Ecopetrol SA

Ecopetrol SA (EC) Stock Analysis

$16.500

-0.059 (-0.36%)At close

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High
16.670
Open
16.510
VWAP
16.49
Vol
928.78K
Mkt Cap
22.94B
Low
16.300
Amount
15.32M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
0.00

Ecopetrol S.A. is an oil company. The Company operates in Colombia, Peru, Brazil and the United States Gulf Coast. The Company's segments include Exploration and Production, Transportation and Logistics, and Refining, Petrochemicals and Biofuels. The Company's Exploration and Production segment includes exploration, development and production activities in Colombia and abroad. The Company's Transportation and Logistics segment includes the transportation of crude oil, motor fuels, fuel oil and other refined products, including diesel and biofuels. The Company's main crude oil pipeline systems' operating capacity is approximately 1.34 million barrels per day (BPD). The Company's main refineries are the Barrancabermeja refinery, which it directly owns and operates, and a refinery in the Free Trade Zone in Cartagena that is operated by Reficar S.A., a subsidiary of the Company. The Company also owns and operates two other minor refineries: Orito and Apiay.

AI analysis of Ecopetrol SA (EC)

hold

Ecopetrol is currently not a strong buy due to its low RSI of 27.814, indicating oversold conditions, and a recent 5-day price drop of 5.88%. Despite a significant year-to-date increase of 61.45%, the stock's current price of $16.50 is below the analyst price target range, which suggests potential for recovery but also highlights the risk of further declines. The main risk is the recent downgrade from Citi, which cites valuation concerns after the stock's rally, indicating potential downside risk.

Analyst Ratings (12)

-37.27% downside
Hold
0 Buy
8 Hold
4 Sell
Current: 16.50
Low
8.70
Average
10.35
High
12.00

JPMorgan

2026-07-29

Price Target

$13

Neutral

Citi

2026-06-03

Price Target

$18

Neutral

JPMorgan

2026-06-01

Price Target

$13

Neutral

UBS

2026-05-27

Price Target

$14

Neutral

Moody's

2026-05-06

Price Target

Ba2

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Ecopetrol SA (EC) is 9.12, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 6.09.

Forward P/E

Overvalued
5Y Average P/E
6.09
Current P/E
9.12
Overvalued
8.17
Undervalued
4.02

Forward EV/EBITDA

Strongly Undervalued
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
3.65
Current EV/EBITDA
0.00
Overvalued
4.21
Undervalued
3.09

Forward P/S

Strongly Undervalued
5Y Average P/S
0.60
Current P/S
0.00
Overvalued
0.87
Undervalued
0.32

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for EC

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%EC

$9.96

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%EC

$9.06

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%EC

$7.31

Scenario price

Whales holding EC

C

Colombia

+ HoldingEC

+1.54%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-07-20 (ET)

18:30:00

Ecopetrol Reports Limited Impact from Cybersecurity Incident

2026-07-19 (ET)

12:00:00

Ecopetrol Reports Cyber Attack Incident

2026-07-16 (ET)

09:30:00

Ecopetrol Investimentos Receives Support from Brazilian SEC

2026-07-01 (ET)

05:30:00

Ecopetrol Receives Approximately COP 1 Trillion from National Government

2026-06-15 (ET)

06:30:00

Ecopetrol Reaches New Agreement with Oil Workers Union

News

EC FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Ecopetrol S.A. is an oil company. The Company operates in Colombia, Peru, Brazil and the United States Gulf Coast. The Company's segments include Exploration and Production, Transportation and Logistics, and Refining, Petrochemicals and Biofuels. The Company's Exploration and Production segment includes exploration, development and production activities in Colombia and abroad. The Company's Transportation and Logistics segment includes the transportation of crude oil, motor fuels, fuel oil and other refined products, including diesel and biofuels. The Company's main crude oil pipeline systems' operating capacity is approximately 1.34 million barrels per day (BPD). The Company's main refineries are the Barrancabermeja refinery, which it directly owns and operates, and a refinery in the Free Trade Zone in Cartagena that is operated by Reficar S.A., a subsidiary of the Company. The Company also owns and operates two other minor refineries: Orito and Apiay. It operates in the Energy sector.

Ecopetrol is currently not a strong buy due to its low RSI of 27.814, indicating oversold conditions, and a recent 5-day price drop of 5.88%. Despite a significant year-to-date increase of 61.45%, the stock's current price of $16.50 is below the analyst price target range, which suggests potential for recovery but also highlights the risk of further declines. The main risk is the recent downgrade from Citi, which cites valuation concerns after the stock's rally, indicating potential downside risk.

12 analysts cover EC: 0 rate it Buy, 8 Hold and 4 Sell. The average price target is 10.35.

This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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