Ellington Financial Inc

Ellington Financial Inc (EFC) Stock Analysis

$11.650

-0.245 (-2.10%)At close

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High
12.000
Open
11.970
VWAP
11.74
Volume
1.55M
Mkt Cap
1.03B
Low
11.585
Amount
18.19M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
46.69

Ellington Financial Inc. operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT). The Company acquires and manages mortgage-related, consumer-related, corporate-related, and other financial assets. Its segments include Investment Portfolio Segment and Longbridge Segment. The Investment Portfolio Segment invests in financial assets, including residential and commercial mortgage loans; residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS); commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS); consumer loans and asset-backed securities (ABS) including ABS backed by consumer loans; investments referencing mortgage servicing rights on traditional forward mortgage loans; collateralized loan obligations; non-mortgage- and mortgage-related derivatives; debt and equity investments in loan origination companies; and other strategic investments. The Longbridge Segment is engaged in the business of originating, purchasing, selling and servicing reverse mortgage loans, including home equity conversion mortgage loans.

AI analysis of Ellington Financial Inc (EFC)

Hold

Ellington Financial Inc (EFC) is currently priced at $11.65, with a forward P/E of 9.07, indicating it may be undervalued compared to its earnings potential. However, the RSI is at 39.42, suggesting it is nearing oversold territory, which could indicate a potential buying opportunity. The main risk is the recent downgrade in analyst ratings, with Piper Sandler lowering the price target to $14, which could limit short-term upside.

Analyst Ratings (6)

+28.76% upside
Buy
4 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Current: 11.65
Low
14.50
Average
15.00
High
16.00

Piper Sandler

2026-10-09

Price Target

$14

Overweight

Keefe Bruyette

2026-10-07

Price Target

$15

Outperform

BTIG

2026-06-17

Price Target

—

Neutral

Keefe Bruyette

2026-05-11

Price Target

$15

Market Perform

Piper Sandler

2025-12-23

Price Target

$6

Overweight

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Ellington Financial Inc (EFC) is 9.07, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 8.27.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
8.27
Current P/E
9.07
Overvalued
9.21
Undervalued
7.33

Forward EV/EBITDA

Strongly Overvalued
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
6.00
Current EV/EBITDA
46.69
Overvalued
23.39
Undervalued
-11.40

Forward P/S

Fair
5Y Average P/S
2.67
Current P/S
2.06
Overvalued
3.43
Undervalued
1.91

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for EFC

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%EFC

$15.80

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%EFC

$13.38

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%EFC

$10.54

Scenario price

Whales holding EFC

F

Fuh Hwa Securities Investment Trust Co., Ltd.

+ HoldingEFC

-0.57%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-09-24 (ET)

17:00:00

Ellington Financial Estimates Book Value Per Share at $13.62

2026-09-14 (ET)

08:30:00

Ellington Financial Plans to Offer $100M in 7.375% Senior Unsecured Notes

2026-08-24 (ET)

17:00:00

Ellington Financial Reports Estimated Book Value Per Share of $13.63

2026-08-06 (ET)

17:00:00

Ellington Financial Reports 20% Economic Return in Q2

2026-07-23 (ET)

16:30:00

Ellington Financial Reports Estimated Book Value Per Share of $13.61

News

EFC FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Ellington Financial Inc. operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT). The Company acquires and manages mortgage-related, consumer-related, corporate-related, and other financial assets. Its segments include Investment Portfolio Segment and Longbridge Segment. The Investment Portfolio Segment invests in financial assets, including residential and commercial mortgage loans; residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS); commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS); consumer loans and asset-backed securities (ABS) including ABS backed by consumer loans; investments referencing mortgage servicing rights on traditional forward mortgage loans; collateralized loan obligations; non-mortgage- and mortgage-related derivatives; debt and equity investments in loan origination companies; and other strategic investments. The Longbridge Segment is engaged in the business of originating, purchasing, selling and servicing reverse mortgage loans, including home equity conversion mortgage loans. It operates in the Real Estate sector (REAL ESTATE industry).

Ellington Financial Inc (EFC) is currently priced at $11.65, with a forward P/E of 9.07, indicating it may be undervalued compared to its earnings potential. However, the RSI is at 39.42, suggesting it is nearing oversold territory, which could indicate a potential buying opportunity. The main risk is the recent downgrade in analyst ratings, with Piper Sandler lowering the price target to $14, which could limit short-term upside.

6 analysts cover EFC: 4 rate it Buy, 2 Hold and 0 Sell. The average price target is 15.00.

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This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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