Green Plains Inc

Green Plains Inc (GPRE) Stock Analysis

$14.290

-0.603 (-4.22%)At close

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High
14.910
Open
14.770
VWAP
14.46
Volume
1.68M
Mkt Cap
1.07B
Low
14.180
Amount
24.22M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
3.58

Green Plains Inc. is a renewable fuel and agricultural technology company focused on producing low-cost, low-Carbon Intensity (CI) ethanol and related co-products, including high protein feeds and corn oil from locally sourced corn. The Company operates through two segments: ethanol production and agribusiness and energy services. Its ethanol production segment includes the production, storage and transportation of ethanol, distiller's grains, Ultra-High Protein and renewable corn oil at nine bio refineries in Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota and Nebraska. The agribusiness and energy services segment includes grain procurement, storage and commodity marketing. It markets its ethanol through a third party and sells and distributes its ethanol plant co-products, including distiller's grains and corn oil. The Company also buys and sells natural gas and other commodities in various markets. It processes approximately 287 million bushels of corn annually.

gpreinc.com

AI analysis of Green Plains Inc (GPRE)

Hold

Green Plains Inc is currently a hold. The stock is trading at $14.34, which is below the average analyst price target of $18. The RSI is at 26.417, indicating that the stock is oversold, which could suggest a potential rebound. However, the recent 5-day change of -5.84% and a significant revenue shortfall in Q2, where actual revenue was 19.3% below expectations, raises concerns about short-term performance. The main risk is the recent performance trend, with a year-to-date change of +39.49%, which could lead to profit-taking.

Analyst Ratings (8)

-19.52% Downside
Buy
8 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Current: 14.29
Low
9.00
Average
11.50
High
15.00

BMO Capital

2026-08-07

Price Target

$17

Market Perform

UBS

2026-07-17

Price Target

$20

Neutral

Oppenheimer

2026-05-08

Price Target

$20

Outperform

Stephens

2026-05-08

Price Target

$20

Overweight

Oppenheimer

2026-04-22

Price Target

$18

Outperform

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Green Plains Inc (GPRE) is 9.10, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 11.97.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
11.97
Current P/E
9.10
Overvalued
115.52
Undervalued
-91.58

Forward EV/EBITDA

Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
23.78
Current EV/EBITDA
3.58
Overvalued
58.85
Undervalued
-11.28

Forward P/S

Fair
5Y Average P/S
0.44
Current P/S
0.53
Overvalued
0.59
Undervalued
0.29

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for GPRE

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%GPRE

$3.61

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%GPRE

$3.42

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%GPRE

$3.05

Scenario price

Whales holding GPRE

S

Sourcerock Group LLC

+ HoldingGPRE

+1.23%

3M Return

A

Ancora Advisors LLC

+ HoldingGPRE

-5.12%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-10-01 (ET)

09:30:00

Green Plains Achieves One Billion Gallons of Ethanol Production

2026-08-06 (ET)

07:30:00

Green Plains Q2 Revenue at $446.2M

2026-06-22 (ET)

16:30:00

Green Plains Files to Sell 550,000 Shares of Common Stock

2026-05-07 (ET)

07:00:00

Company Reports Q1 Revenue of $445.8M, Raises EBITDA Guidance to $200M-$225M

2026-03-25 (ET)

10:30:00

Lockheed Martin and Department of War Reach Agreement to Accelerate Precision Strike Missiles Production

News

GPRE FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Green Plains Inc. is a renewable fuel and agricultural technology company focused on producing low-cost, low-Carbon Intensity (CI) ethanol and related co-products, including high protein feeds and corn oil from locally sourced corn. The Company operates through two segments: ethanol production and agribusiness and energy services. Its ethanol production segment includes the production, storage and transportation of ethanol, distiller's grains, Ultra-High Protein and renewable corn oil at nine bio refineries in Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota and Nebraska. The agribusiness and energy services segment includes grain procurement, storage and commodity marketing. It markets its ethanol through a third party and sells and distributes its ethanol plant co-products, including distiller's grains and corn oil. The Company also buys and sells natural gas and other commodities in various markets. It processes approximately 287 million bushels of corn annually. It operates in the Energy sector (INDUSTRIAL ORGANIC CHEMICALS industry).

Green Plains Inc is currently a hold. The stock is trading at $14.34, which is below the average analyst price target of $18. The RSI is at 26.417, indicating that the stock is oversold, which could suggest a potential rebound. However, the recent 5-day change of -5.84% and a significant revenue shortfall in Q2, where actual revenue was 19.3% below expectations, raises concerns about short-term performance. The main risk is the recent performance trend, with a year-to-date change of +39.49%, which could lead to profit-taking.

8 analysts cover GPRE: 8 rate it Buy, 0 Hold and 0 Sell. The average price target is 11.50.

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This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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