Bull
$39.46
Scenario price
$28.660
-0.653 (-2.28%)At close
The GEO Group, Inc. is a diversified government service provider. The Company specializes in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. The Company’s U.S. Secure Services segment primarily encompasses the United Sates-based secure services business. Its Electronic Monitoring and Supervision Services segment represents technology and services provided to adults for monitoring services for community-based parolees, probationers, and pretrial defendants. Its Reentry Services segment represents evidence-based supervision and treatment programs provided to adults for residential and non-residential treatment, educational and community-based programs, pre-release and half-way house programs. Its International Services segment primarily consists of secure services operations in South Africa and Australia.
Geo Group Inc is currently not a strong buy due to its recent price decline and low RSI, despite positive earnings performance. The current price is $28.66, with an RSI of 28.53 indicating oversold conditions. Although the company has shown a year-to-date change of +79.91% and a significant net income increase of 63.5% year-over-year, the stock has dropped 7.93% over the last five days, suggesting short-term weakness. The main risk is the lowered full-year revenue guidance to $3 billion, down from $3.03 billion, which could impact investor sentiment.
Noble Capital
$40
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Price Target
$40
Northland
$40
2026-06-26
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Price Target
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JonesResearch
$33
2026-02-13
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Price Target
$33
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$37
2025-11-07
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2025-11-07
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JonesResearch
$45
2025-08-07
JonesResearch
2025-08-07
Price Target
$45
Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

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Surge in Options Trading Volume for GEO and UPST
The GEO Group, Inc. is a diversified government service provider. The Company specializes in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. The Company’s U.S. Secure Services segment primarily encompasses the United Sates-based secure services business. Its Electronic Monitoring and Supervision Services segment represents technology and services provided to adults for monitoring services for community-based parolees, probationers, and pretrial defendants. Its Reentry Services segment represents evidence-based supervision and treatment programs provided to adults for residential and non-residential treatment, educational and community-based programs, pre-release and half-way house programs. Its International Services segment primarily consists of secure services operations in South Africa and Australia. It operates in the Industrials sector (GENERAL BLDG CONTRACTORS - RESIDENTIAL BLDGS industry).
Geo Group Inc is currently not a strong buy due to its recent price decline and low RSI, despite positive earnings performance. The current price is $28.66, with an RSI of 28.53 indicating oversold conditions. Although the company has shown a year-to-date change of +79.91% and a significant net income increase of 63.5% year-over-year, the stock has dropped 7.93% over the last five days, suggesting short-term weakness. The main risk is the lowered full-year revenue guidance to $3 billion, down from $3.03 billion, which could impact investor sentiment.
4 analysts cover GEO: 2 rate it Buy, 2 Hold and 0 Sell. The average price target is 32.50.
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