Ardelyx, Inc.

Ardelyx, Inc. (ARDX) Stock Analysis

$3.810

-0.010 (-0.26%)At close

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High
3.900
Open
3.810
VWAP
3.82
Vol
5.13M
Mkt Cap
1.52B
Low
3.750
Amount
19.61M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
-18.84

Ardelyx, Inc. is a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company. The Company is focused on the development and commercialization of innovative medicines that meet significant unmet medical needs. The Company markets two therapies from the active ingredient tenapanor, a sodium/hydrogen exchanger (NHE3) inhibitor. Tenapanor, branded as IBSRELA, is approved in the United States for the treatment of adults with irritable bowel syndrome with constipation (IBS-C). Tenapanor, branded as XPHOZAH, is approved in the United States to reduce serum phosphorus in adults with chronic kidney disease on dialysis as add-on therapy in patients who have an inadequate response to phosphate binders or who are intolerant of any dose of phosphate binder therapy. It is also developing a next-generation NHE3 inhibitor, RDX10531, which has demonstrated in preclinical models to have improved solubility and potency compared to tenapanor. RDX10531 has applications across multiple therapeutic areas.

AI analysis of Ardelyx, Inc. (ARDX)

sell

Given the current price of $3.81 and the RSI at 32.281, which indicates that the stock is oversold, it may seem attractive. However, the significant risk is highlighted by the recent 40.47% decline over the past year and the loss of Medicare appeal for Xphozah, which could severely impact future revenues. Therefore, while there may be potential for recovery, the current market sentiment and insider selling trends suggest that now is not the right time to buy.

Analyst Ratings (7)

+290.03% upside
Buy
7 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Current: 3.81
Low
10.00
Average
14.86
High
19.00

Citi

2026-08-10

Price Target

$11

Buy

TD Cowen

2026-08-07

Price Target

$10

Buy

H.C. Wainwright

2026-08-07

Price Target

$13

Buy

Jefferies

2026-06-26

Price Target

$15

Buy

H.C. Wainwright

2026-02-20

Price Target

$18

Buy

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Ardelyx, Inc. (ARDX) is 40.65, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 18.92.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
18.92
Current P/E
40.65
Overvalued
241.48
Undervalued
-203.63

Forward EV/EBITDA

Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
-14.93
Current EV/EBITDA
-18.84
Overvalued
25.36
Undervalued
-55.22

Forward P/S

Fair
5Y Average P/S
6.25
Current P/S
1.58
Overvalued
13.62
Undervalued
-1.12

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for ARDX

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%ARDX

$8.97

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%ARDX

$7.45

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%ARDX

$4.62

Scenario price

Whales holding ARDX

R

Rubric Capital Management LP

+ HoldingARDX

-6.09%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-08-06 (ET)

17:00:00

Ardelyx Reports Q2 Revenue of $118.13M

2026-04-30 (ET)

16:30:00

Ardelyx Reports Q1 Revenue of $94.47M, Exceeds Expectations

2026-04-22 (ET)

07:30:00

Jade Biosciences Appoints Edward Conner as Chief Medical Officer

2026-04-20 (ET)

08:30:00

Ardelyx Appoints Felecia Ettenberg as Chief Legal Officer

2026-04-01 (ET)

08:20:00

Ardelyx Appoints Rajani Dinavahi as Chief Medical Officer

News

ARDX FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Ardelyx, Inc. is a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company. The Company is focused on the development and commercialization of innovative medicines that meet significant unmet medical needs. The Company markets two therapies from the active ingredient tenapanor, a sodium/hydrogen exchanger (NHE3) inhibitor. Tenapanor, branded as IBSRELA, is approved in the United States for the treatment of adults with irritable bowel syndrome with constipation (IBS-C). Tenapanor, branded as XPHOZAH, is approved in the United States to reduce serum phosphorus in adults with chronic kidney disease on dialysis as add-on therapy in patients who have an inadequate response to phosphate binders or who are intolerant of any dose of phosphate binder therapy. It is also developing a next-generation NHE3 inhibitor, RDX10531, which has demonstrated in preclinical models to have improved solubility and potency compared to tenapanor. RDX10531 has applications across multiple therapeutic areas. It operates in the Healthcare sector (PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS industry).

Given the current price of $3.81 and the RSI at 32.281, which indicates that the stock is oversold, it may seem attractive. However, the significant risk is highlighted by the recent 40.47% decline over the past year and the loss of Medicare appeal for Xphozah, which could severely impact future revenues. Therefore, while there may be potential for recovery, the current market sentiment and insider selling trends suggest that now is not the right time to buy.

7 analysts cover ARDX: 7 rate it Buy, 0 Hold and 0 Sell. The average price target is 14.86.

This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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