MP Materials Corp

MP Materials Corp (MP) Stock Analysis

$41.610

+1.731 (+4.16%)At close

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High
41.705
Open
38.800
VWAP
40.64
Volume
6.60M
Mkt Cap
2.12B
Low
38.597
Amount
268.06M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
-4,188.51

MP Materials Corp. produces specialty materials that are vital inputs for electrification and other advanced technologies. The Company owns and operates the Mountain Pass Rare Earth Mine and Processing Facility (Mountain Pass) located in California. It is also developing a rare earth metal, alloy and magnet manufacturing facility in Fort Worth, Texas (Independence Facility). The Company’s segments include Materials and Magnetics. The Materials segment operates Mountain Pass, which produces refined rare earth products as well as rare earth concentrate and related products. The Materials segment primarily generates revenue from sales of rare earth concentrate, primarily sold for further distribution to a single, principal customer in China, and sales of neodymium-praseodymium (NdPr) oxide and metal, primarily sold to customers in Japan, South Korea, and broader Asia. The Magnetics segment operates the Independence Facility, where it produces magnetic precursor products.

AI analysis of MP Materials Corp (MP)

Sell

Given the current price of $46.14 and the downward revisions of analyst price targets, MP Materials Corp is not a good buy right now. The stock has a low RSI of 39.46, indicating it is oversold, but the significant 1-year change of -51.46% and negative earnings reports suggest further declines could occur. The main risk is the forward P/E ratio of 47.39, which indicates high valuation despite poor earnings performance.

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for MP Materials Corp (MP) is 47.39, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 180.60.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
180.60
Current P/E
47.39
Overvalued
626.76
Undervalued
-265.57

Forward EV/EBITDA

Strongly Undervalued
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
135.07
Current EV/EBITDA
-4188.51
Overvalued
981.50
Undervalued
-711.36

Forward P/S

Undervalued
5Y Average P/S
14.46
Current P/S
8.99
Overvalued
19.18
Undervalued
9.75

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for MP

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%MP

$38.29

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%MP

$29.35

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%MP

$26.36

Scenario price

Whales holding MP

T

Tokio Marine Asset Management Co., Ltd.

+ HoldingMP

+4.92%

3M Return

O

Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation Limited

+ HoldingMP

+3.97%

3M Return

R

Rokos Capital Management LLP

+ HoldingMP

-0.24%

3M Return

F

Foundations Investment Advisors LLC

+ HoldingMP

-2.19%

3M Return

W

W. H. Reaves & Co., Inc.

+ HoldingMP

-5.98%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-09-24 (ET)

09:00:00

Significant Increases in Indicative Borrow Rates for Liquid Options

2026-09-04 (ET)

09:00:00

August Jobs Report Strong, Stock Futures Mixed at Open

2026-06-23 (ET)

16:30:00

Nasdaq Sinks Amid Broad Tech Selloff

12:00:00

Global Markets Hit by Tech Stock Selloff

News

MP FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

MP Materials Corp. produces specialty materials that are vital inputs for electrification and other advanced technologies. The Company owns and operates the Mountain Pass Rare Earth Mine and Processing Facility (Mountain Pass) located in California. It is also developing a rare earth metal, alloy and magnet manufacturing facility in Fort Worth, Texas (Independence Facility). The Company’s segments include Materials and Magnetics. The Materials segment operates Mountain Pass, which produces refined rare earth products as well as rare earth concentrate and related products. The Materials segment primarily generates revenue from sales of rare earth concentrate, primarily sold for further distribution to a single, principal customer in China, and sales of neodymium-praseodymium (NdPr) oxide and metal, primarily sold to customers in Japan, South Korea, and broader Asia. The Magnetics segment operates the Independence Facility, where it produces magnetic precursor products. It operates in the Basic Materials sector (METAL MINING industry).

Given the current price of $46.14 and the downward revisions of analyst price targets, MP Materials Corp is not a good buy right now. The stock has a low RSI of 39.46, indicating it is oversold, but the significant 1-year change of -51.46% and negative earnings reports suggest further declines could occur. The main risk is the forward P/E ratio of 47.39, which indicates high valuation despite poor earnings performance.

Community

More ↗
neonkettle609/21/2026

$CRML $MP Rare earth sector is waking up, top sector today $CRML long for us Check the full sector list below. Some nice swing setups if it holds up.

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FlashMonk9/15/2026

$MP when I see the 5-day EMA (green line) cross below any moving average, that's a sign of negative momentum. If the 5-day crosses below all the moving averages, that is no place to start a position, IMO.

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This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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