Burford Capital Ltd

Burford Capital Ltd (BUR) Stock Analysis

$4.360

+0.041 (+0.93%)At close

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High
4.379
Open
4.318
VWAP
4.35
Vol
1.02M
Mkt Cap
2.82B
Low
4.300
Amount
4.44M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
0.00

Burford Capital Limited is a global finance and asset management company focused on law. The Company’s businesses include litigation finance and risk management, asset recovery and a range of legal finance and advisory activities. It provides capital, based on portfolio size, against the underlying value of litigation and legal assets. It operates through two segments: Principal Finance and Asset Management and Other Services. The Principal Finance segment funds capital to legal finance assets from its balance sheet, primarily as capital provision assets, and in limited scope through interests in private funds managed the Company. These capital provision assets and private fund interests generate its capital provision income. The Asset Management and Other Services segment manages legal finance assets on behalf of third-party investors, and it provides other services to the legal industry. Its clients are a range of litigants including a number of law firms and businesses.

AI analysis of Burford Capital Ltd (BUR)

hold

Burford Capital Ltd is not a strong buy at the moment. The current price is $4.36, which is significantly below the analyst price targets of $5 and $7. The company has reported a staggering net loss of $1.63 billion in Q1 2026, which raises concerns about its financial stability. Although there was a positive cash flow of over $733 million in Q2 and a potential arbitration award of $200 million, the severe revenue decline of 42% year-over-year indicates ongoing challenges. Therefore, while there are some positive catalysts, the risks outweigh the potential rewards right now.

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Burford Capital Ltd (BUR) is 9.68, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 20.80.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
20.80
Current P/E
9.68
Overvalued
63.85
Undervalued
-22.25

Forward EV/EBITDA

Undervalued
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
7.85
Current EV/EBITDA
0.00
Overvalued
14.03
Undervalued
1.66

Forward P/S

Undervalued
5Y Average P/S
4.33
Current P/S
1.93
Overvalued
5.94
Undervalued
2.72

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for BUR

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%BUR

$19.81

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%BUR

$17.72

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%BUR

$15.87

Scenario price

Whales holding BUR

A

Allan Gray Australia Pty Ltd.

+ HoldingBUR

-28.13%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-08-06 (ET)

08:30:00

Burford Reports Q2 Revenue of $110.68M, Beating Consensus

2026-05-08 (ET)

07:20:00

Burford Reports Q1 Revenue of $1.72 Billion

07:10:00

Burford Capital Appoints Travis Lenkner as COO

2026-03-27 (ET)

13:10:00

Burford Capital Shares Drop 38% to $4.86

11:10:00

Burford Capital Shares Drop to $4.40

News

BUR FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Burford Capital Limited is a global finance and asset management company focused on law. The Company’s businesses include litigation finance and risk management, asset recovery and a range of legal finance and advisory activities. It provides capital, based on portfolio size, against the underlying value of litigation and legal assets. It operates through two segments: Principal Finance and Asset Management and Other Services. The Principal Finance segment funds capital to legal finance assets from its balance sheet, primarily as capital provision assets, and in limited scope through interests in private funds managed the Company. These capital provision assets and private fund interests generate its capital provision income. The Asset Management and Other Services segment manages legal finance assets on behalf of third-party investors, and it provides other services to the legal industry. Its clients are a range of litigants including a number of law firms and businesses. It operates in the Financials sector.

Burford Capital Ltd is not a strong buy at the moment. The current price is $4.36, which is significantly below the analyst price targets of $5 and $7. The company has reported a staggering net loss of $1.63 billion in Q1 2026, which raises concerns about its financial stability. Although there was a positive cash flow of over $733 million in Q2 and a potential arbitration award of $200 million, the severe revenue decline of 42% year-over-year indicates ongoing challenges. Therefore, while there are some positive catalysts, the risks outweigh the potential rewards right now.

This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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