Hillman Solutions Corp

Hillman Solutions Corp (HLMN) Stock Analysis

$7.770

-0.079 (-1.02%)At close

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High
7.940
Open
7.860
VWAP
7.82
Vol
902.13K
Mkt Cap
1.73B
Low
7.745
Amount
7.05M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
7.74

Hillman Solutions Corp. is a provider of hardware-related products and related merchandising services to retail markets in North America. The Company's segments include Hardware and Protective Solutions, Robotics and Digital Solutions, and Canada. The Hardware and Protective Solutions segment includes a variety of product categories including fasteners, builders hardware, wall hanging, threaded rod and metal shapes; rope and chain; letters, numbers, and signs (LNS); and personal protective equipment, such as gloves and eyewear. The Robotics and Digital Solutions segment consists primarily of software-enabled robotic key duplication and engraving solutions that are tailored to the needs of the consumer. The Canada segment distributes fasteners and related hardware items, threaded rods, keys, key duplicating systems, accessories, and identification items, such as tags and letters, numbers, and signs to hardware stores, home centers, mass merchants, and industrial distributors.

AI analysis of Hillman Solutions Corp (HLMN)

hold

Hillman Solutions Corp is currently not a strong buy due to its low RSI of 17.93, indicating it is oversold, and a current price of $7.77, which is significantly below the analyst price target range of $10 to $14. The recent acquisition of Kanebridge is a positive catalyst, expected to contribute $15 million in net sales and $5 million in adjusted EBITDA, enhancing future growth potential. However, the risk is highlighted by a 20.96% decline over the past year and increased insider selling by 145.90%, which raises concerns about management confidence.

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Hillman Solutions Corp (HLMN) is 13.16, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 22.77.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
22.77
Current P/E
13.16
Overvalued
34.31
Undervalued
11.23

Forward EV/EBITDA

Undervalued
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
11.63
Current EV/EBITDA
7.74
Overvalued
14.07
Undervalued
9.18

Forward P/S

Undervalued
5Y Average P/S
1.15
Current P/S
0.85
Overvalued
1.32
Undervalued
0.97

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for HLMN

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%HLMN

$6.96

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%HLMN

$6.60

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%HLMN

$4.91

Scenario price

Whales holding HLMN

P

Punch & Associates Investment Management, Inc.

+ HoldingHLMN

+1.32%

3M Return

R

Reinhart Partners, LLC

+ HoldingHLMN

+0.69%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-08-03 (ET)

17:30:00

Hillman Solutions Acquires Kanebridge for $315M

17:00:00

Company Raises FY26 Net Sales Guidance to $1.66B

17:00:00

Hillman Reports Q2 Revenue of $442.25M, Beating Expectations

2026-07-13 (ET)

12:30:00

Major Averages Decline Amid Rising Geopolitical Tensions

08:00:00

Company Reports Preliminary Q2 Adjusted EBITDA of $76M-$78M

News

HLMN FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Hillman Solutions Corp. is a provider of hardware-related products and related merchandising services to retail markets in North America. The Company's segments include Hardware and Protective Solutions, Robotics and Digital Solutions, and Canada. The Hardware and Protective Solutions segment includes a variety of product categories including fasteners, builders hardware, wall hanging, threaded rod and metal shapes; rope and chain; letters, numbers, and signs (LNS); and personal protective equipment, such as gloves and eyewear. The Robotics and Digital Solutions segment consists primarily of software-enabled robotic key duplication and engraving solutions that are tailored to the needs of the consumer. The Canada segment distributes fasteners and related hardware items, threaded rods, keys, key duplicating systems, accessories, and identification items, such as tags and letters, numbers, and signs to hardware stores, home centers, mass merchants, and industrial distributors. It operates in the Industrials sector (CUTLERY, HANDTOOLS & GENERAL HARDWARE industry).

Hillman Solutions Corp is currently not a strong buy due to its low RSI of 17.93, indicating it is oversold, and a current price of $7.77, which is significantly below the analyst price target range of $10 to $14. The recent acquisition of Kanebridge is a positive catalyst, expected to contribute $15 million in net sales and $5 million in adjusted EBITDA, enhancing future growth potential. However, the risk is highlighted by a 20.96% decline over the past year and increased insider selling by 145.90%, which raises concerns about management confidence.

This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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