Golub Capital BDC Inc

Golub Capital BDC Inc (GBDC) Stock Analysis

$12.010

-0.109 (-0.91%)At close

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High
12.120
Open
12.090
VWAP
12.02
Volume
1.40M
Mkt Cap
2.71B
Low
11.940
Amount
16.84M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
16.73

Golub Capital BDC, Inc. is an externally managed, non-diversified closed-end management investment company. The Company's investment objective is to generate current income and capital appreciation by investing primarily in one stop and other senior secured loans of United States middle-market companies. It also selectively invests in second lien and subordinated (a loan that ranks senior only to a borrower’s equity securities and ranks junior to all of such borrower’s other indebtedness in priority of payment) loans of, and warrants and minority equity securities in, United States middle-market companies. It also invests in various sectors, which include software, healthcare providers and services, specialty retail, automobiles, diversified consumer services, insurance, healthcare technology, information technology (IT) services, commercial services and supplies, and others. The Company’s investment activities are managed by its investment adviser, GC Advisors LLC.

AI analysis of Golub Capital BDC Inc (GBDC)

Hold

Currently, Golub Capital BDC Inc (GBDC) is not a strong buy. The stock is priced at $12.12, which is below the analyst target of $14, indicating potential upside. However, the RSI is at 41.42, suggesting it is nearing oversold territory but not yet a strong buy signal. Additionally, the forward P/E ratio is 9.77, which is attractive, yet the company has shown a decline in net income and gross margin, with the latest gross margin at 61.77% and a concerning net income drop in Q2 2026 to -46.8 million USD. The main risk is the declining revenue growth, as indicated by the 20-day change of -3.35%.

Analyst Ratings (6)

+24.90% upside
Hold
1 Buy
5 Hold
0 Sell
Current: 12.01
Low
14.00
Average
15.00
High
16.00

Keefe Bruyette

2026-08-05

Price Target

$14

Outperform

Oppenheimer

2026-05-06

Price Target

$14

Outperform

RBC Capital

2026-04-17

Price Target

$15

Outperform

Keefe Bruyette

2026-02-06

Price Target

$14

Market Perform

Wells Fargo

2026-02-06

Price Target

$13

Overweight

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Golub Capital BDC Inc (GBDC) is 9.77, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 9.08.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
9.08
Current P/E
9.77
Overvalued
10.81
Undervalued
7.36

Forward EV/EBITDA

Strongly Overvalued
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
1.96
Current EV/EBITDA
16.73
Overvalued
7.35
Undervalued
-3.43

Forward P/S

Fair
5Y Average P/S
4.62
Current P/S
4.24
Overvalued
5.60
Undervalued
3.65

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for GBDC

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%GBDC

$22.99

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%GBDC

$21.39

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%GBDC

$17.93

Scenario price

Whales holding GBDC

S

STRS Ohio

+ HoldingGBDC

+4.23%

3M Return

A

Ares Management LLC

+ HoldingGBDC

-1.77%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-08-03 (ET)

17:00:00

Net Investment Income Per Share Remains at $0.33

2025-11-18 (ET)

16:12:14

Golub Capital BDC announces Q4 adjusted net investment income of 39 cents, surpassing consensus estimate of 38 cents.

2025-05-05 (ET)

16:12:12

Golub Capital BDC reports Q2 adjusted EPS 30c, consensus 41c

2025-02-04 (ET)

15:33:28

Golub Capital reports Q1 EPS 42c, consensus 42c

News

GBDC FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Golub Capital BDC, Inc. is an externally managed, non-diversified closed-end management investment company. The Company's investment objective is to generate current income and capital appreciation by investing primarily in one stop and other senior secured loans of United States middle-market companies. It also selectively invests in second lien and subordinated (a loan that ranks senior only to a borrower’s equity securities and ranks junior to all of such borrower’s other indebtedness in priority of payment) loans of, and warrants and minority equity securities in, United States middle-market companies. It also invests in various sectors, which include software, healthcare providers and services, specialty retail, automobiles, diversified consumer services, insurance, healthcare technology, information technology (IT) services, commercial services and supplies, and others. The Company’s investment activities are managed by its investment adviser, GC Advisors LLC. It operates in the Financials sector.

Currently, Golub Capital BDC Inc (GBDC) is not a strong buy. The stock is priced at $12.12, which is below the analyst target of $14, indicating potential upside. However, the RSI is at 41.42, suggesting it is nearing oversold territory but not yet a strong buy signal. Additionally, the forward P/E ratio is 9.77, which is attractive, yet the company has shown a decline in net income and gross margin, with the latest gross margin at 61.77% and a concerning net income drop in Q2 2026 to -46.8 million USD. The main risk is the declining revenue growth, as indicated by the 20-day change of -3.35%.

6 analysts cover GBDC: 1 rate it Buy, 5 Hold and 0 Sell. The average price target is 15.00.

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This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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