Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc

Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc (IVR) Stock Analysis

$7.360

-0.060 (-0.81%)At close

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High
7.450
Open
7.410
VWAP
7.38
Vol
2.14M
Mkt Cap
451.64M
Low
7.320
Amount
15.80M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
32.75

Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. is a real estate investment trust that focuses on investing in, financing and managing mortgage-backed securities and other mortgage-related assets. Its objective is to provide attractive risk-adjusted returns to its stockholders, primarily through dividends and secondarily through capital appreciation. It invests in residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) that are guaranteed by a United States government agency, such as the Government National Mortgage Association (Ginnie Mae), or a federally chartered corporation, such as the Federal National Mortgage Association (Fannie Mae) or the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation (Freddie Mac) (Agency RMBS). It also invests in commercial mortgage-backed securities and RMBS that are not guaranteed by a U.S. government agency or a federally chartered corporation. It conducts its business through its subsidiary, IAS Operating Partnership L.P., and is externally managed and advised by Invesco Advisers, Inc.

AI analysis of Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc (IVR)

hold

Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc (IVR) is currently priced at $7.36, with a forward P/E of 3.885, indicating potential undervaluation. However, the RSI is at 32.864, suggesting the stock is oversold, which could lead to a short-term rebound. The main risk is the declining net income trend, with a recent loss of $23.12 million in Q1 2026, which raises concerns about profitability.

Analyst Ratings (4)

+22.28% upside
Buy
2 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Current: 7.36
Low
9.00
Average
9.00
High
9.00

UBS

2026-08-19

Price Target

Neutral

BofA

2026-08-10

Price Target

Underperform

BofA

2026-03-30

Price Target

Underperform

BofA

2026-01-25

Price Target

Underperform

Compass Point

2025-12-15

Price Target

$9

Buy

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc (IVR) is 3.88, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 3.55.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
3.55
Current P/E
3.88
Overvalued
5.06
Undervalued
2.04

Forward EV/EBITDA

Overvalued
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
5.06
Current EV/EBITDA
32.75
Overvalued
20.10
Undervalued
-9.98

Forward P/S

Fair
5Y Average P/S
2.70
Current P/S
3.09
Overvalued
3.60
Undervalued
1.80

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for IVR

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%IVR

$6.73

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%IVR

$5.31

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%IVR

$4.98

Scenario price

Whales holding IVR

W

Wolverine Asset Management, LLC

+ HoldingIVR

-13.87%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-04-30 (ET)

16:30:00

Q1 Book Value Per Share Declines to $8.08

2026-04-14 (ET)

16:20:00

Invesco Appoints Kevin Collins as CEO

2026-02-23 (ET)

16:40:00

Invesco Mortgage Files Automatic Mixed Securities Shelf

2026-01-29 (ET)

16:30:00

CEO Anzalone: Q4 Book Value Per Share Increases to $8.72

2025-12-18 (ET)

16:20:00

Invesco Mortgage Capital Declares Q4 2025 Cash Dividend of $0.36 per Share

News

IVR FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. is a real estate investment trust that focuses on investing in, financing and managing mortgage-backed securities and other mortgage-related assets. Its objective is to provide attractive risk-adjusted returns to its stockholders, primarily through dividends and secondarily through capital appreciation. It invests in residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) that are guaranteed by a United States government agency, such as the Government National Mortgage Association (Ginnie Mae), or a federally chartered corporation, such as the Federal National Mortgage Association (Fannie Mae) or the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation (Freddie Mac) (Agency RMBS). It also invests in commercial mortgage-backed securities and RMBS that are not guaranteed by a U.S. government agency or a federally chartered corporation. It conducts its business through its subsidiary, IAS Operating Partnership L.P., and is externally managed and advised by Invesco Advisers, Inc. It operates in the Real Estate sector (REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS industry).

Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc (IVR) is currently priced at $7.36, with a forward P/E of 3.885, indicating potential undervaluation. However, the RSI is at 32.864, suggesting the stock is oversold, which could lead to a short-term rebound. The main risk is the declining net income trend, with a recent loss of $23.12 million in Q1 2026, which raises concerns about profitability.

4 analysts cover IVR: 2 rate it Buy, 2 Hold and 0 Sell. The average price target is 9.00.

This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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