CF Industries Holdings Inc

CF Industries Holdings Inc (CF) Stock Analysis

$125.790

+0.075 (+0.06%)At close

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High
129.250
Open
126.710
VWAP
126.51
Vol
1.54M
Mkt Cap
13.66B
Low
124.500
Amount
194.49M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
4.54

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. is a global manufacturer of hydrogen and nitrogen products. The Company is focused on decarbonizing its ammonia production network to enable low-carbon hydrogen and nitrogen products for energy, fertilizer, emissions abatement and other industrial activities. The Company's segments include Ammonia, Granular Urea, UAN, AN and Other. Ammonia segment produces anhydrous ammonia (ammonia), which is the base product that it manufactures (containing 82% nitrogen and 18% hydrogen). Granular Urea segment produces granular urea, which contains 46% nitrogen. UAN segment produces urea ammonium nitrate solution (UAN). AN segment produces ammonium nitrate (AN). Other segment primarily includes products, such as diesel exhaust fluid (DEF), urea liquor and nitric acid. Its manufacturing complexes in the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom, a storage, transportation and distribution network in North America, and logistics capabilities enable a global reach.

AI analysis of CF Industries Holdings Inc (CF)

hold

CF Industries is currently priced at $125.79, with a forward P/E ratio of 8.55, indicating it is relatively undervalued compared to its earnings potential. However, insider selling has increased by 190.48% recently, which raises concerns about insider confidence in the stock. The stock has shown a year-to-date change of +56.98%, reflecting strong performance, but the recent downgrade by Freedom Broker from Buy to Hold with a lowered price target of $133 suggests caution. Overall, while the fundamentals are strong, the insider activity and mixed analyst ratings suggest it may be wise to hold rather than buy at this time.

Analyst Ratings (17)

-30.40% downside
Hold
6 Buy
9 Hold
2 Sell
Current: 125.79
Low
72.00
Average
87.55
High
100.00

Freedom Broker

2026-08-26

Price Target

$133

Hold

Scotiabank

2026-08-10

Price Target

$130

Outperform

UBS

2026-08-07

Price Target

$123

Neutral

CIBC

2026-07-24

Price Target

$129

Neutral

Morgan Stanley

2026-07-07

Price Target

$115

Equal Weight

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for CF Industries Holdings Inc (CF) is 8.55, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 10.08.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
10.08
Current P/E
8.55
Overvalued
13.49
Undervalued
6.68

Forward EV/EBITDA

Undervalued
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
6.27
Current EV/EBITDA
4.54
Overvalued
7.77
Undervalued
4.76

Forward P/S

Overvalued
5Y Average P/S
2.18
Current P/S
2.64
Overvalued
2.58
Undervalued
1.78

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for CF

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%CF

$111.20

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%CF

$110.21

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%CF

$96.34

Scenario price

Whales holding CF

S

Sprott Inc.

+ HoldingCF

+8.33%

3M Return

T

The Burney Company

+ HoldingCF

+4.15%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-08-20 (ET)

10:00:00

CF Industries and Others See Notable Gains

2026-08-05 (ET)

19:30:00

Stock Futures Mixed in After-Hours Trading

2026-07-08 (ET)

17:00:00

Dividend Payable on August 31, 2026

2026-06-16 (ET)

08:30:00

CRH Appoints Tony Will to Board of Directors

News

CF FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. is a global manufacturer of hydrogen and nitrogen products. The Company is focused on decarbonizing its ammonia production network to enable low-carbon hydrogen and nitrogen products for energy, fertilizer, emissions abatement and other industrial activities. The Company's segments include Ammonia, Granular Urea, UAN, AN and Other. Ammonia segment produces anhydrous ammonia (ammonia), which is the base product that it manufactures (containing 82% nitrogen and 18% hydrogen). Granular Urea segment produces granular urea, which contains 46% nitrogen. UAN segment produces urea ammonium nitrate solution (UAN). AN segment produces ammonium nitrate (AN). Other segment primarily includes products, such as diesel exhaust fluid (DEF), urea liquor and nitric acid. Its manufacturing complexes in the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom, a storage, transportation and distribution network in North America, and logistics capabilities enable a global reach. It operates in the Basic Materials sector (AGRICULTURAL CHEMICALS industry).

CF Industries is currently priced at $125.79, with a forward P/E ratio of 8.55, indicating it is relatively undervalued compared to its earnings potential. However, insider selling has increased by 190.48% recently, which raises concerns about insider confidence in the stock. The stock has shown a year-to-date change of +56.98%, reflecting strong performance, but the recent downgrade by Freedom Broker from Buy to Hold with a lowered price target of $133 suggests caution. Overall, while the fundamentals are strong, the insider activity and mixed analyst ratings suggest it may be wise to hold rather than buy at this time.

17 analysts cover CF: 6 rate it Buy, 9 Hold and 2 Sell. The average price target is 87.55.

This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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