Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (CMG) Stock Analysis

$38.030

+0.829 (+2.18%)At close

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High
38.260
Open
37.600
VWAP
37.94
Vol
12.72M
Mkt Cap
85.71B
Low
37.530
Amount
482.42M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
19.74

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. is a restaurant company. The Company develops and operates restaurants that serve a menu of burritos, burrito bowls, quesadillas, tacos, and salads, made using fresh ingredients. The Company operates approximately 3839 restaurants in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, France, Germany, Kuwait, and United Arab Emirates. It owns and operates all its restaurants in North America and Europe. The Company is focused in serving sourced, classically cooked, real food with wholesome ingredients without artificial colors, flavors or preservatives. Its menu includes Burrito, Burrito Bowl, Lifestyle Bowl, Quesadilla, Salad, Tacos, Kid’s Meal, Chips and Sides, and Build your Own (digital only). It also includes Raymonte’s Chicken Bowl, The Mr. Fantasy Burrito, Carne Asada, Build-Your-Own Chipotle, catering and group order. Its subsidiaries include Chipotle Mexican Grill Canada Corp., Chipotle Mexican Grill France SAS, among others.

AI analysis of Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (CMG)

hold

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc is currently a hold. The stock is priced at $38.03, which is below the average analyst target of $45, indicating potential upside. However, the RSI is at 75.717, suggesting the stock is overbought and may face short-term corrections. Additionally, insider selling for tax obligations raises concerns about future growth, especially as revenue growth has slowed to 7.3% over the past 18 months, down from over 10%.

Analyst Ratings (35)

+20.83% upside
Hold
7 Buy
23 Hold
5 Sell
Current: 38.03
Low
35.00
Average
45.95
High
56.00

Baird

2026-08-24

Price Target

$40

Neutral

Argus

2026-08-04

Price Target

$45

Buy

Guggenheim

2026-07-31

Price Target

$36

Neutral

DA Davidson

2026-07-30

Price Target

$50

Buy

BofA

2026-07-30

Price Target

$50

Buy

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (CMG) is 32.36, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 41.53.

Forward P/E

Undervalued
5Y Average P/E
41.53
Current P/E
32.36
Overvalued
50.20
Undervalued
32.85

Forward EV/EBITDA

Undervalued
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
27.97
Current EV/EBITDA
19.74
Overvalued
33.38
Undervalued
22.55

Forward P/S

Undervalued
5Y Average P/S
5.04
Current P/S
3.34
Overvalued
6.25
Undervalued
3.84

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for CMG

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%CMG

$60.90

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%CMG

$55.92

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%CMG

$53.98

Scenario price

Whales holding CMG

T

Tremblant Capital Group

+ HoldingCMG

+6.35%

3M Return

J

John W. Bristol & Co., Inc.

+ HoldingCMG

+5.60%

3M Return

T

Tremblant Advisors LP

+ HoldingCMG

+2.37%

3M Return

V

Voleon Capital Management LP

+ HoldingCMG

+1.75%

3M Return

A

Alyeska Investment Group, L.P.

+ HoldingCMG

-0.45%

3M Return

C

Community Trust and Investment Company

+ HoldingCMG

-0.96%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-08-24 (ET)

16:30:00

Nvidia Informs Customers of 15% Price Increase for AI Servers

12:00:00

Nasdaq and S&P 500 Decline as Nvidia Faces Price Hike

2026-08-13 (ET)

08:00:00

Chipotle Opens First Restaurant in Saudi Arabia

2026-08-12 (ET)

12:30:00

Chipotle Shares Rise 2.05% to $32.66

2026-08-05 (ET)

15:00:00

TD Cowen Keeps Buy Rating on Chipotle with $44 Price Target

News

CMG FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. is a restaurant company. The Company develops and operates restaurants that serve a menu of burritos, burrito bowls, quesadillas, tacos, and salads, made using fresh ingredients. The Company operates approximately 3839 restaurants in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, France, Germany, Kuwait, and United Arab Emirates. It owns and operates all its restaurants in North America and Europe. The Company is focused in serving sourced, classically cooked, real food with wholesome ingredients without artificial colors, flavors or preservatives. Its menu includes Burrito, Burrito Bowl, Lifestyle Bowl, Quesadilla, Salad, Tacos, Kid’s Meal, Chips and Sides, and Build your Own (digital only). It also includes Raymonte’s Chicken Bowl, The Mr. Fantasy Burrito, Carne Asada, Build-Your-Own Chipotle, catering and group order. Its subsidiaries include Chipotle Mexican Grill Canada Corp., Chipotle Mexican Grill France SAS, among others. It operates in the Consumer Cyclicals sector (RETAIL-EATING PLACES industry).

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc is currently a hold. The stock is priced at $38.03, which is below the average analyst target of $45, indicating potential upside. However, the RSI is at 75.717, suggesting the stock is overbought and may face short-term corrections. Additionally, insider selling for tax obligations raises concerns about future growth, especially as revenue growth has slowed to 7.3% over the past 18 months, down from over 10%.

35 analysts cover CMG: 7 rate it Buy, 23 Hold and 5 Sell. The average price target is 45.95.

This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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