Fastenal Co

Fastenal Co (FAST) Stock Analysis

$49.780

-1.319 (-2.65%)At close

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High
51.520
Open
51.500
VWAP
50.34
Vol
6.04M
Mkt Cap
36.26B
Low
49.725
Amount
304.14M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
24.83

Fastenal Company is engaged in the wholesale distribution of industrial and construction supplies. The Company is a distributor of threaded fasteners, bolts, nuts, screws, studs, and related washers, as well as miscellaneous supplies and hardware, such as pins, machinery keys, concrete anchors, metal framing systems, wire rope, struts, rivets, and related accessories. Its business tools include Fastenal Managed Inventory (FMI), Bin stock (FASTStock and FASTBin), and Industrial vending (FASTVend). It serves general and commercial contractors in non-residential end markets as well as farmers, truckers, railroads, oil exploration companies, oil production and refinement companies, mining companies, federal, state, and local governmental entities, schools, warehouse and storage, data centers, and certain retail trades. The Company also invests in digital solutions and leverages local inventory for same-day solutions and provides services.

AI analysis of Fastenal Co (FAST)

hold

Fastenal Co is currently not a strong buy. The stock is trading at $49.78, with a low RSI of 33.91 indicating oversold conditions, but the recent insider selling (147.77% increase) raises concerns about future growth. The forward P/E ratio is 40.82, suggesting the stock may be overvalued compared to its earnings potential, while the gross margin of 44.56% is solid but not improving significantly. The main risk is the negative sentiment from insider selling, which could impact investor confidence.

Analyst Ratings (18)

-9.60% downside
Buy
9 Buy
9 Hold
0 Sell
Current: 49.78
Low
38.00
Average
45.00
High
52.00

Barclays

2026-07-16

Price Target

$46

Equal Weight

Morgan Stanley

2026-07-16

Price Target

$52

Equal Weight

Wolfe Research

2026-07-09

Price Target

$47

Underperform

Morgan Stanley

2026-07-08

Price Target

$48

Equal Weight

Barclays

2026-07-06

Price Target

$47

Equal Weight

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Fastenal Co (FAST) is 40.82, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 31.87.

Forward P/E

Overvalued
5Y Average P/E
31.87
Current P/E
40.82
Overvalued
38.62
Undervalued
25.11

Forward EV/EBITDA

Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
22.26
Current EV/EBITDA
24.83
Overvalued
25.78
Undervalued
18.74

Forward P/S

Overvalued
5Y Average P/S
4.94
Current P/S
5.64
Overvalued
5.61
Undervalued
4.27

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for FAST

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%FAST

$51.86

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%FAST

$50.05

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%FAST

$46.59

Scenario price

Whales holding FAST

D

D.F. Dent and Company, Inc.

+ HoldingFAST

+5.94%

3M Return

C

Capital Wealth Planning, LLC

+ HoldingFAST

+5.72%

3M Return

N

Nichols & Pratt Advisers LLP

+ HoldingFAST

+5.09%

3M Return

M

Marshfield Associates, Inc.

+ HoldingFAST

+4.62%

3M Return

C

Confluence Investment Management LLC

+ HoldingFAST

+4.04%

3M Return

J

James Hambro & Partners LLP

+ HoldingFAST

+4.04%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-07-14 (ET)

16:30:00

Nasdaq Rises on Soft Inflation Data, IBM Under Pressure

12:00:00

Stocks Rise on Soft Inflation Data; IBM Faces Pressure

09:00:00

Dow Futures Modestly Lower, IBM Down 22%

07:00:00

Fastenal reports Q2 EPS 33c, consensus 33c

2026-07-13 (ET)

09:00:00

Markets Start Cautiously, SK Hynix Shares Down 16%

News

FAST FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Fastenal Company is engaged in the wholesale distribution of industrial and construction supplies. The Company is a distributor of threaded fasteners, bolts, nuts, screws, studs, and related washers, as well as miscellaneous supplies and hardware, such as pins, machinery keys, concrete anchors, metal framing systems, wire rope, struts, rivets, and related accessories. Its business tools include Fastenal Managed Inventory (FMI), Bin stock (FASTStock and FASTBin), and Industrial vending (FASTVend). It serves general and commercial contractors in non-residential end markets as well as farmers, truckers, railroads, oil exploration companies, oil production and refinement companies, mining companies, federal, state, and local governmental entities, schools, warehouse and storage, data centers, and certain retail trades. The Company also invests in digital solutions and leverages local inventory for same-day solutions and provides services. It operates in the Industrials sector (RETAIL-BUILDING MATERIALS, HARDWARE, GARDEN SUPPLY industry).

Fastenal Co is currently not a strong buy. The stock is trading at $49.78, with a low RSI of 33.91 indicating oversold conditions, but the recent insider selling (147.77% increase) raises concerns about future growth. The forward P/E ratio is 40.82, suggesting the stock may be overvalued compared to its earnings potential, while the gross margin of 44.56% is solid but not improving significantly. The main risk is the negative sentiment from insider selling, which could impact investor confidence.

18 analysts cover FAST: 9 rate it Buy, 9 Hold and 0 Sell. The average price target is 45.00.

This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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