First Watch Restaurant Group Inc

First Watch Restaurant Group Inc (FWRG) Stock Analysis

$12.160

+0.040 (+0.33%)At close

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High
12.240
Open
11.970
VWAP
12.01
Volume
1.14M
Mkt Cap
1.06B
Low
11.632
Amount
13.70M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
14.76

First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. is a holding company. The Company operates and franchises restaurants in approximately 32 states operating under the First Watch trade name, which are focused on made-to-order breakfast, brunch and lunch. It is engaged in serving made-to-order breakfast, brunch and lunch using the freshest ingredients. Its menu includes elevated executions of classic favorites for breakfast, brunch and lunch, such as our protein-packed Breakfast Quinoa Bowl, Chickichanga and Avocado Toast. It also offers fresh juices, including Morning Meditation and Kale Tonic. The Company operates restaurants through its wholly owned subsidiary, First Watch Restaurants, Inc., and is a franchisor through its wholly owned subsidiary, First Watch Franchise Development Co. Its subsidiaries include AI Fresh Parent, Inc., First Watch E&I Restaurant Group, LLC, First Watch Franchise Development Co., First Watch Restaurants Texas, LLC, and others.

AI analysis of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc (FWRG)

Buy

First Watch Restaurant Group Inc is a good buy right now, trading at $12.12 with a strong 5-day price change of +10.38% and a positive analyst price target of $17, indicating a potential upside of 40%.

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for First Watch Restaurant Group Inc (FWRG) is 63.69, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 68.23.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
68.23
Current P/E
63.69
Overvalued
113.39
Undervalued
23.07

Forward EV/EBITDA

Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
16.31
Current EV/EBITDA
14.76
Overvalued
19.41
Undervalued
13.21

Forward P/S

Undervalued
5Y Average P/S
0.98
Current P/S
0.48
Overvalued
1.28
Undervalued
0.68

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for FWRG

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%FWRG

$17.44

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%FWRG

$16.84

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%FWRG

$15.75

Scenario price

Whales holding FWRG

P

Paralel Advisors LLC

+ HoldingFWRG

-2.43%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-08-04 (ET)

08:00:00

First Watch Reports Q2 Revenue of $354.67M, Same-Restaurant Sales Growth of 3.4%

08:00:00

Narrows FY26 Adjusted EBITDA View to $133M-$136M

2026-05-05 (ET)

07:30:00

Raises FY26 Revenue View to $133M-$140M

07:20:00

First Watch Reports Q1 Revenue of $330.96M

News

FWRG FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. is a holding company. The Company operates and franchises restaurants in approximately 32 states operating under the First Watch trade name, which are focused on made-to-order breakfast, brunch and lunch. It is engaged in serving made-to-order breakfast, brunch and lunch using the freshest ingredients. Its menu includes elevated executions of classic favorites for breakfast, brunch and lunch, such as our protein-packed Breakfast Quinoa Bowl, Chickichanga and Avocado Toast. It also offers fresh juices, including Morning Meditation and Kale Tonic. The Company operates restaurants through its wholly owned subsidiary, First Watch Restaurants, Inc., and is a franchisor through its wholly owned subsidiary, First Watch Franchise Development Co. Its subsidiaries include AI Fresh Parent, Inc., First Watch E&I Restaurant Group, LLC, First Watch Franchise Development Co., First Watch Restaurants Texas, LLC, and others. It operates in the Consumer Cyclicals sector (RETAIL-EATING PLACES industry).

First Watch Restaurant Group Inc is a good buy right now, trading at $12.12 with a strong 5-day price change of +10.38% and a positive analyst price target of $17, indicating a potential upside of 40%.

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This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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