Covenant Logistics Group Inc

Covenant Logistics Group Inc (CVLG) Stock Analysis

$29.160

-1.481 (-5.08%)At close

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High
31.010
Open
31.010
VWAP
29.74
Volume
172.92K
Mkt Cap
—
Low
29.060
Amount
5.14M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
6.01

Covenant Logistics Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, offers a portfolio of transportation and logistics services to customers throughout the United States. The Company’s primary services include asset-based expedited and dedicated truckload capacity, as well as asset-light warehousing, transportation management, and freight brokerage capability. Its Expedited segment primarily provides truckload services to customers with high service freight and delivery standards. Its Dedicated segment provides customers with committed truckload capacity over contracted periods. Its Managed Freight segment includes its brokerage services and transport management services (TMS). Its Warehousing reportable segment provides day-to-day warehouse management services to customers who have chosen to outsource this function. It also provides shuttle and switching services related to shuttling containers and trailers in or around freight yards and to/from warehouses.

AI analysis of Covenant Logistics Group Inc (CVLG)

Hold

Covenant Logistics Group Inc is currently a hold. The stock is trading at $30.72, which is below its recent high of $32.50 and significantly lower than the analyst price targets of $42 and $50. The RSI is at a low 20.6, indicating it may be oversold, but the stock has experienced a 5-day decline of 3.85% and a 20-day decline of 9.11%. The main risk is the recent earnings miss and a reported net income loss of $18.26 million in Q4 2025, which raises concerns about profitability moving forward.

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Covenant Logistics Group Inc (CVLG) is 14.22, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 10.83.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
10.83
Current P/E
14.22
Overvalued
15.66
Undervalued
6.01

Forward EV/EBITDA

Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
5.53
Current EV/EBITDA
6.01
Overvalued
7.11
Undervalued
3.95

Forward P/S

Fair
5Y Average P/S
0.50
Current P/S
0.54
Overvalued
0.60
Undervalued
0.39

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for CVLG

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%CVLG

$26.50

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%CVLG

$23.57

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%CVLG

$23.07

Scenario price

Whales holding CVLG

N

Next Century Growth Investors LLC

+ HoldingCVLG

-21.03%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-07-29 (ET)

16:31:00

Q2 Revenue at $332.87M, CEO Highlights Cost Issues

16:30:00

CEO Expects Modest EPS Increase in Q3 2026

2026-04-23 (ET)

16:20:00

Q1 Revenue Surpasses Expectations at $307.16M

2026-03-06 (ET)

17:00:00

Covenant Logistics Files $200M Mixed Securities Shelf

2026-01-29 (ET)

16:20:00

Company Reports Q4 Revenue of $295.37M

News

CVLG FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Covenant Logistics Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, offers a portfolio of transportation and logistics services to customers throughout the United States. The Company’s primary services include asset-based expedited and dedicated truckload capacity, as well as asset-light warehousing, transportation management, and freight brokerage capability. Its Expedited segment primarily provides truckload services to customers with high service freight and delivery standards. Its Dedicated segment provides customers with committed truckload capacity over contracted periods. Its Managed Freight segment includes its brokerage services and transport management services (TMS). Its Warehousing reportable segment provides day-to-day warehouse management services to customers who have chosen to outsource this function. It also provides shuttle and switching services related to shuttling containers and trailers in or around freight yards and to/from warehouses. It operates in the Industrials sector (TRUCKING (NO LOCAL) industry).

Covenant Logistics Group Inc is currently a hold. The stock is trading at $30.72, which is below its recent high of $32.50 and significantly lower than the analyst price targets of $42 and $50. The RSI is at a low 20.6, indicating it may be oversold, but the stock has experienced a 5-day decline of 3.85% and a 20-day decline of 9.11%. The main risk is the recent earnings miss and a reported net income loss of $18.26 million in Q4 2025, which raises concerns about profitability moving forward.

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This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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