Ardagh Metal Packaging SA

Ardagh Metal Packaging SA (AMBP) Stock Analysis

$5.140

-0.030 (-0.58%)At close

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High
5.220
Open
5.210
VWAP
5.12
Vol
1.99M
Mkt Cap
2.07B
Low
5.000
Amount
10.16M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
7.96

Ardagh Metal Packaging SA is a Luxembourg-based company that supplies consumer metal beverage cans. It supplies infinitely recyclable, metal beverage cans to brand owners. The Company deals with the multiple categories of products including beer, carbonated soft drinks, energy drinks, hard seltzers, juices, pre-mixed cocktails, teas, sparkling waters and wine. The Company operates approximately 23 production facilities in the Americas and Europe. The Company is also a suppliers of metal beverage can package solutions, capable of supplying multi-national, national and regional beverage producers. The Company's subsidiaries inlcude Ardagh Metal Packaging Group S.a.r.l. and Hart Print Inc.

AI analysis of Ardagh Metal Packaging SA (AMBP)

hold

Ardagh Metal Packaging (AMBP) is currently priced at $5.14, which is slightly above the analyst target of $5 from UBS and below the $5.20 target from Deutsche Bank. The company reported a strong Q2 2026 with a non-GAAP EPS of $0.11, exceeding expectations by $0.02, and a revenue of $1.71 billion, marking a 17.1% year-over-year increase. However, the stock has a high forward P/E of 17.42, indicating potential overvaluation risks. The RSI is at 41.29, suggesting the stock is nearing oversold territory but is not yet a clear buy signal. Given these factors, it is advisable to hold rather than buy at this moment, as the stock may not provide immediate upside in the short term.

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Ardagh Metal Packaging SA (AMBP) is 17.42, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 18.96.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
18.96
Current P/E
17.42
Overvalued
23.78
Undervalued
14.15

Forward EV/EBITDA

Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
9.04
Current EV/EBITDA
7.96
Overvalued
10.38
Undervalued
7.69

Forward P/S

Fair
5Y Average P/S
0.57
Current P/S
0.49
Overvalued
0.85
Undervalued
0.30

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for AMBP

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%AMBP

$5.45

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%AMBP

$4.78

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%AMBP

$4.67

Scenario price

Whales holding AMBP

A

ARD Holdings S.A.

+ HoldingAMBP

+27.86%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-08-13 (ET)

08:00:00

Ardagh Board Considers Sale of Metal Packaging Business

08:00:00

Ardagh Holdings Plans to Sell Ardagh Metal Packaging

2026-07-23 (ET)

07:30:00

AMP Reports Q2 Revenue of $1.71B, Adjusted EBITDA Guidance Upgraded to $775M-$790M

2026-04-23 (ET)

07:10:00

Ardagh Metal Packaging Sees 2026 Adjusted EBITDA of $750M-$775M

07:10:00

AMP Reports Q1 Revenue of $1.50B, Exceeds Expectations

News

AMBP FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Ardagh Metal Packaging SA is a Luxembourg-based company that supplies consumer metal beverage cans. It supplies infinitely recyclable, metal beverage cans to brand owners. The Company deals with the multiple categories of products including beer, carbonated soft drinks, energy drinks, hard seltzers, juices, pre-mixed cocktails, teas, sparkling waters and wine. The Company operates approximately 23 production facilities in the Americas and Europe. The Company is also a suppliers of metal beverage can package solutions, capable of supplying multi-national, national and regional beverage producers. The Company's subsidiaries inlcude Ardagh Metal Packaging Group S.a.r.l. and Hart Print Inc. It operates in the Basic Materials sector.

Ardagh Metal Packaging (AMBP) is currently priced at $5.14, which is slightly above the analyst target of $5 from UBS and below the $5.20 target from Deutsche Bank. The company reported a strong Q2 2026 with a non-GAAP EPS of $0.11, exceeding expectations by $0.02, and a revenue of $1.71 billion, marking a 17.1% year-over-year increase. However, the stock has a high forward P/E of 17.42, indicating potential overvaluation risks. The RSI is at 41.29, suggesting the stock is nearing oversold territory but is not yet a clear buy signal. Given these factors, it is advisable to hold rather than buy at this moment, as the stock may not provide immediate upside in the short term.

This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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