ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.

ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. (ARR) Stock Analysis

$13.200

-0.445 (-3.37%)At close

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High
13.710
Open
13.670
VWAP
13.37
Volume
4.53M
Mkt Cap
1.01B
Low
13.200
Amount
60.59M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
62.93

ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. is a real estate investment trust. The Company invests primarily in fixed-rate residential, adjustable rate and hybrid adjustable-rate residential mortgage-backed securities issued or guaranteed by United States Government-sponsored enterprises or guaranteed by the Government National Mortgage Association. It brings private capital into the mortgage markets to support home ownership for a broad and diverse spectrum of Americans. It seeks to create stockholder value through investment and risk management of a leveraged and diversified portfolio of mortgage-backed securities (MBS). It invests in MBS, issued or guaranteed by a United States Government-sponsored entity (GSE), such as the Federal National Mortgage Association, the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation, or a government agency such as Government National Mortgage Administration (Agency Securities). The Company is externally managed and advised by ARMOUR Capital Management LP.

AI analysis of ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. (ARR)

Buy

ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc (ARR) is a good buy right now due to its current price of $13.20, which is significantly below the analyst price targets of $18 and $19. The stock has an attractive forward P/E ratio of 5.06, indicating potential for future earnings growth. Additionally, the company reported a total economic return of 4.8% for Q2 2026, alongside a GAAP net income of $111.5 million or $0.86 per share, demonstrating profitability despite recent market fluctuations. However, the main risk is the RSI of 25.06, indicating the stock is oversold and may face further downward pressure in the short term.

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. (ARR) is 5.06, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 6.12.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
6.12
Current P/E
5.06
Overvalued
8.69
Undervalued
3.55

Forward EV/EBITDA

Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
31.89
Current EV/EBITDA
62.93
Overvalued
145.99
Undervalued
-82.21

Forward P/S

Fair
5Y Average P/S
6.38
Current P/S
5.08
Overvalued
8.97
Undervalued
3.80

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for ARR

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%ARR

$38.37

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%ARR

$33.34

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%ARR

$16.64

Scenario price

Whales holding ARR

F

Fuh Hwa Securities Investment Trust Co., Ltd.

+ HoldingARR

-0.57%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-02-19 (ET)

07:20:00

ARMOUR's Book Value Per Share Rises to $18.63 in 2025

2025-08-12 (ET)

07:26:41

Armour Residential REIT announces estimated book value per share $17.02

2025-08-06 (ET)

07:36:18

Armour Residential REIT prices public offering of 18.5M shares

07:12:23

Armour Residential REIT 18.5M share Spot Secondary priced at $16.35

2025-08-05 (ET)

16:33:40

Armour Residential REIT announces 18.5M share common stock offering

News

ARR FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. is a real estate investment trust. The Company invests primarily in fixed-rate residential, adjustable rate and hybrid adjustable-rate residential mortgage-backed securities issued or guaranteed by United States Government-sponsored enterprises or guaranteed by the Government National Mortgage Association. It brings private capital into the mortgage markets to support home ownership for a broad and diverse spectrum of Americans. It seeks to create stockholder value through investment and risk management of a leveraged and diversified portfolio of mortgage-backed securities (MBS). It invests in MBS, issued or guaranteed by a United States Government-sponsored entity (GSE), such as the Federal National Mortgage Association, the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation, or a government agency such as Government National Mortgage Administration (Agency Securities). The Company is externally managed and advised by ARMOUR Capital Management LP. It operates in the Real Estate sector (REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS industry).

ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc (ARR) is a good buy right now due to its current price of $13.20, which is significantly below the analyst price targets of $18 and $19. The stock has an attractive forward P/E ratio of 5.06, indicating potential for future earnings growth. Additionally, the company reported a total economic return of 4.8% for Q2 2026, alongside a GAAP net income of $111.5 million or $0.86 per share, demonstrating profitability despite recent market fluctuations. However, the main risk is the RSI of 25.06, indicating the stock is oversold and may face further downward pressure in the short term.

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This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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