Covenant Logistics Group Inc

Covenant Logistics Group Inc (CVLG) Stock Analysis

$35.350

+0.375 (+1.06%)At close

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High
35.380
Open
34.940
VWAP
35.06
Vol
119.61K
Mkt Cap
Low
34.460
Amount
4.19M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
6.85

Covenant Logistics Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, offers a portfolio of transportation and logistics services to customers throughout the United States. The Company’s primary services include asset-based expedited and dedicated truckload capacity, as well as asset-light warehousing, transportation management, and freight brokerage capability. Its Expedited segment primarily provides truckload services to customers with high service freight and delivery standards. Its Dedicated segment provides customers with committed truckload capacity over contracted periods. Its Managed Freight segment includes its brokerage services and transport management services (TMS). Its Warehousing reportable segment provides day-to-day warehouse management services to customers who have chosen to outsource this function. It also provides shuttle and switching services related to shuttling containers and trailers in or around freight yards and to/from warehouses.

AI analysis of Covenant Logistics Group Inc (CVLG)

hold

Covenant Logistics Group Inc is currently priced at $34.98, which is below the analyst price targets of $50 and $54, indicating potential upside. However, the RSI is at 45.776, suggesting the stock is nearing oversold territory but not yet a strong buy signal. The recent earnings miss, with a reported EPS of $0.42 against expectations, and a 4.9% drop in share price post-earnings indicate market caution. The main risk is the declining net margin, which fell to 1.44% in Q1 2026, reflecting profitability challenges.

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Covenant Logistics Group Inc (CVLG) is 22.22, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 10.61.

Forward P/E

Strongly Overvalued
5Y Average P/E
10.61
Current P/E
22.22
Overvalued
15.43
Undervalued
5.80

Forward EV/EBITDA

Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
5.46
Current EV/EBITDA
6.85
Overvalued
7.05
Undervalued
3.88

Forward P/S

Overvalued
5Y Average P/S
0.49
Current P/S
0.63
Overvalued
0.60
Undervalued
0.38

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for CVLG

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%CVLG

$26.50

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%CVLG

$23.57

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%CVLG

$23.07

Scenario price

Whales holding CVLG

N

Next Century Growth Investors LLC

+ HoldingCVLG

-11.53%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-07-29 (ET)

16:31:00

Q2 Revenue at $332.87M, CEO Highlights Cost Issues

16:30:00

CEO Expects Modest EPS Increase in Q3 2026

2026-04-23 (ET)

16:20:00

Q1 Revenue Surpasses Expectations at $307.16M

2026-03-06 (ET)

17:00:00

Covenant Logistics Files $200M Mixed Securities Shelf

2026-01-29 (ET)

16:20:00

Company Reports Q4 Revenue of $295.37M

News

CVLG FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Covenant Logistics Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, offers a portfolio of transportation and logistics services to customers throughout the United States. The Company’s primary services include asset-based expedited and dedicated truckload capacity, as well as asset-light warehousing, transportation management, and freight brokerage capability. Its Expedited segment primarily provides truckload services to customers with high service freight and delivery standards. Its Dedicated segment provides customers with committed truckload capacity over contracted periods. Its Managed Freight segment includes its brokerage services and transport management services (TMS). Its Warehousing reportable segment provides day-to-day warehouse management services to customers who have chosen to outsource this function. It also provides shuttle and switching services related to shuttling containers and trailers in or around freight yards and to/from warehouses. It operates in the Industrials sector (TRUCKING (NO LOCAL) industry).

Covenant Logistics Group Inc is currently priced at $34.98, which is below the analyst price targets of $50 and $54, indicating potential upside. However, the RSI is at 45.776, suggesting the stock is nearing oversold territory but not yet a strong buy signal. The recent earnings miss, with a reported EPS of $0.42 against expectations, and a 4.9% drop in share price post-earnings indicate market caution. The main risk is the declining net margin, which fell to 1.44% in Q1 2026, reflecting profitability challenges.

This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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