AAON, Inc.

AAON, Inc. (AAON) Stock Analysis

$77.300

-3.100 (-4.01%)At close

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High
79.000
Open
78.260
VWAP
76.82
Volume
2.05M
Mkt Cap
7.12B
Low
74.170
Amount
157.49M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
19.58

AAON, Inc. provides HVAC solutions for commercial and industrial indoor environments. Its segments include AAON Oklahoma, AAON Coil Products, and BASX. The AAON Oklahoma segment engineers, manufactures, and sells configurable HVAC systems, designs and manufactures controls solutions, and sells aftermarket parts to customers through retail part stores and online. The AAON Coil Products segment engineers and manufactures and sells semi-custom and custom HVAC systems and heating and cooling coils for use in HVAC systems, primarily for AAON Oklahoma, AAON Coil Products, and BASX. BASX segment engineers, manufactures, and sells a range of custom, high-performance cooling solutions for the hyperscale data center market; ventilation solutions for cleanroom environments in the biopharmaceutical, semiconductor, medical, and agricultural sectors; and highly customized air handlers and modular solutions for a variety of markets. BASX operates from its manufacturing facilities in Redmond, Oregon.

www.aaon.com

AI analysis of AAON, Inc. (AAON)

Buy

AAON is a good buy right now due to its recent strong performance, including a 101.2% year-over-year increase in net sales to $627 million in Q2 2026 and a significant EPS growth of 257.9% to $0.68. The company has raised its full-year sales growth forecast to 55%-60%, indicating strong future demand. However, the gross margin is expected to decline to 25%-26%, which poses a risk to profitability.

Analyst Ratings (3)

+53.95% upside
Hold
0 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Current: 77.30
Low
115.00
Average
119.00
High
125.00

DA Davidson

2026-09-15

Price Target

$110

Buy

Oppenheimer

2026-08-11

Price Target

$125

Outperform

Baird

2026-08-11

Price Target

$135

Outperform

KeyBanc

2026-07-22

Price Target

—

Sector Weight

Oppenheimer

2026-05-08

Price Target

$145

Outperform

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for AAON, Inc. (AAON) is 21.79, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 38.54.

Forward P/E

Undervalued
5Y Average P/E
38.54
Current P/E
21.79
Overvalued
49.27
Undervalued
27.82

Forward EV/EBITDA

Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
22.37
Current EV/EBITDA
19.58
Overvalued
27.71
Undervalued
17.02

Forward P/S

Undervalued
5Y Average P/S
4.52
Current P/S
2.59
Overvalued
5.66
Undervalued
3.37

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for AAON

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%AAON

$102.58

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%AAON

$97.73

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%AAON

$91.09

Scenario price

Whales holding AAON

P

Peregrine Capital Management, LLC

+ HoldingAAON

+10.78%

3M Return

R

Riverbridge Partners, LLC

+ HoldingAAON

+4.83%

3M Return

C

Champlain Investment Partners, LLC

+ HoldingAAON

+4.06%

3M Return

A

American Capital Management, Inc.

+ HoldingAAON

+3.92%

3M Return

G

Giverny Capital Inc.

+ HoldingAAON

+2.15%

3M Return

W

Wasatch Advisors LP

+ HoldingAAON

+0.81%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-08-10 (ET)

17:00:00

Stocks Open Lower as Middle East Uncertainty Grows

12:30:00

Major Averages Mixed at Open Amid Middle East Uncertainty

2026-05-07 (ET)

12:10:00

Aaon Stock Rises 37.3% to $134.93

10:10:00

Aaon Stock Rises 40.6% to $138.21

07:40:00

FY25 Revenue at $1.44B, FY26 Revenue Consensus at $1.72B

News

AAON FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

AAON, Inc. provides HVAC solutions for commercial and industrial indoor environments. Its segments include AAON Oklahoma, AAON Coil Products, and BASX. The AAON Oklahoma segment engineers, manufactures, and sells configurable HVAC systems, designs and manufactures controls solutions, and sells aftermarket parts to customers through retail part stores and online. The AAON Coil Products segment engineers and manufactures and sells semi-custom and custom HVAC systems and heating and cooling coils for use in HVAC systems, primarily for AAON Oklahoma, AAON Coil Products, and BASX. BASX segment engineers, manufactures, and sells a range of custom, high-performance cooling solutions for the hyperscale data center market; ventilation solutions for cleanroom environments in the biopharmaceutical, semiconductor, medical, and agricultural sectors; and highly customized air handlers and modular solutions for a variety of markets. BASX operates from its manufacturing facilities in Redmond, Oregon. It operates in the Industrials sector (AIR-COND & WARM AIR HEATG EQUIP & COMM & INDL REFR industry).

AAON is a good buy right now due to its recent strong performance, including a 101.2% year-over-year increase in net sales to $627 million in Q2 2026 and a significant EPS growth of 257.9% to $0.68. The company has raised its full-year sales growth forecast to 55%-60%, indicating strong future demand. However, the gross margin is expected to decline to 25%-26%, which poses a risk to profitability.

3 analysts cover AAON: 0 rate it Buy, 3 Hold and 0 Sell. The average price target is 119.00.

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This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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