Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (AAOI) Stock Analysis

$82.220

+5.632 (+6.85%)At close

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High
82.275
Open
78.165
VWAP
80.50
Volume
12.09M
Mkt Cap
331.50M
Low
77.020
Amount
972.92M
EV/EBITDA, TTM
-19.07

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. is a developer and manufacturer of advanced optical and hybrid fiber coaxial (HFC) networking products that are the building blocks for artificial intelligence (AI) datacenters, Cable TV Broadband (CATV) and broadband fiber access networks around the world. The Company supplies this critical infrastructure to tier-one customers across cloud computing, CATV broadband, telecom, and fiber-to-the-home (FTTH) markets. It designs and manufactures a range of optical communications products at varying levels of integration, from components, subassemblies and modules to complete turn-key equipment. In the CATV market, it supplies a broad array of products, including lasers, transmitters and transceivers, and turn-key equipment. It supplies optical transceivers that plug into switches and servers within the data center and allow these network devices to send and receive data over fiber optic cables. In the telecom market, it supplies lasers and laser subassemblies.

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AI analysis of Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (AAOI)

Hold

Currently, Applied Optoelectronics Inc (AAOI) is not a strong buy due to its recent price drop of 64.2% from its 52-week high and an RSI of 17.815 indicating it is oversold. However, the company has shown a significant year-to-date increase of 70.48% and a gross margin of 27.72% in Q2 2026, suggesting potential for recovery. The main risk is the negative sentiment surrounding AI infrastructure spending, which could impact future profitability.

Analyst Ratings (9)

-53.48% Downside
Buy
6 Buy
1 Hold
2 Sell
Current: 82.22
Low
15.00
Average
38.25
High
50.00

Raymond James

2026-08-11

Price Target

$178

Outperform

Northland

2026-08-07

Price Target

$120

Market Perform

Needham

2026-08-07

Price Target

$190

Buy

B. Riley

2026-08-07

Price Target

$109

Neutral

Rosenblatt

2026-05-08

Price Target

$220

Buy

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (AAOI) is 84.03, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 32.20.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
32.20
Current P/E
84.03
Overvalued
154.52
Undervalued
-90.12

Forward EV/EBITDA

Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
6.79
Current EV/EBITDA
-19.07
Overvalued
93.73
Undervalued
-80.16

Forward P/S

Fair
5Y Average P/S
1.78
Current P/S
2.29
Overvalued
3.26
Undervalued
0.30

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for AAOI

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%AAOI

$30.66

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%AAOI

$25.36

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%AAOI

$21.31

Scenario price

Whales holding AAOI

C

Capula Management Ltd

+ HoldingAAOI

+6.98%

3M Return

C

Clear Street LLC

+ HoldingAAOI

+6.10%

3M Return

M

Marex Group plc

+ HoldingAAOI

+5.20%

3M Return

S

Steward Partners Investment Advisory, LLC

+ HoldingAAOI

+2.76%

3M Return

G

Group One Trading LLC

+ HoldingAAOI

+1.56%

3M Return

O

Oberweis Asset Management, Inc.

+ HoldingAAOI

+0.60%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-10-28 (ET)

11:38:00

Applied Optoelectronics Shares Up 2.31% to $78.72

2026-10-21 (ET)

14:00:00

Applied Optoelectronics Shares Up 1.15% to $77.62

2026-09-16 (ET)

14:00:00

Ciena Announces Three-Year Financial Targets Through Fiscal Year 2029

2026-09-08 (ET)

12:00:00

Applied Optoelectronics Shares Up 9.26% to $115.30

2026-08-24 (ET)

16:30:00

Nvidia Informs Customers of 15% Price Increase for AI Servers

News

AAOI FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. is a developer and manufacturer of advanced optical and hybrid fiber coaxial (HFC) networking products that are the building blocks for artificial intelligence (AI) datacenters, Cable TV Broadband (CATV) and broadband fiber access networks around the world. The Company supplies this critical infrastructure to tier-one customers across cloud computing, CATV broadband, telecom, and fiber-to-the-home (FTTH) markets. It designs and manufactures a range of optical communications products at varying levels of integration, from components, subassemblies and modules to complete turn-key equipment. In the CATV market, it supplies a broad array of products, including lasers, transmitters and transceivers, and turn-key equipment. It supplies optical transceivers that plug into switches and servers within the data center and allow these network devices to send and receive data over fiber optic cables. In the telecom market, it supplies lasers and laser subassemblies. It operates in the Technology sector (SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES industry).

Currently, Applied Optoelectronics Inc (AAOI) is not a strong buy due to its recent price drop of 64.2% from its 52-week high and an RSI of 17.815 indicating it is oversold. However, the company has shown a significant year-to-date increase of 70.48% and a gross margin of 27.72% in Q2 2026, suggesting potential for recovery. The main risk is the negative sentiment surrounding AI infrastructure spending, which could impact future profitability.

9 analysts cover AAOI: 6 rate it Buy, 1 Hold and 2 Sell. The average price target is 38.25.

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$AAOI & $CRWV Ripster 5/12 Curl Trade Setups Watch this video to learn how to find such Swing Trade Opportunities and Repeatable Swing Setups 🎯

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$AAOI is attempting to break below EMA21 at $73. Support is just below that level. That support is already the last line of defense in this bull market 💯

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0xPulsarwarden10/18/2026

Quant Trading Weekly Journal Week 11 | 2026-10-17 | Weekly equity: 2,287.32 This has definitely been the toughest week since I started live quant trading, and it really left me battered. I run a U.S. semiconductor RWA quant strategy, and this week the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index fell for five consecutive trading days. SOXL dropped 40% in a single week, small caps like CBRS and AAOI also fell more than 30%, and MUU was no exception, so this week I was holding losses across the board. This is when risk control really gets tested. Painful as it was, I just barely held through, and I am not especially panicked right now because I still have extra funds to add to positions. I just put in 1,000u today as margin, and if next week still does not improve I will add more. As long as I am in, the positions are in. I have realized that trading is above all a practice-first matter. When you have not held through losses, no amount of talk about risk management and position sizing is useful; only the market shows what is real. If I get through this wave, I will definitely reduce semiconductor exposure. I originally planned to use position management to hedge the risk of too-high semiconductor correlation, but I found it did not really work, so I still need to add lower-correlation instruments. #QuantJournal #LiveTradingRecordAndMindsetSharing

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0xSkewfalcon10/12/2026

$AAOI is testing its supporting trendline and the psychological $100 level. The GEX Heatmap shows the King Node at $120 for this week. A move back toward the DMAs is likely this week.

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