Hilton Grand Vacations Inc

Hilton Grand Vacations Inc (HGV) Stock Analysis

$36.030

+1.391 (+3.86%)At close

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High
36.740
Open
35.230
VWAP
35.97
Volume
971.55K
Mkt Cap
4.09B
Low
35.150
Amount
34.95M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
10.05

Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. is a global timeshare company. The Company is engaged in developing, marketing, selling, managing and operating timeshare resorts, timeshare plans and ancillary reservation services, primarily under the Hilton Grand Vacations brand. It operates through two segments: Real estate sales and financing, and Resort operations and club management. The Real estate sales and financing segment sells vacation ownership interests (VOIs) on behalf of third-party developers using the Hilton Grand Vacations brand. It provides consumer financing, which includes interest income generated from the origination of consumer loans to customers to finance their purchase of VOIs and servicing the loans. Resort operations and club management segment services primarily consist of operating properties under management agreements for the benefit of homeowners' associations (HOAs) of VOI owners at both its resorts and those developed by third parties.

AI analysis of Hilton Grand Vacations Inc (HGV)

Hold

Hilton Grand Vacations Inc is currently not a strong buy due to its low RSI of 33.98, indicating it is oversold, and a forward P/E of 11.44, which suggests potential value. However, the stock has dropped 24.09% year-to-date, and recent earnings missed expectations, which raises concerns about its short-term performance. The main risk is the significant debt-to-equity ratio of 617.81%, indicating high leverage that could impact financial stability.

Analyst Ratings (6)

+33.67% upside
Buy
6 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Current: 36.03
Low
42.00
Average
48.16
High
59.00

JPMorgan

2026-10-08

Price Target

$39

Neutral

Truist

2026-09-10

Price Target

$69

Buy

Goldman Sachs

2026-07-31

Price Target

$47

Neutral

Barclays

2026-07-31

Price Target

$46

Equal Weight

Morgan Stanley

2026-07-17

Price Target

$58

Equal Weight

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Hilton Grand Vacations Inc (HGV) is 11.44, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 13.40.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
13.40
Current P/E
11.44
Overvalued
17.41
Undervalued
9.40

Forward EV/EBITDA

Overvalued
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
8.68
Current EV/EBITDA
10.05
Overvalued
9.62
Undervalued
7.73

Forward P/S

Undervalued
5Y Average P/S
0.98
Current P/S
0.47
Overvalued
1.32
Undervalued
0.64

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for HGV

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%HGV

$39.16

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%HGV

$37.83

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%HGV

$34.55

Scenario price

Whales holding HGV

R

Ruane, Cunniff & Goldfarb L.P.

+ HoldingHGV

+2.46%

3M Return

C

CAS Investment Partners, LLC

+ HoldingHGV

-5.27%

3M Return

A

Apollo Global Management, Inc.

+ HoldingHGV

-15.22%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-08-24 (ET)

09:30:00

Hilton Grand Vacations Launches New Oceanfront Resort Ocean Reserve

2026-08-20 (ET)

08:30:00

Hilton Grand Vacations Approves $600M Share Repurchase Plan

2026-07-30 (ET)

07:30:00

Hilton Grand Vacations Reports Q2 Revenue of $1.358B

2026-06-03 (ET)

09:30:00

Wells Fargo Re-offers Shares at $50.25-$51.25

2026-06-02 (ET)

19:00:00

Wells Fargo Securities Acts as Lead Book-Running Manager for Offering

News

HGV FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. is a global timeshare company. The Company is engaged in developing, marketing, selling, managing and operating timeshare resorts, timeshare plans and ancillary reservation services, primarily under the Hilton Grand Vacations brand. It operates through two segments: Real estate sales and financing, and Resort operations and club management. The Real estate sales and financing segment sells vacation ownership interests (VOIs) on behalf of third-party developers using the Hilton Grand Vacations brand. It provides consumer financing, which includes interest income generated from the origination of consumer loans to customers to finance their purchase of VOIs and servicing the loans. Resort operations and club management segment services primarily consist of operating properties under management agreements for the benefit of homeowners' associations (HOAs) of VOI owners at both its resorts and those developed by third parties. It operates in the Consumer Cyclicals sector (HOTELS, ROOMING HOUSES, CAMPS & OTHER LODGING PLAC industry).

Hilton Grand Vacations Inc is currently not a strong buy due to its low RSI of 33.98, indicating it is oversold, and a forward P/E of 11.44, which suggests potential value. However, the stock has dropped 24.09% year-to-date, and recent earnings missed expectations, which raises concerns about its short-term performance. The main risk is the significant debt-to-equity ratio of 617.81%, indicating high leverage that could impact financial stability.

6 analysts cover HGV: 6 rate it Buy, 0 Hold and 0 Sell. The average price target is 48.16.

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This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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