Main Street Capital Corp

Main Street Capital Corp (MAIN) Stock Analysis

$54.270

+0.781 (+1.44%)At close

Loading chart…
High
54.880
Open
53.620
VWAP
54.14
Volume
565.03K
Mkt Cap
4.30B
Low
53.280
Amount
30.59M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
13.50

Main Street Capital Corporation is a principal investment company that primarily provides customized long-term debt and equity capital solutions to lower middle market (LMM) companies and debt capital to private companies owned by or in the process of being acquired by a private equity fund. Its portfolio investments are typically made to support management buyouts, recapitalizations, growth financings, refinancings and acquisitions of companies that operate in a variety of industry sectors. The Company invests primarily in secured debt investments, equity investments, warrants and other securities of LMM companies based in the United States and in secured debt investments of private loan companies generally headquartered in the United States. It owns several investment funds, including Main Street Mezzanine Fund, LP and Main Street Capital III, LP, (the Funds), and each of their general partners. MSC Adviser I, LLC, serves as an investment adviser.

AI analysis of Main Street Capital Corp (MAIN)

Hold

Main Street Capital Corp is currently not a strong buy. The stock is priced at $53.74, which is below the average analyst price target of $57, suggesting limited upside. Additionally, the RSI of 27.295 indicates that the stock is oversold, but the recent trend shows a 12.97% year-to-date decline, signaling potential ongoing weakness. The main risk is the company's tight dividend coverage, as highlighted by Wells Fargo, which could impact future payouts.

Analyst Ratings (6)

+20.38% upside
Hold
1 Buy
4 Hold
1 Sell
Current: 54.27
Low
60.00
Average
65.33
High
70.00

UBS

2026-10-09

Price Target

$57

Neutral

Wells Fargo

2026-09-29

Price Target

$60

Overweight

Truist

2026-08-10

Price Target

$57

Buy

Wells Fargo

2026-08-10

Price Target

$55

Equal Weight

Truist

2026-05-19

Price Target

$53

Hold

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Main Street Capital Corp (MAIN) is 16.08, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 13.07.

Forward P/E

Overvalued
5Y Average P/E
13.07
Current P/E
16.08
Overvalued
15.53
Undervalued
10.60

Forward EV/EBITDA

Strongly Overvalued
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
2.27
Current EV/EBITDA
13.50
Overvalued
7.59
Undervalued
-3.06

Forward P/S

Fair
5Y Average P/S
8.03
Current P/S
7.97
Overvalued
9.29
Undervalued
6.76

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for MAIN

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%MAIN

$59.61

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%MAIN

$51.31

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%MAIN

$44.46

Scenario price

Whales holding MAIN

A

Adell, Harriman & Carpenter, Inc.

+ HoldingMAIN

+2.95%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-10-15 (ET)

07:30:00

Preliminary Q3 NAV Increases to $34.18-$34.26

2026-08-28 (ET)

09:00:00

Significant Increases in Indicative Borrow Rates for Liquid Options

2026-08-06 (ET)

16:30:00

Main Street Reports Significant Increase in Net Asset Value in Q2

2026-07-16 (ET)

07:30:00

Main Street Q2 Net Asset Value Per Share Rises to $33.88-$33.96

2026-05-07 (ET)

16:30:00

Main Street's Q1 2026 Net Asset Value Increases to $33.46 per Share

News

MAIN FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Main Street Capital Corporation is a principal investment company that primarily provides customized long-term debt and equity capital solutions to lower middle market (LMM) companies and debt capital to private companies owned by or in the process of being acquired by a private equity fund. Its portfolio investments are typically made to support management buyouts, recapitalizations, growth financings, refinancings and acquisitions of companies that operate in a variety of industry sectors. The Company invests primarily in secured debt investments, equity investments, warrants and other securities of LMM companies based in the United States and in secured debt investments of private loan companies generally headquartered in the United States. It owns several investment funds, including Main Street Mezzanine Fund, LP and Main Street Capital III, LP, (the Funds), and each of their general partners. MSC Adviser I, LLC, serves as an investment adviser. It operates in the Financials sector.

Main Street Capital Corp is currently not a strong buy. The stock is priced at $53.74, which is below the average analyst price target of $57, suggesting limited upside. Additionally, the RSI of 27.295 indicates that the stock is oversold, but the recent trend shows a 12.97% year-to-date decline, signaling potential ongoing weakness. The main risk is the company's tight dividend coverage, as highlighted by Wells Fargo, which could impact future payouts.

6 analysts cover MAIN: 1 rate it Buy, 4 Hold and 1 Sell. The average price target is 65.33.

Community

More ↗

No posts yet

Sign up or log in to join the discussion

This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Start trading