Bain Capital Specialty Finance Inc

Bain Capital Specialty Finance Inc (BCSF) Stock Analysis

$10.630

+0.173 (+1.63%)At close

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High
10.820
Open
10.550
VWAP
10.64
Volume
429.00K
Mkt Cap
1.08B
Low
10.480
Amount
4.57M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
10.72

Bain Capital Specialty Finance, Inc. is an externally managed specialty finance company focused on lending to middle market companies. The Company's investment objective is to generate current income and, to a lesser extent, capital appreciation through direct originations of secured debt, including first lien, first lien/last out, unitranche and second lien debt, investments in strategic joint ventures, equity investments and, to a lesser extent, corporate bonds. Its primary focus is capitalizing on opportunities within Bain Capital Credit's Senior Direct Lending Strategy, which seeks to provide risk-adjusted returns and current income to investors by investing primarily in middle-market direct lending opportunities across North America, Europe and Australia and also in other geographic markets. It may also invest in mezzanine debt and other junior securities, including common and preferred equity and in secondary purchases of assets or portfolios. It is managed by BCSF Advisors, LP.

AI analysis of Bain Capital Specialty Finance Inc (BCSF)

Hold

Bain Capital Specialty Finance Inc (BCSF) is currently priced at $10.62, which is below the analyst price target of $12.50, indicating potential upside. However, the stock has a low RSI of 25.267, suggesting it is oversold, yet it has seen a significant decline of 23.93% year-to-date. The main risk is the 136.38% increase in hedge fund selling, indicating bearish sentiment among institutional investors.

Analyst Ratings (6)

+39.51% upside
Buy
4 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Current: 10.63
Low
14.00
Average
14.83
High
16.00

Lucid Capital

2026-09-18

Price Target

$12.50

Neutral

Wells Fargo

2026-08-12

Price Target

$12

Equal Weight

BofA

2026-03-09

Price Target

$13

Neutral

Keefe Bruyette

2026-03-03

Price Target

$15

Outperform

Wells Fargo

2026-03-03

Price Target

$13

Equal Weight

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Bain Capital Specialty Finance Inc (BCSF) is 10.11, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 8.46.

Forward P/E

Overvalued
5Y Average P/E
8.46
Current P/E
10.11
Overvalued
9.95
Undervalued
6.97

Forward EV/EBITDA

Strongly Overvalued
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
1.39
Current EV/EBITDA
10.72
Overvalued
5.25
Undervalued
-2.47

Forward P/S

Undervalued
5Y Average P/S
3.78
Current P/S
2.92
Overvalued
4.50
Undervalued
3.07

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for BCSF

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%BCSF

$17.72

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%BCSF

$17.38

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%BCSF

$16.19

Scenario price

Whales holding BCSF

A

Ares Management LLC

+ HoldingBCSF

-2.59%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-08-10 (ET)

17:30:00

BCSF Q2 Net Asset Value Per Share Drops to $16.65

2026-05-11 (ET)

17:10:00

BCSF CEO States Credit Fundamentals Remain Sound

2026-02-01 (ET)

21:30:00

Ford in Talks with Xiaomi for U.S. Market Entry

2025-12-22 (ET)

16:20:00

Bain Capital Declares Special Dividend of $0.15 per Share

News

BCSF FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Bain Capital Specialty Finance, Inc. is an externally managed specialty finance company focused on lending to middle market companies. The Company's investment objective is to generate current income and, to a lesser extent, capital appreciation through direct originations of secured debt, including first lien, first lien/last out, unitranche and second lien debt, investments in strategic joint ventures, equity investments and, to a lesser extent, corporate bonds. Its primary focus is capitalizing on opportunities within Bain Capital Credit's Senior Direct Lending Strategy, which seeks to provide risk-adjusted returns and current income to investors by investing primarily in middle-market direct lending opportunities across North America, Europe and Australia and also in other geographic markets. It may also invest in mezzanine debt and other junior securities, including common and preferred equity and in secondary purchases of assets or portfolios. It is managed by BCSF Advisors, LP. It operates in the Financials sector.

Bain Capital Specialty Finance Inc (BCSF) is currently priced at $10.62, which is below the analyst price target of $12.50, indicating potential upside. However, the stock has a low RSI of 25.267, suggesting it is oversold, yet it has seen a significant decline of 23.93% year-to-date. The main risk is the 136.38% increase in hedge fund selling, indicating bearish sentiment among institutional investors.

6 analysts cover BCSF: 4 rate it Buy, 2 Hold and 0 Sell. The average price target is 14.83.

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This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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