Ecopetrol SA

Ecopetrol SA (EC) Stock Analysis

$17.900

+0.388 (+2.17%)At close

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High
18.020
Open
17.660
VWAP
17.78
Volume
1.84M
Mkt Cap
22.94B
Low
17.420
Amount
32.66M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
0.00

Ecopetrol S.A. is an oil company. The Company operates in Colombia, Peru, Brazil and the United States Gulf Coast. The Company's segments include Exploration and Production, Transportation and Logistics, and Refining, Petrochemicals and Biofuels. The Company's Exploration and Production segment includes exploration, development and production activities in Colombia and abroad. The Company's Transportation and Logistics segment includes the transportation of crude oil, motor fuels, fuel oil and other refined products, including diesel and biofuels. The Company's main crude oil pipeline systems' operating capacity is approximately 1.34 million barrels per day (BPD). The Company's main refineries are the Barrancabermeja refinery, which it directly owns and operates, and a refinery in the Free Trade Zone in Cartagena that is operated by Reficar S.A., a subsidiary of the Company. The Company also owns and operates two other minor refineries: Orito and Apiay.

AI analysis of Ecopetrol SA (EC)

Buy

Ecopetrol SA is a good buy right now due to its current price of $16.94, a strong year-to-date change of +65.75%, and a gross margin of 40.10% in Q2 2026. The main risk is the recent downgrade from Citi, which highlights potential valuation concerns, but the overall financial performance and growth prospects outweigh this risk.

Analyst Ratings (12)

-42.18% Downside
Hold
0 Buy
8 Hold
4 Sell
Current: 17.90
Low
8.70
Average
10.35
High
12.00

Goldman Sachs

2026-10-07

Price Target

—

Neutral

JPMorgan

2026-09-01

Price Target

—

Neutral

JPMorgan

2026-07-29

Price Target

$13

Neutral

Citi

2026-06-03

Price Target

$18

Neutral

JPMorgan

2026-06-01

Price Target

$13

Neutral

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Ecopetrol SA (EC) is 5.67, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 6.15.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
6.15
Current P/E
5.67
Overvalued
8.24
Undervalued
4.06

Forward EV/EBITDA

Strongly Undervalued
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
3.65
Current EV/EBITDA
0.00
Overvalued
4.22
Undervalued
3.08

Forward P/S

Strongly Undervalued
5Y Average P/S
0.57
Current P/S
0.00
Overvalued
0.85
Undervalued
0.29

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for EC

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%EC

$9.96

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%EC

$9.06

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%EC

$7.31

Scenario price

Whales holding EC

I

Itau USA Asset Management Inc.

+ HoldingEC

+11.48%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-09-24 (ET)

19:00:00

Ecopetrol Appoints Joaquin Gutierrez Caballero as CEO

2026-07-20 (ET)

18:30:00

Ecopetrol Reports Limited Impact from Cybersecurity Incident

2026-07-19 (ET)

12:00:00

Ecopetrol Reports Cyber Attack Incident

2026-07-16 (ET)

09:30:00

Ecopetrol Investimentos Receives Support from Brazilian SEC

2026-07-01 (ET)

05:30:00

Ecopetrol Receives Approximately COP 1 Trillion from National Government

News

EC FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Ecopetrol S.A. is an oil company. The Company operates in Colombia, Peru, Brazil and the United States Gulf Coast. The Company's segments include Exploration and Production, Transportation and Logistics, and Refining, Petrochemicals and Biofuels. The Company's Exploration and Production segment includes exploration, development and production activities in Colombia and abroad. The Company's Transportation and Logistics segment includes the transportation of crude oil, motor fuels, fuel oil and other refined products, including diesel and biofuels. The Company's main crude oil pipeline systems' operating capacity is approximately 1.34 million barrels per day (BPD). The Company's main refineries are the Barrancabermeja refinery, which it directly owns and operates, and a refinery in the Free Trade Zone in Cartagena that is operated by Reficar S.A., a subsidiary of the Company. The Company also owns and operates two other minor refineries: Orito and Apiay. It operates in the Energy sector.

Ecopetrol SA is a good buy right now due to its current price of $16.94, a strong year-to-date change of +65.75%, and a gross margin of 40.10% in Q2 2026. The main risk is the recent downgrade from Citi, which highlights potential valuation concerns, but the overall financial performance and growth prospects outweigh this risk.

12 analysts cover EC: 0 rate it Buy, 8 Hold and 4 Sell. The average price target is 10.35.

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This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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