Geron Corp

Geron Corp (GERN) Stock Analysis

$1.170

-0.057 (-4.88%)At close

Loading chart…
High
1.240
Open
1.240
VWAP
1.19
Volume
3.96M
Mkt Cap
2.63B
Low
1.170
Amount
4.72M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
-11.48

Geron Corporation is a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company. The Company develops first-in-class telomerase inhibitor, RYTELO (imetelstat) for the treatment of adult patients with low- to intermediate-1 risk myelodysplastic syndromes (lower-risk MDS), with transfusion-dependent (TD) anemia requiring four or more red blood cell units over eight weeks who have not responded to or have lost response to or are ineligible for erythropoiesis-stimulating agents (ESAs). RYTELO is supported by the high unmet need in lower-risk MDS, including the observed benefit of RYTELO in difficult-to-treat subpopulations, such as patients with high transfusion burden and ring sideroblast negative (RS-) patients. It is also engaged in conducting a pivotal Phase III clinical trial of imetelstat in JAK-inhibitor relapsed/refractory myelofibrosis (R/R MF), as well as studies in other myeloid hematologic malignancies.

www.geron.com

AI analysis of Geron Corp (GERN)

Hold

Geron Corp is currently not a strong buy due to its recent performance and high valuation metrics. The stock price has decreased by 10% over the last 20 days and has an RSI of 32.49, indicating it is oversold. However, the gross margin remains high at 94.94%, suggesting strong revenue potential. The main risk is the forward P/E of 65.36, which reflects high expectations for future earnings that may not materialize, leading to potential price corrections.

Analyst Ratings (3)

+241.88% upside
Hold
1 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Current: 1.17
Low
4.00
Average
4.00
High
4.00

TD Cowen

2026-01-29

Price Target

$3

Buy

Scotiabank

2025-05-08

Price Target

$1.50

Sector Perform

HC Wainwright & Co.

2025-03-12

Price Target

—

Hold

Needham

2025-03-12

Price Target

$5

Strong Buy

Stifel

2025-02-27

Price Target

$4

Strong Buy

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Geron Corp (GERN) is 65.36, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of -7.79.

Forward P/E

Strongly Overvalued
5Y Average P/E
-7.79
Current P/E
65.36
Overvalued
7.12
Undervalued
-22.70

Forward EV/EBITDA

Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
-171.93
Current EV/EBITDA
-11.48
Overvalued
544.99
Undervalued
-888.86

Forward P/S

Fair
5Y Average P/S
819.23
Current P/S
2.31
Overvalued
2274.08
Undervalued
-635.63

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for GERN

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%GERN

$4.60

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%GERN

$2.89

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%GERN

$2.09

Scenario price

Whales holding GERN

P

Pale Fire Capital SE

+ HoldingGERN

-2.45%

3M Return

R

RA Capital Management, L.P.

+ HoldingGERN

-26.36%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-08-05 (ET)

08:00:00

Geron Reports Q2 Revenue of $57.48M, Beating Consensus

08:00:00

Geron Expects RYTELO Net Revenue of $220M to $240M for FY 2026

2026-07-13 (ET)

08:31:00

Geron Appoints Chinmaya Rath as Chief Business Officer

2026-05-12 (ET)

09:50:00

Geron Corporation to Present RYTELO Study Data at EHA 2026 Congress

2026-05-06 (ET)

07:40:00

Geron Reports Q1 Revenue of $51.84M, Exceeds Expectations

News

GERN FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Geron Corporation is a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company. The Company develops first-in-class telomerase inhibitor, RYTELO (imetelstat) for the treatment of adult patients with low- to intermediate-1 risk myelodysplastic syndromes (lower-risk MDS), with transfusion-dependent (TD) anemia requiring four or more red blood cell units over eight weeks who have not responded to or have lost response to or are ineligible for erythropoiesis-stimulating agents (ESAs). RYTELO is supported by the high unmet need in lower-risk MDS, including the observed benefit of RYTELO in difficult-to-treat subpopulations, such as patients with high transfusion burden and ring sideroblast negative (RS-) patients. It is also engaged in conducting a pivotal Phase III clinical trial of imetelstat in JAK-inhibitor relapsed/refractory myelofibrosis (R/R MF), as well as studies in other myeloid hematologic malignancies. It operates in the Healthcare sector (PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS industry).

Geron Corp is currently not a strong buy due to its recent performance and high valuation metrics. The stock price has decreased by 10% over the last 20 days and has an RSI of 32.49, indicating it is oversold. However, the gross margin remains high at 94.94%, suggesting strong revenue potential. The main risk is the forward P/E of 65.36, which reflects high expectations for future earnings that may not materialize, leading to potential price corrections.

3 analysts cover GERN: 1 rate it Buy, 2 Hold and 0 Sell. The average price target is 4.00.

Community

More ↗

No posts yet

Sign up or log in to join the discussion

This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Start trading