Hilton Grand Vacations Inc

Hilton Grand Vacations Inc (HGV) Stock Analysis

$43.810

-0.022 (-0.05%)At close

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High
44.420
Open
44.160
VWAP
43.98
Vol
568.78K
Mkt Cap
4.09B
Low
43.710
Amount
25.01M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
10.48

Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. is a global timeshare company. The Company is engaged in developing, marketing, selling, managing and operating timeshare resorts, timeshare plans and ancillary reservation services, primarily under the Hilton Grand Vacations brand. It operates through two segments: Real estate sales and financing, and Resort operations and club management. The Real estate sales and financing segment sells vacation ownership interests (VOIs) on behalf of third-party developers using the Hilton Grand Vacations brand. It provides consumer financing, which includes interest income generated from the origination of consumer loans to customers to finance their purchase of VOIs and servicing the loans. Resort operations and club management segment services primarily consist of operating properties under management agreements for the benefit of homeowners' associations (HOAs) of VOI owners at both its resorts and those developed by third parties.

AI analysis of Hilton Grand Vacations Inc (HGV)

hold

Hilton Grand Vacations Inc is currently priced at $43.81, which is below the recent analyst targets of $46 and $47, indicating potential for upside. However, the RSI is at 35.77, suggesting the stock is oversold and may face further downward pressure. The company has authorized a $600 million share buyback program, which could enhance shareholder value and support the stock price. Yet, the recent performance shows a 5-day decline of 2.88% and a 20-day decline of 5.05%, indicating ongoing challenges. The main risk is the recent earnings miss, with adjusted EPS reported at $0.89 against an expectation of $1.01, reflecting operational challenges.

Analyst Ratings (6)

+9.93% upside
Buy
6 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Current: 43.81
Low
42.00
Average
48.16
High
59.00

Goldman Sachs

2026-07-31

Price Target

$47

Neutral

Barclays

2026-07-31

Price Target

$46

Equal Weight

Morgan Stanley

2026-07-17

Price Target

$58

Equal Weight

Goldman Sachs

2026-06-01

Price Target

$55

Neutral

Truist

2026-05-18

Price Target

$71

Buy

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Hilton Grand Vacations Inc (HGV) is 11.44, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 13.73.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
13.73
Current P/E
11.44
Overvalued
18.24
Undervalued
9.22

Forward EV/EBITDA

Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
8.84
Current EV/EBITDA
10.48
Overvalued
10.64
Undervalued
7.05

Forward P/S

Undervalued
5Y Average P/S
1.02
Current P/S
0.58
Overvalued
1.37
Undervalued
0.66

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for HGV

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%HGV

$39.16

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%HGV

$37.83

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%HGV

$34.55

Scenario price

Whales holding HGV

C

CAS Investment Partners, LLC

+ HoldingHGV

+1.39%

3M Return

T

TrinityBridge Limited

+ HoldingHGV

+1.31%

3M Return

H

Hill Path Capital LP

+ HoldingHGV

-2.86%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-08-24 (ET)

09:30:00

Hilton Grand Vacations Launches New Oceanfront Resort Ocean Reserve

2026-08-20 (ET)

08:30:00

Hilton Grand Vacations Approves $600M Share Repurchase Plan

2026-07-30 (ET)

07:30:00

Hilton Grand Vacations Reports Q2 Revenue of $1.358B

2026-06-03 (ET)

09:30:00

Wells Fargo Re-offers Shares at $50.25-$51.25

2026-06-02 (ET)

19:00:00

Wells Fargo Securities Acts as Lead Book-Running Manager for Offering

News

HGV FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. is a global timeshare company. The Company is engaged in developing, marketing, selling, managing and operating timeshare resorts, timeshare plans and ancillary reservation services, primarily under the Hilton Grand Vacations brand. It operates through two segments: Real estate sales and financing, and Resort operations and club management. The Real estate sales and financing segment sells vacation ownership interests (VOIs) on behalf of third-party developers using the Hilton Grand Vacations brand. It provides consumer financing, which includes interest income generated from the origination of consumer loans to customers to finance their purchase of VOIs and servicing the loans. Resort operations and club management segment services primarily consist of operating properties under management agreements for the benefit of homeowners' associations (HOAs) of VOI owners at both its resorts and those developed by third parties. It operates in the Consumer Cyclicals sector (HOTELS, ROOMING HOUSES, CAMPS & OTHER LODGING PLAC industry).

Hilton Grand Vacations Inc is currently priced at $43.81, which is below the recent analyst targets of $46 and $47, indicating potential for upside. However, the RSI is at 35.77, suggesting the stock is oversold and may face further downward pressure. The company has authorized a $600 million share buyback program, which could enhance shareholder value and support the stock price. Yet, the recent performance shows a 5-day decline of 2.88% and a 20-day decline of 5.05%, indicating ongoing challenges. The main risk is the recent earnings miss, with adjusted EPS reported at $0.89 against an expectation of $1.01, reflecting operational challenges.

6 analysts cover HGV: 6 rate it Buy, 0 Hold and 0 Sell. The average price target is 48.16.

This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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