
WTA Finals, Group A: Jessica Pegula vs Mirra Andreeva
核心摘要
根據「WTA Finals, Group A: Jessica Pegula vs Mirra Andreeva」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,WTA Finals, Group A: Jessica Pegula vs Mirra Andreeva Match O/U 23.5 以壓倒性的 6,800% 獲勝機率主導市場;WTA Finals, Group A: Jessica Pegula vs Mirra Andreeva Total Sets: O/U 2.5 以 6,500% 位居第二,WTA Finals, Group A: Jessica Pegula vs Mirra Andreeva Match O/U 21.5 以 5,750% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $223.4K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- WTA Finals, Group A: Jessica Pegula vs Mirra Andreeva Match O/U 23.5 (6,800%):WTA Finals, Group A: Jessica Pegula vs Mirra Andreeva Match O/U 23.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 6,800¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- WTA Finals, Group A: Jessica Pegula vs Mirra Andreeva Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (6,500%):作為最可行的替代選項,WTA Finals, Group A: Jessica Pegula vs Mirra Andreeva Total Sets: O/U 2.5 保持著 6,500% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 6,500¢。
- WTA Finals, Group A: Jessica Pegula vs Mirra Andreeva Match O/U 21.5 (5,750%):以 5,750% 的機率位列第三,市場對 WTA Finals, Group A: Jessica Pegula vs Mirra Andreeva Match O/U 21.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 WTA Finals, Group A: Jessica Pegula vs Mirra Andreeva Match O/U 22.5 (5,000%)、WTA Finals, Group A: Jessica Pegula vs Mirra Andreeva Game Spread +/-3.5 (5,000%),以及 WTA Finals, Group A: Jessica Pegula vs Mirra Andreeva Set 2 Winner (3,150%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 WTA Finals, Group A: Jessica Pegula vs Mirra Andreeva Set Handicap +/-1.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | WTA Finals, Group A: Jessica Pegula vs Mirra Andreeva Match O/U 23.5 | 6800.0% | — | 6800¢ | -6700¢ |
| 2 | WTA Finals, Group A: Jessica Pegula vs Mirra Andreeva Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 6500.0% | $104 | 6500¢ | -6400¢ |
| 3 | WTA Finals, Group A: Jessica Pegula vs Mirra Andreeva Match O/U 21.5 | 5750.0% | $354 | 5750¢ | -5650¢ |
| 4 | WTA Finals, Group A: Jessica Pegula vs Mirra Andreeva Match O/U 22.5 | 5000.0% | $5 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 5 | WTA Finals, Group A: Jessica Pegula vs Mirra Andreeva Game Spread +/-3.5 | 5000.0% | $4.7K | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | WTA Finals, Group A: Jessica Pegula vs Mirra Andreeva Set 2 Winner | 3150.0% | — | 3150¢ | -3050¢ |
| 7 | WTA Finals, Group A: Jessica Pegula vs Mirra Andreeva Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 3100.0% | $12.5K | 3100¢ | -3000¢ |
| 8 | WTA Finals, Group A: Jessica Pegula vs Mirra Andreeva Set 1 Winner | 2600.0% | $1.5K | 2600¢ | -2500¢ |
| 9 | WTA Finals, Group A: Jessica Pegula vs Mirra Andreeva | 2350.0% | $196.9K | 2350¢ | -2250¢ |
| 10 | WTA Finals, Group A: Jessica Pegula vs Mirra Andreeva Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 1100.0% | $12.5K | 1100¢ | -1000¢ |
裁決規則
This market refers to the tennis match between Jessica Pegula and Mirra Andreeva in the WTA Finals, Group A, originally scheduled for November 14, 2026 at 3:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Jessica Pegula' if Jessica Pegula advances against Mirra Andreeva.
This market will resolve to 'Mirra Andreeva' if Mirra Andreeva advances against Jessica Pegula.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Nov 14, 2026
- 01:09 PMLIlima0502$4.01
Bought 8.0138 Mirra Andreeva for Set Handicap: Mirra Andreeva (-1.5) vs Jessica Pegula (+1.5) at 0.5
- 01:09 PM000000.$436.90
Bought 891.639388 Mirra Andreeva for Set Handicap: Mirra Andreeva (-1.5) vs Jessica Pegula (+1.5) at 0.49
- 01:09 PMNEneutralwave23$4.75
Bought 12.179488 Over 2.5 for Jessica Pegula vs. Mirra Andreeva: Total Sets O/U 2.5 at 0.39
- 01:06 PMJIJieerDreamer$20.00
Bought 28.169013 Mirra Andreeva for WTA Finals, Group A: Jessica Pegula vs Mirra Andreeva at 0.71
- 01:06 PMTRtracy1985$3,926.63
Bought 5530.47 Mirra Andreeva for WTA Finals, Group A: Jessica Pegula vs Mirra Andreeva at 0.71
- 01:06 PMTRtracy1985$3,454.32
Bought 4797.664442 Mirra Andreeva for WTA Finals, Group A: Jessica Pegula vs Mirra Andreeva at 0.72
- 01:01 PMLFLFP272$200.00
Bought 416.666667 Mirra Andreeva for Set Handicap: Mirra Andreeva (-1.5) vs Jessica Pegula (+1.5) at 0.48
- 12:57 PMMAMasterMan79$8.16
Bought 11.492958 Mirra Andreeva for WTA Finals, Group A: Jessica Pegula vs Mirra Andreeva at 0.71
- 12:48 PMDEdentleightadman$1.00
Bought 1.886793 Jessica Pegula for Set Handicap: Mirra Andreeva (-1.5) vs Jessica Pegula (+1.5) at 0.53
- 12:48 PMDEdentleightadman$1.00
Bought 1.886793 Jessica Pegula for Set Handicap: Mirra Andreeva (-1.5) vs Jessica Pegula (+1.5) at 0.53
- 12:38 PMDEdentleightadman$1.00
Bought 1.408451 Mirra Andreeva for WTA Finals, Group A: Jessica Pegula vs Mirra Andreeva at 0.71
- 12:38 PMDEdentleightadman$1.00
Bought 1.408451 Mirra Andreeva for WTA Finals, Group A: Jessica Pegula vs Mirra Andreeva at 0.71
正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包
常見問題
目前市場對「WTA Finals, Group A: Jessica Pegula vs Mirra Andreeva」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,WTA Finals, Group A: Jessica Pegula vs Mirra Andreeva Match O/U 23.5 以 6,800% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 WTA Finals, Group A: Jessica Pegula vs Mirra Andreeva Total Sets: O/U 2.5(6,500%),以及 WTA Finals, Group A: Jessica Pegula vs Mirra Andreeva Match O/U 21.5(5,750%)。該市場總成交量已達 $223.4K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
