Grocery Outlet Holding Corp

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp (GO) Stock Analysis

$12.870

-0.187 (-1.45%)At close

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High
13.300
Open
13.110
VWAP
13.00
Volume
1.64M
Mkt Cap
2.21B
Low
12.840
Amount
21.36M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
13.96

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. is a retailer of name-brand consumables and fresh products sold through a network of independently operated stores. It has stores in California, Washington, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Idaho, Maryland, Nevada, North Carolina, New Jersey, Georgia, Ohio, Alabama, Delaware, Kentucky, and Virginia. Its product offering includes staples, across grocery, produce, refrigerated and frozen foods, beer and wine, fresh meat and seafood, general merchandise and health and beauty care. It distributes inventory through nine primary distribution centers, four of which it operates and five of which are operated by third parties. It has an in-house transportation fleet, as well as transportation partner relationships. It also owns United Grocery Outlet, a closeout grocery retailer with over 40 stores. It is focused on centralized marketing efforts primarily on digital ads, emailed WOW! Alerts, social media and radio commercials, and in-store and outdoor signage.

AI analysis of Grocery Outlet Holding Corp (GO)

Buy

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp is a good buy right now, trading at $11.96 with a recent analyst upgrade and positive insider activity. The stock has shown a significant rebound of 22.5% in 2026, outperforming the S&P 500's 12.7% increase, indicating a recovery in market confidence. Additionally, the forward P/E ratio of 14.881 suggests potential for earnings growth, while the RSI of 68.524 indicates strong momentum, though it is approaching overbought territory. The main risk is the negative net income reported in Q1 and Q2 of 2026, with losses of $180.32 million and $5.63 million respectively, which could impact future performance.

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Grocery Outlet Holding Corp (GO) is 14.88, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 23.68.

Forward P/E

Undervalued
5Y Average P/E
23.68
Current P/E
14.88
Overvalued
30.67
Undervalued
16.69

Forward EV/EBITDA

Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
12.14
Current EV/EBITDA
13.96
Overvalued
25.29
Undervalued
-1.02

Forward P/S

Undervalued
5Y Average P/S
0.54
Current P/S
0.26
Overvalued
0.82
Undervalued
0.26

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for GO

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%GO

$17.82

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%GO

$14.69

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%GO

$13.94

Scenario price

Whales holding GO

B

Becker Capital Management Inc

+ HoldingGO

+4.53%

3M Return

J

J. Goldman & Co., L.P.

+ HoldingGO

+1.09%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-08-13 (ET)

09:00:00

Stock Futures Modestly Higher, Cerebras Systems Down 15%

2026-08-12 (ET)

20:30:00

Nasdaq 100 Contract Down 0.2%, Cisco Down 4.1%

16:30:00

Sees FY26 Revenue of $4.7B-$4.72B

16:30:00

Grocery Outlet Q2 Revenue $1.19B Beats Expectations

2026-06-09 (ET)

16:20:00

Maintains FY26 Revenue Outlook

News

GO FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. is a retailer of name-brand consumables and fresh products sold through a network of independently operated stores. It has stores in California, Washington, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Idaho, Maryland, Nevada, North Carolina, New Jersey, Georgia, Ohio, Alabama, Delaware, Kentucky, and Virginia. Its product offering includes staples, across grocery, produce, refrigerated and frozen foods, beer and wine, fresh meat and seafood, general merchandise and health and beauty care. It distributes inventory through nine primary distribution centers, four of which it operates and five of which are operated by third parties. It has an in-house transportation fleet, as well as transportation partner relationships. It also owns United Grocery Outlet, a closeout grocery retailer with over 40 stores. It is focused on centralized marketing efforts primarily on digital ads, emailed WOW! Alerts, social media and radio commercials, and in-store and outdoor signage. It operates in the Consumer Non-Cyclicals sector (RETAIL-GROCERY STORES industry).

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp is a good buy right now, trading at $11.96 with a recent analyst upgrade and positive insider activity. The stock has shown a significant rebound of 22.5% in 2026, outperforming the S&P 500's 12.7% increase, indicating a recovery in market confidence. Additionally, the forward P/E ratio of 14.881 suggests potential for earnings growth, while the RSI of 68.524 indicates strong momentum, though it is approaching overbought territory. The main risk is the negative net income reported in Q1 and Q2 of 2026, with losses of $180.32 million and $5.63 million respectively, which could impact future performance.

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This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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