WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula

$585.5K Vol
2026年11月17日
Active
機率趨勢
Jessica Pegula 100.0%
Marta Kostyuk 0.1%

核心摘要

根據「WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Completed Match 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula Set Handicap +/-1.5 以 9,995% 位居第二,WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula Game Spread +/-1.5 以 9,995% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $585.5K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Completed Match (9,995%):Completed Match 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula Set Handicap +/-1.5 (9,995%):作為最可行的替代選項,WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula Set Handicap +/-1.5 保持著 9,995% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,995¢。
  • WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula Game Spread +/-1.5 (9,995%):以 9,995% 的機率位列第三,市場對 WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula Game Spread +/-1.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula (5%)、WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula Set 2 Winner (5%),以及 WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (5%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula Match O/U 21.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Completed Match9995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
2WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula Set Handicap +/-1.59995.0%$2.5K9995¢-9895¢
3WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula Game Spread +/-1.59995.0%$8.3K9995¢-9895¢
4WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula5.0%$693.8K5¢95¢
5WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula Set 2 Winner5.0%$17.6K5¢95¢
6WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula Total Sets: O/U 2.55.0%$125¢95¢
7WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula Match O/U 21.55.0%$4.0K5¢95¢
8WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula Match O/U 22.55.0%$9.2K5¢95¢
9WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula Match O/U 23.55.0%$955¢95¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the tennis match between Marta Kostyuk and Jessica Pegula in the WTA Finals, Group A, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 1:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Marta Kostyuk' if Marta Kostyuk advances against Jessica Pegula.

This market will resolve to 'Jessica Pegula' if Jessica Pegula advances against Marta Kostyuk.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Nov 10, 2026

  • 12:26 PM
    JAjackmeof
    $20.00

    Bought 33.898304 Jessica Pegula for Game Spread: Jessica Pegula (-1.5) vs Marta Kostyuk (+1.5) at 0.59

  • 12:02 PM
    ——
    $30.00

    Bought 47.619048 Jessica Pegula for WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula at 0.63

  • 11:38 AM
    EMEmz12
    $1.00

    Bought 2.631579 Marta Kostyuk for WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula at 0.38

  • 11:36 AM
    ALalberthegreat88
    $150.00

    Bought 238.095237 Jessica Pegula for WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula at 0.63

  • 11:24 AM
    0X0x6Db8C97Cb7eC5c512E051902d8077960517bf7D4-1768407294085
    $10.00

    Bought 15.873016 Jessica Pegula for WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula at 0.63

  • 11:24 AM
    DODow-Jones
    $20.00

    Bought 31.746032 Jessica Pegula for WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula at 0.63

  • 11:02 AM
    ——
    $10.00

    Bought 26.31579 Marta Kostyuk for WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula at 0.38

  • 10:41 AM
    000000.
    $49.71

    Bought 85.705253 Jessica Pegula for Game Spread: Jessica Pegula (-1.5) vs Marta Kostyuk (+1.5) at 0.58

  • 10:41 AM
    ARaresppgc
    $1.38

    Bought 3.136364 Marta Kostyuk for Game Spread: Jessica Pegula (-1.5) vs Marta Kostyuk (+1.5) at 0.44

  • 10:41 AM
    0X0xBea6ae3ae609a26C1a1151FD65126CeCeF42f915-1779721345821
    $1.38

    Bought 3.136364 Marta Kostyuk for Game Spread: Jessica Pegula (-1.5) vs Marta Kostyuk (+1.5) at 0.44

  • 10:40 AM
    LIlima0502
    $4.00

    Bought 6.77966 Jessica Pegula for Game Spread: Jessica Pegula (-1.5) vs Marta Kostyuk (+1.5) at 0.59

  • 10:40 AM
    000000.
    $2,100.00

    Bought 3559.322034 Jessica Pegula for Game Spread: Jessica Pegula (-1.5) vs Marta Kostyuk (+1.5) at 0.59

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

WI1
wingwingwin
事件損益
-$99.98
成交量
$13,005.55
持倉數
Jessica Pegula
JA2
JAMJAMJAM4
事件損益
-$27.29
成交量
$8,300.00
持倉數
Under
993
0x99F0…6382
事件損益
-$3.33
成交量
$5,247.88
持倉數
Marta KostyukOverUnder+1
NO4
Notradecopy
事件損益
+$47.13
成交量
$4,560.40
持倉數
OverMarta Kostyuk
005
0000.
事件損益
-$56.57
成交量
$4,148.56
持倉數
Jessica Pegula
MI6
misterblobby
事件損益
+$37.39
成交量
$3,738.69
持倉數
Marta Kostyuk
GA7
GamblingAddict12345
事件損益
+$28.49
成交量
$3,319.43
持倉數
OverMarta Kostyuk
VE8
VeryLucky888
事件損益
+$7.25
成交量
$2,491.47
持倉數
Marta KostyukMarta KostyukOver

常見問題

目前市場對「WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Completed Match 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula Set Handicap +/-1.5(9,995%),以及 WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula Game Spread +/-1.5(9,995%)。該市場總成交量已達 $585.5K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

開始交易