Graphic Packaging Holding Co

Graphic Packaging Holding Co (GPK) Stock Analysis

$8.420

-0.147 (-1.75%)At close

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High
8.575
Open
8.440
VWAP
8.45
Volume
4.83M
Mkt Cap
8.07B
Low
8.360
Amount
40.79M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
8.56

Graphic Packaging Holding Company is a consumer packaging provider. It produces consumer goods packaging made from renewable or recycled materials. It designs and manufactures packaging solutions including cartons, multipack cartons, trays, carriers, paperboard canisters, cups and bowls made from unbleached paperboard, recycled paperboard, and bleached paperboard. Its segments include Americas Paperboard Packaging and International Paperboard Packaging. The Americas Paperboard Packaging segment includes paperboard packaging sold primarily to consumer-packaged goods (CPG) companies serving the food, beverage, and consumer product markets and cups, lids and food containers sold primarily to food service companies and quick-service restaurants (QSR) in the Americas. The International Paperboard Packaging segment includes paperboard packaging sold primarily to CPG companies serving the food, beverage and consumer product markets, including healthcare and beauty, outside the Americas.

AI analysis of Graphic Packaging Holding Co (GPK)

Hold

Currently, Graphic Packaging Holding Co (GPK) is not a strong buy. The stock is trading at $8.57, which is significantly below its 200-day simple moving average of $11.016, indicating a bearish trend. The RSI is at 46.56, suggesting it is neither overbought nor oversold, but the recent performance shows a year-to-date decline of 43.43%. While there was a positive earnings surprise with an EPS of $0.14 against an estimate of $0.13, the overall financial outlook remains cautious due to inflationary pressures and a recent downgrade in analyst ratings. The main risk is the declining net income, which was -$43 million in Q1 2026, reflecting ongoing challenges in profitability.

Analyst Ratings (13)

+101.90% upside
Buy
9 Buy
4 Hold
0 Sell
Current: 8.42
Low
12.00
Average
17.00
High
23.00

Truist

2026-10-12

Price Target

$9

Hold

UBS

2026-10-05

Price Target

$12

Neutral

Citi

2026-10-02

Price Target

$9

Hold

RBC Capital

2026-09-30

Price Target

$10

Sector Perform

JPMorgan

2026-09-23

Price Target

—

Overweight

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Graphic Packaging Holding Co (GPK) is 8.32, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 10.09.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
10.09
Current P/E
8.32
Overvalued
12.54
Undervalued
7.65

Forward EV/EBITDA

Overvalued
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
7.55
Current EV/EBITDA
8.56
Overvalued
8.39
Undervalued
6.71

Forward P/S

Strongly Undervalued
5Y Average P/S
0.71
Current P/S
0.29
Overvalued
0.90
Undervalued
0.53

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for GPK

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%GPK

$27.15

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%GPK

$22.96

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%GPK

$18.81

Scenario price

Whales holding GPK

M

Manning & Napier Advisors, LLC

+ HoldingGPK

+3.81%

3M Return

F

Fuller & Thaler Asset Management, Inc.

+ HoldingGPK

-5.33%

3M Return

M

Maple Rock Capital Partners Inc.

+ HoldingGPK

-15.83%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-09-28 (ET)

07:00:00

Graphic Packaging Appoints Aditya Gandhi as Chief Accounting Officer

2026-09-23 (ET)

16:30:00

Major Averages Close Lower as 10-Year Treasury Yield Hits 5.13%

12:00:00

Major Averages Broadly Lower as Oil Rises Over 1%

2026-09-03 (ET)

08:00:00

Graphic Packaging Appoints Tatiana Berardinelli as CHRO

2026-08-04 (ET)

09:00:00

Palantir Surges 15% After Earnings Beat Expectations

News

GPK FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Graphic Packaging Holding Company is a consumer packaging provider. It produces consumer goods packaging made from renewable or recycled materials. It designs and manufactures packaging solutions including cartons, multipack cartons, trays, carriers, paperboard canisters, cups and bowls made from unbleached paperboard, recycled paperboard, and bleached paperboard. Its segments include Americas Paperboard Packaging and International Paperboard Packaging. The Americas Paperboard Packaging segment includes paperboard packaging sold primarily to consumer-packaged goods (CPG) companies serving the food, beverage, and consumer product markets and cups, lids and food containers sold primarily to food service companies and quick-service restaurants (QSR) in the Americas. The International Paperboard Packaging segment includes paperboard packaging sold primarily to CPG companies serving the food, beverage and consumer product markets, including healthcare and beauty, outside the Americas. It operates in the Basic Materials sector (PAPERBOARD CONTAINERS & BOXES industry).

Currently, Graphic Packaging Holding Co (GPK) is not a strong buy. The stock is trading at $8.57, which is significantly below its 200-day simple moving average of $11.016, indicating a bearish trend. The RSI is at 46.56, suggesting it is neither overbought nor oversold, but the recent performance shows a year-to-date decline of 43.43%. While there was a positive earnings surprise with an EPS of $0.14 against an estimate of $0.13, the overall financial outlook remains cautious due to inflationary pressures and a recent downgrade in analyst ratings. The main risk is the declining net income, which was -$43 million in Q1 2026, reflecting ongoing challenges in profitability.

13 analysts cover GPK: 9 rate it Buy, 4 Hold and 0 Sell. The average price target is 17.00.

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This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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