued
4.34
Undervalued
2.13

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for MRCY

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%MRCY

$53.42

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%MRCY

$45.18

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%MRCY

$35.22

Scenario price

Whales holding MRCY

K

Kennedy Capital Management LLC

+ HoldingMRCY

-2.59%

3M Return

S

Segall Bryant & Hamill, LLC

+ HoldingMRCY

-3.88%

3M Return

E

Emerald Advisers, LLC

+ HoldingMRCY

-13.40%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-10-08 (ET)

17:00:00

Mercury Systems Expands Phoenix Facility by 50,000 Square Feet

2026-09-16 (ET)

16:30:00

Stocks Fall as Fed Raises Rates, S&P 500 Drops 0.45%

12:30:00

Stocks Inch Higher as Markets Assess Rate Hike Impact

08:30:00

Mercury Systems Extends CEO Bill Ballhaus Contract to 2030

08:30:00

Company Reaffirms FY27 Adjusted EBITDA Guidance at $200M

News

MRCY FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Mercury Systems, Inc. is a technology company that delivers mission-critical processing to the edge where signals and data are collected to solve the most pressing aerospace and defense challenges. The Mercury Processing Platform spans the full breadth of signal processing from radio frequency (RF) front end to the human-machine interface to convert data, gathered in remote and hostile environments, into critical decisions. The Company offers products and custom solutions from silicon to system scale, including components, modules, subsystems, and systems. Its products and solutions are deployed for a variety of applications including sensor and radar processing, electronic warfare, avionics, weapons, command, control, communications, and intelligence (C4I). The Company serves United States and European defense prime contractors, the United States government, original equipment manufacturers (OEM) and commercial aerospace companies. It operates in the Industrials sector (ELECTRONIC COMPONENTS & ACCESSORIES industry).

Mercury Systems Inc is not a good buy right now due to its current price of $74.27, which is significantly below the analyst price targets of $115 and $130, indicating potential upside. However, the stock has an RSI of 20.948, suggesting it is oversold, but the negative sentiment from insider selling (up 163.42%) and hedge fund selling (up 387.56%) raises concerns about future performance. The main risk is the forward P/E ratio of 50, indicating high valuation expectations that may not be met.

9 analysts cover MRCY: 7 rate it Buy, 2 Hold and 0 Sell. The average price target is 81.20.

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This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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