Supreme Court sides with Apple in Epic Games appeal?

根據「Supreme Court sides with Apple in Epic Games appeal?」的最新預測市場資料，交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前，Yes 以壓倒性的 7,350% 獲勝機率主導市場；No 以 2,650% 位居第二。該市場的下注量已達 $1.6K，反映出市場的高度關注。

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置，可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊：

🥇 第一梯隊：絕對領跑者

• Yes (7,350%)：Yes 目前擁有最高機率，深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 7,350¢，顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊：主要挑戰者

• No (2,650%)：作為最可行的替代選項，No 保持著 2,650% 的成真機率，其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 2,650¢。

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Supreme Court, in Apple Inc. v. Epic Games, Inc. (No. 25-1311), issues a decision on the merits that reverses or vacates, in whole or in part, the Ninth Circuit’s judgment under review (its affirmance of the district court’s 2025 contempt ruling against Apple and the accompanying modifications to the injunction on App Store anti-steering rules and developer fees), by August 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only a decision on the merits of this case (a written opinion, summary disposition, or per curiam opinion) will qualify. Emergency orders, stays, and other interim orders will not qualify. A decision that vacates the Ninth Circuit’s judgment and remands for further proceedings will resolve this market to “Yes”. A decision that affirms the Ninth Circuit’s judgment in full will resolve this market to “No”.

If the case is dismissed as improvidently granted, dismissed for mootness, withdrawn or settled (including by a settlement between Apple and Epic Games), or otherwise concluded without a decision on the merits, or no qualifying decision has been issued by August 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”, regardless of whether the case remains pending.

This market will resolve based on the Supreme Court’s decision in this case. Other related cases or legislation will not affect resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.