Hillman Solutions Corp

Hillman Solutions Corp (HLMN) Stock Analysis

$7.370

+0.112 (+1.52%)At close

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High
7.445
Open
7.200
VWAP
7.34
Volume
4.86M
Mkt Cap
1.73B
Low
7.200
Amount
35.70M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
7.18

Hillman Solutions Corp. is a provider of hardware-related products and related merchandising services to retail markets in North America. The Company's segments include Hardware and Protective Solutions, Robotics and Digital Solutions, and Canada. The Hardware and Protective Solutions segment includes a variety of product categories including fasteners, builders hardware, wall hanging, threaded rod and metal shapes; rope and chain; letters, numbers, and signs (LNS); and personal protective equipment, such as gloves and eyewear. The Robotics and Digital Solutions segment consists primarily of software-enabled robotic key duplication and engraving solutions that are tailored to the needs of the consumer. The Canada segment distributes fasteners and related hardware items, threaded rods, keys, key duplicating systems, accessories, and identification items, such as tags and letters, numbers, and signs to hardware stores, home centers, mass merchants, and industrial distributors.

AI analysis of Hillman Solutions Corp (HLMN)

Buy

Hillman Solutions Corp (HLMN) appears to be a good buy right now due to its recent strong financial performance, including a Q2 revenue of $442.3 million, which exceeded expectations by 1.3%, and a forward P/E ratio of 9.40, indicating potential undervaluation. The company also raised its full-year revenue guidance to $1.70 billion, reflecting confidence in future growth. However, the main risk is the current RSI of 42.42, which suggests the stock is nearing oversold conditions, and the recent downgrade in price target by Canaccord to $13 from $14 highlights some caution in the market.

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Hillman Solutions Corp (HLMN) is 9.40, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 21.30.

Forward P/E

Undervalued
5Y Average P/E
21.30
Current P/E
9.40
Overvalued
30.67
Undervalued
11.92

Forward EV/EBITDA

Undervalued
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
11.31
Current EV/EBITDA
7.18
Overvalued
13.52
Undervalued
9.10

Forward P/S

Strongly Undervalued
5Y Average P/S
1.13
Current P/S
0.76
Overvalued
1.30
Undervalued
0.95

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for HLMN

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%HLMN

$6.96

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%HLMN

$6.60

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%HLMN

$4.91

Scenario price

Whales holding HLMN

P

Punch & Associates Investment Management, Inc.

+ HoldingHLMN

-5.54%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-08-03 (ET)

17:30:00

Hillman Solutions Acquires Kanebridge for $315M

17:00:00

Company Raises FY26 Net Sales Guidance to $1.66B

17:00:00

Hillman Reports Q2 Revenue of $442.25M, Beating Expectations

2026-07-13 (ET)

12:30:00

Major Averages Decline Amid Rising Geopolitical Tensions

08:00:00

Company Reports Preliminary Q2 Adjusted EBITDA of $76M-$78M

News

HLMN FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Hillman Solutions Corp. is a provider of hardware-related products and related merchandising services to retail markets in North America. The Company's segments include Hardware and Protective Solutions, Robotics and Digital Solutions, and Canada. The Hardware and Protective Solutions segment includes a variety of product categories including fasteners, builders hardware, wall hanging, threaded rod and metal shapes; rope and chain; letters, numbers, and signs (LNS); and personal protective equipment, such as gloves and eyewear. The Robotics and Digital Solutions segment consists primarily of software-enabled robotic key duplication and engraving solutions that are tailored to the needs of the consumer. The Canada segment distributes fasteners and related hardware items, threaded rods, keys, key duplicating systems, accessories, and identification items, such as tags and letters, numbers, and signs to hardware stores, home centers, mass merchants, and industrial distributors. It operates in the Industrials sector (CUTLERY, HANDTOOLS & GENERAL HARDWARE industry).

Hillman Solutions Corp (HLMN) appears to be a good buy right now due to its recent strong financial performance, including a Q2 revenue of $442.3 million, which exceeded expectations by 1.3%, and a forward P/E ratio of 9.40, indicating potential undervaluation. The company also raised its full-year revenue guidance to $1.70 billion, reflecting confidence in future growth. However, the main risk is the current RSI of 42.42, which suggests the stock is nearing oversold conditions, and the recent downgrade in price target by Canaccord to $13 from $14 highlights some caution in the market.

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This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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