Ellington Financial Inc

Ellington Financial Inc (EFC) Stock Analysis

$13.380

-0.187 (-1.40%)At close

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High
13.515
Open
13.400
VWAP
13.42
Vol
1.31M
Mkt Cap
1.03B
Low
13.350
Amount
17.64M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
47.53

Ellington Financial Inc. operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT). The Company acquires and manages mortgage-related, consumer-related, corporate-related, and other financial assets. Its segments include Investment Portfolio Segment and Longbridge Segment. The Investment Portfolio Segment invests in financial assets, including residential and commercial mortgage loans; residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS); commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS); consumer loans and asset-backed securities (ABS) including ABS backed by consumer loans; investments referencing mortgage servicing rights on traditional forward mortgage loans; collateralized loan obligations; non-mortgage- and mortgage-related derivatives; debt and equity investments in loan origination companies; and other strategic investments. The Longbridge Segment is engaged in the business of originating, purchasing, selling and servicing reverse mortgage loans, including home equity conversion mortgage loans.

AI analysis of Ellington Financial Inc (EFC)

hold

Ellington Financial Inc is not a strong buy at the moment due to its current price of $13.57 being very close to its estimated book value of $13.63. While the company reported a Q2 EPS of $0.60, beating expectations by $0.14, the downgrade from BTIG suggests limited upside potential. Additionally, the RSI of 49.9 indicates a neutral momentum, which does not favor a buy right now.

Analyst Ratings (6)

+12.11% upside
Buy
4 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Current: 13.38
Low
14.50
Average
15.00
High
16.00

BTIG

2026-06-17

Price Target

Neutral

Keefe Bruyette

2026-05-11

Price Target

$15

Market Perform

Piper Sandler

2025-12-23

Price Target

$6

Overweight

UBS

2025-09-03

Price Target

Neutral

JonesResearch

2025-08-13

Price Target

$14.25

Buy

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Ellington Financial Inc (EFC) is 9.07, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 8.28.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
8.28
Current P/E
9.07
Overvalued
9.24
Undervalued
7.32

Forward EV/EBITDA

Strongly Overvalued
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
4.66
Current EV/EBITDA
47.53
Overvalued
20.60
Undervalued
-11.27

Forward P/S

Fair
5Y Average P/S
2.72
Current P/S
2.36
Overvalued
3.51
Undervalued
1.93

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for EFC

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%EFC

$15.80

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%EFC

$13.38

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%EFC

$10.54

Scenario price

Whales holding EFC

F

Fuh Hwa Securities Investment Trust Co., Ltd.

+ HoldingEFC

-4.37%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-08-24 (ET)

17:00:00

Ellington Financial Reports Estimated Book Value Per Share of $13.63

2026-08-06 (ET)

17:00:00

Ellington Financial Reports 20% Economic Return in Q2

2026-07-23 (ET)

16:30:00

Ellington Financial Reports Estimated Book Value Per Share of $13.61

2026-06-25 (ET)

16:30:00

Ellington Financial Announces Estimated Book Value Per Share of $13.49

2026-05-05 (ET)

16:50:00

Ellington Financial Q1 Net Income of $0.47 per Share

News

EFC FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Ellington Financial Inc. operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT). The Company acquires and manages mortgage-related, consumer-related, corporate-related, and other financial assets. Its segments include Investment Portfolio Segment and Longbridge Segment. The Investment Portfolio Segment invests in financial assets, including residential and commercial mortgage loans; residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS); commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS); consumer loans and asset-backed securities (ABS) including ABS backed by consumer loans; investments referencing mortgage servicing rights on traditional forward mortgage loans; collateralized loan obligations; non-mortgage- and mortgage-related derivatives; debt and equity investments in loan origination companies; and other strategic investments. The Longbridge Segment is engaged in the business of originating, purchasing, selling and servicing reverse mortgage loans, including home equity conversion mortgage loans. It operates in the Real Estate sector (REAL ESTATE industry).

Ellington Financial Inc is not a strong buy at the moment due to its current price of $13.57 being very close to its estimated book value of $13.63. While the company reported a Q2 EPS of $0.60, beating expectations by $0.14, the downgrade from BTIG suggests limited upside potential. Additionally, the RSI of 49.9 indicates a neutral momentum, which does not favor a buy right now.

6 analysts cover EFC: 4 rate it Buy, 2 Hold and 0 Sell. The average price target is 15.00.

This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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