Mercury Systems Inc

Mercury Systems Inc (MRCY) Stock Analysis

$76.410

+0.726 (+0.95%)At close

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High
76.660
Open
74.860
VWAP
75.44
Volume
471.26K
Mkt Cap
1.59B
Low
73.250
Amount
35.55M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
56.38

Mercury Systems, Inc. is a technology company that delivers mission-critical processing to the edge where signals and data are collected to solve the most pressing aerospace and defense challenges. The Mercury Processing Platform spans the full breadth of signal processing from radio frequency (RF) front end to the human-machine interface to convert data, gathered in remote and hostile environments, into critical decisions. The Company offers products and custom solutions from silicon to system scale, including components, modules, subsystems, and systems. Its products and solutions are deployed for a variety of applications including sensor and radar processing, electronic warfare, avionics, weapons, command, control, communications, and intelligence (C4I). The Company serves United States and European defense prime contractors, the United States government, original equipment manufacturers (OEM) and commercial aerospace companies.

www.mrcy.com

AI analysis of Mercury Systems Inc (MRCY)

Hold

Mercury Systems Inc is currently a hold. The stock is trading at $79.49, with a forward P/E of 50, which suggests that while there is growth potential, the valuation is high. The RSI is at 34.014, indicating the stock is oversold, but the recent 5-day decline of 6.34% raises concerns about short-term performance. The company has shown some recovery in net income, with a slight profit of $798,000 in Q4 2026, but the overall financial performance remains mixed with a net loss of $29.7 million over the last year. The main risk is the significant insider selling, which increased by 163.42% over the last month, potentially signaling a lack of confidence among insiders.

Analyst Ratings (9)

+6.27% upside
Buy
7 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Current: 76.41
Low
49.00
Average
81.20
High
102.00

Guggenheim

2026-09-14

Price Target

$115

Buy

Baird

2026-08-24

Price Target

$130

Outperform

Truist

2026-08-20

Price Target

$120

Buy

Canaccord

2026-08-20

Price Target

$128

Buy

RBC Capital

2026-08-19

Price Target

$120

Outperform

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Mercury Systems Inc (MRCY) is 50.00, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 141.78.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
141.78
Current P/E
50.00
Overvalued
458.63
Undervalued
-175.07

Forward EV/EBITDA

Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
-8.87
Current EV/EBITDA
56.38
Overvalued
164.95
Undervalued
-182.70

Forward P/S

Fair
5Y Average P/S
3.23
Current P/S
3.84
Overvalued
4.34
Undervalued
2.12

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for MRCY

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%MRCY

$53.42

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%MRCY

$45.18

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%MRCY

$35.22

Scenario price

Whales holding MRCY

P

Peregrine Capital Management, LLC

+ HoldingMRCY

+10.78%

3M Return

S

Snyder Capital Management, L.P.

+ HoldingMRCY

+4.53%

3M Return

A

American Capital Management, Inc.

+ HoldingMRCY

+3.92%

3M Return

O

Oberweis Asset Management, Inc.

+ HoldingMRCY

-2.98%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-10-08 (ET)

17:00:00

Mercury Systems Expands Phoenix Facility by 50,000 Square Feet

2026-09-16 (ET)

16:30:00

Stocks Fall as Fed Raises Rates, S&P 500 Drops 0.45%

12:30:00

Stocks Inch Higher as Markets Assess Rate Hike Impact

08:30:00

Company Reaffirms FY27 Adjusted EBITDA Guidance at $200M

08:30:00

Mercury Systems Extends CEO Bill Ballhaus Contract to 2030

News

MRCY FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Mercury Systems, Inc. is a technology company that delivers mission-critical processing to the edge where signals and data are collected to solve the most pressing aerospace and defense challenges. The Mercury Processing Platform spans the full breadth of signal processing from radio frequency (RF) front end to the human-machine interface to convert data, gathered in remote and hostile environments, into critical decisions. The Company offers products and custom solutions from silicon to system scale, including components, modules, subsystems, and systems. Its products and solutions are deployed for a variety of applications including sensor and radar processing, electronic warfare, avionics, weapons, command, control, communications, and intelligence (C4I). The Company serves United States and European defense prime contractors, the United States government, original equipment manufacturers (OEM) and commercial aerospace companies. It operates in the Industrials sector (ELECTRONIC COMPONENTS & ACCESSORIES industry).

Mercury Systems Inc is currently a hold. The stock is trading at $79.49, with a forward P/E of 50, which suggests that while there is growth potential, the valuation is high. The RSI is at 34.014, indicating the stock is oversold, but the recent 5-day decline of 6.34% raises concerns about short-term performance. The company has shown some recovery in net income, with a slight profit of $798,000 in Q4 2026, but the overall financial performance remains mixed with a net loss of $29.7 million over the last year. The main risk is the significant insider selling, which increased by 163.42% over the last month, potentially signaling a lack of confidence among insiders.

9 analysts cover MRCY: 7 rate it Buy, 2 Hold and 0 Sell. The average price target is 81.20.

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This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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