Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (AAOI) Stock Analysis

$75.570

-7.368 (-9.75%)At close

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High
83.440
Open
83.310
VWAP
78.15
Volume
14.15M
Mkt Cap
331.50M
Low
75.430
Amount
1.11B
EV/EBITDA, TTM
-22.32

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. is a developer and manufacturer of advanced optical and hybrid fiber coaxial (HFC) networking products that are the building blocks for artificial intelligence (AI) datacenters, Cable TV Broadband (CATV) and broadband fiber access networks around the world. The Company supplies this critical infrastructure to tier-one customers across cloud computing, CATV broadband, telecom, and fiber-to-the-home (FTTH) markets. It designs and manufactures a range of optical communications products at varying levels of integration, from components, subassemblies and modules to complete turn-key equipment. In the CATV market, it supplies a broad array of products, including lasers, transmitters and transceivers, and turn-key equipment. It supplies optical transceivers that plug into switches and servers within the data center and allow these network devices to send and receive data over fiber optic cables. In the telecom market, it supplies lasers and laser subassemblies.

ao-inc.com

AI analysis of Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (AAOI)

Sell

Given the current price of $75.57 and an RSI of 19.33, which indicates the stock is oversold, it may seem like a buying opportunity. However, the stock has experienced a significant decline of 64.2% from its 52-week high and a 31.07% drop over the past 5 days, reflecting severe market concerns about AI spending. Additionally, the forward P/E ratio is 84.03, suggesting the stock is overvalued relative to its earnings potential. The main risk is the negative sentiment surrounding AI infrastructure spending, which could further impact profitability.

Analyst Ratings (9)

-49.38% Downside
Buy
6 Buy
1 Hold
2 Sell
Current: 75.57
Low
15.00
Average
38.25
High
50.00

Raymond James

2026-08-11

Price Target

$178

Outperform

Northland

2026-08-07

Price Target

$120

Market Perform

Needham

2026-08-07

Price Target

$190

Buy

B. Riley

2026-08-07

Price Target

$109

Neutral

Rosenblatt

2026-05-08

Price Target

$220

Buy

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (AAOI) is 84.03, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 31.64.

Forward P/E

Fair
5Y Average P/E
31.64
Current P/E
84.03
Overvalued
153.90
Undervalued
-90.61

Forward EV/EBITDA

Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
6.71
Current EV/EBITDA
-22.32
Overvalued
93.64
Undervalued
-80.22

Forward P/S

Fair
5Y Average P/S
1.77
Current P/S
2.67
Overvalued
3.26
Undervalued
0.29

Alphio AI Price Scenarios for AAOI

Scenario prices are the last monthly forecast band of the current year. Probabilities are fixed model weights (25 / 50 / 25), not guarantees.

B

Bull

Bull · 25%AAOI

$30.66

Scenario price

B

Base

Base · 50%AAOI

$25.36

Scenario price

B

Bear

Bear · 25%AAOI

$21.31

Scenario price

Whales holding AAOI

O

Oak Ridge Investments, LLC

+ HoldingAAOI

+5.72%

3M Return

S

Steward Partners Investment Advisory, LLC

+ HoldingAAOI

+2.89%

3M Return

I

IMC Trading B.V.

+ HoldingAAOI

+2.85%

3M Return

C

Capula Management Ltd

+ HoldingAAOI

+2.05%

3M Return

G

Greenwoods Asset Management

+ HoldingAAOI

-1.75%

3M Return

G

Group One Trading LLC

+ HoldingAAOI

-4.80%

3M Return

Events Timeline

2026-09-16 (ET)

14:00:00

Ciena Announces Three-Year Financial Targets Through Fiscal Year 2029

2026-09-08 (ET)

12:00:00

Applied Optoelectronics Shares Up 9.26% to $115.30

2026-08-24 (ET)

16:30:00

Nvidia Informs Customers of 15% Price Increase for AI Servers

12:30:00

Applied Optoelectronics Shares Down 11.7% to $110.16

12:00:00

Nasdaq and S&P 500 Decline as Nvidia Faces Price Hike

News

AAOI FAQ — answered by Alphio AI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. is a developer and manufacturer of advanced optical and hybrid fiber coaxial (HFC) networking products that are the building blocks for artificial intelligence (AI) datacenters, Cable TV Broadband (CATV) and broadband fiber access networks around the world. The Company supplies this critical infrastructure to tier-one customers across cloud computing, CATV broadband, telecom, and fiber-to-the-home (FTTH) markets. It designs and manufactures a range of optical communications products at varying levels of integration, from components, subassemblies and modules to complete turn-key equipment. In the CATV market, it supplies a broad array of products, including lasers, transmitters and transceivers, and turn-key equipment. It supplies optical transceivers that plug into switches and servers within the data center and allow these network devices to send and receive data over fiber optic cables. In the telecom market, it supplies lasers and laser subassemblies. It operates in the Technology sector (SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES industry).

Given the current price of $75.57 and an RSI of 19.33, which indicates the stock is oversold, it may seem like a buying opportunity. However, the stock has experienced a significant decline of 64.2% from its 52-week high and a 31.07% drop over the past 5 days, reflecting severe market concerns about AI spending. Additionally, the forward P/E ratio is 84.03, suggesting the stock is overvalued relative to its earnings potential. The main risk is the negative sentiment surrounding AI infrastructure spending, which could further impact profitability.

9 analysts cover AAOI: 6 rate it Buy, 1 Hold and 2 Sell. The average price target is 38.25.

Community

More ↗
0xPulsarwarden16 hr. ago

Quant Trading Weekly Journal Week 11 | 2026-10-17 | Weekly equity: 2,287.32 This has definitely been the toughest week since I started live quant trading, and it really left me battered. I run a U.S. semiconductor RWA quant strategy, and this week the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index fell for five consecutive trading days. SOXL dropped 40% in a single week, small caps like CBRS and AAOI also fell more than 30%, and MUU was no exception, so this week I was holding losses across the board. This is when risk control really gets tested. Painful as it was, I just barely held through, and I am not especially panicked right now because I still have extra funds to add to positions. I just put in 1,000u today as margin, and if next week still does not improve I will add more. As long as I am in, the positions are in. I have realized that trading is above all a practice-first matter. When you have not held through losses, no amount of talk about risk management and position sizing is useful; only the market shows what is real. If I get through this wave, I will definitely reduce semiconductor exposure. I originally planned to use position management to hedge the risk of too-high semiconductor correlation, but I found it did not really work, so I still need to add lower-correlation instruments. #QuantJournal #LiveTradingRecordAndMindsetSharing

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0xSkewfalcon6 days ago

$AAOI is testing its supporting trendline and the psychological $100 level. The GEX Heatmap shows the King Node at $120 for this week. A move back toward the DMAs is likely this week.

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FoxKettle10/8/2026

$AAOI Sitting right on the 105 support, yet open interest dropped 10 points 🤯 Fewer people but price didn't collapse—that's a shakeout, not a trend change. 66% longs still holding, funding rate running hot. If it can't be pushed down, that's strength—this move favors the longs. 😏

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This page is for research only and is not investment advice. Models can be wrong. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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