Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (CMG) Stock Analysis

$27.520

-0.605 (-2.20%)At close

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High
28.040
Open
27.930
VWAP
27.62
Volume
18.71M
Mkt Cap
85.71B
Low
27.310
Amount
516.72M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
15.10

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. is a restaurant company. The Company develops and operates restaurants that serve a menu of burritos, burrito bowls, quesadillas, tacos, and salads, made using fresh ingredients. The Company operates approximately 3839 restaurants in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, France, Germany, Kuwait, and United Arab Emirates. It owns and operates all its restaurants in North America and Europe. The Company is focused in serving sourced, classically cooked, real food with wholesome ingredients without artificial colors, flavors or preservatives. Its menu includes Burrito, Burrito Bowl, Lifestyle Bowl, Quesadilla, Salad, Tacos, Kid’s Meal, Chips and Sides, and Build your Own (digital only). It also includes Raymonte’s Chicken Bowl, The Mr. Fantasy Burrito, Carne Asada, Build-Your-Own Chipotle, catering and group order. Its subsidiaries include Chipotle Mexican Grill Canada Corp., Chipotle Mexican Grill France SAS, among others.

AI analysis of Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (CMG)

Sell

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc is not a good buy right now. The current price is $27.52, which is significantly lower than the analyst price target of $53 from BofA, but the stock has seen a year-to-date change of -26.59% and a 1-year change of -32.98%. Additionally, the RSI is at a very low 12.798, indicating oversold conditions, but this could suggest further downside risk. The main risk is the declining revenue growth, which is only 12.3% year-over-year compared to competitors like Dutch Bros at 35.9%.

Analyst Ratings (35)

+66.97% upside
Hold
7 Buy
23 Hold
5 Sell
Current: 27.52
Low
35.00
Average
45.95
High
56.00

JPMorgan

2026-09-29

Price Target

$37

Overweight

Seaport Research

2026-09-15

Price Target

—

Neutral

BofA

2026-09-01

Price Target

$53

Buy

Baird

2026-08-24

Price Target

$40

Neutral

Argus

2026-08-04

Price Target

$45

Buy

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (CMG) is 28.17, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 40.39.

Forward P/E

Undervalued
5Y Average P/E
40.39
Current P/E
28.17
Overvalued
48.46
Undervalued
32.33

Forward EV/EBITDA

Strongly Undervalued
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
27.28
Current EV/EBITDA
15.10
Overvalued
32.60
Undervalued
21.95

Forward P/S

Undervalued
5Y Average P/S
4.93
Current P/S
2.47
Overvalued
6.17
Undervalued
3.70

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for CMG

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%CMG

$60.90

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%CMG

$55.92

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%CMG

$53.98

Scenario price

Whales holding CMG

E

Entropy Technologies, LP

+ HoldingCMG

+8.72%

3M Return

Q

Quantbot Technologies, LP

+ HoldingCMG

+8.22%

3M Return

N

Numeric Investors LLC

+ HoldingCMG

+6.54%

3M Return

O

Orinda Advisors, LLC

+ HoldingCMG

+6.46%

3M Return

J

John W. Bristol & Co., Inc.

+ HoldingCMG

+5.84%

3M Return

S

Sustainable Growth Advisers, LP

+ HoldingCMG

+5.19%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-10-21 (ET)

16:30:00

Nasdaq Rises on SpaceX Earnings Report

12:30:00

SpaceX Reports First Profit, Tesla Merger Proposal Gains Attention

2026-10-15 (ET)

14:30:00

Chipotle Shares Slightly Up to $30.62

2026-10-12 (ET)

16:30:00

Dow Rises While Nasdaq Falls

12:00:00

Major Averages Mixed as Investors Eye Earnings Season

News

CMG FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. is a restaurant company. The Company develops and operates restaurants that serve a menu of burritos, burrito bowls, quesadillas, tacos, and salads, made using fresh ingredients. The Company operates approximately 3839 restaurants in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, France, Germany, Kuwait, and United Arab Emirates. It owns and operates all its restaurants in North America and Europe. The Company is focused in serving sourced, classically cooked, real food with wholesome ingredients without artificial colors, flavors or preservatives. Its menu includes Burrito, Burrito Bowl, Lifestyle Bowl, Quesadilla, Salad, Tacos, Kid’s Meal, Chips and Sides, and Build your Own (digital only). It also includes Raymonte’s Chicken Bowl, The Mr. Fantasy Burrito, Carne Asada, Build-Your-Own Chipotle, catering and group order. Its subsidiaries include Chipotle Mexican Grill Canada Corp., Chipotle Mexican Grill France SAS, among others. It operates in the Consumer Cyclicals sector (RETAIL-EATING PLACES industry).

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc is not a good buy right now. The current price is $27.52, which is significantly lower than the analyst price target of $53 from BofA, but the stock has seen a year-to-date change of -26.59% and a 1-year change of -32.98%. Additionally, the RSI is at a very low 12.798, indicating oversold conditions, but this could suggest further downside risk. The main risk is the declining revenue growth, which is only 12.3% year-over-year compared to competitors like Dutch Bros at 35.9%.

35 analysts cover CMG: 7 rate it Buy, 23 Hold and 5 Sell. The average price target is 45.95.

Community

More ↗
jade_estuary10/12/2026

CMG stock moved higher overnight: Chipotle's digital strategy could support growth despite margin pressure, according to an analyst. $CMG $SBUX $CZA

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$CMG You think your corporate slop bowl is expensive? Starbucks reportedly explored buying Chipotle, a deal that would unite two of America’s biggest restaurant chains and put Brian Niccol back in charge of his former company. Why the beat was not what the market cared about, and the number that decides what comes next:

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0xLunarbazaar10/8/2026

$CMG $SBUX Hmmm.... Starbucks has explored takeover of Chipotle, FT reports Starbucks (SBUX) has explored a potential takeover of Chipotle (CMG) with advisers in recent months, which would unite two major U.S. restaurant brands in a deal that could be the largest-ever transaction in the sector, valuing Chipotle at nearly $39B, The Financial Times' James Fontanella-Khan, Arash Massoudi, Oliver Barnes, and Gregory Meyer report. It is unclear whether Starbucks has submitted any formal offer for Chipotle.

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