Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club - Exact Score

$89.5K Vol
2026年11月5日
Active
機率趨勢
Yes 94.7%
No 5.3%

核心摘要

根據「Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club - Exact Score」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club 以壓倒性的 94.2% 獲勝機率主導市場;Al Kholood Saudi Club 2 - 2 Al Khaleej Saudi Club 以 5.4% 位居第二,Al Kholood Saudi Club 1 - 1 Al Khaleej Saudi Club 以 2.1% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $89.5K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club (94.2%):Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 94¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $65.8K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Al Kholood Saudi Club 2 - 2 Al Khaleej Saudi Club (5.4%):作為最可行的替代選項,Al Kholood Saudi Club 2 - 2 Al Khaleej Saudi Club 保持著 5.4% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5¢。
  • Al Kholood Saudi Club 1 - 1 Al Khaleej Saudi Club (2.1%):以 2.1% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Al Kholood Saudi Club 1 - 1 Al Khaleej Saudi Club 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Al Kholood Saudi Club 1 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club (1.8%)、Al Kholood Saudi Club 1 - 2 Al Khaleej Saudi Club (1.3%),以及 Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 2 Al Khaleej Saudi Club (1.3%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Al Kholood Saudi Club 3 - 1 Al Khaleej Saudi Club 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club94.2%$65.8K94¢6¢
2Al Kholood Saudi Club 2 - 2 Al Khaleej Saudi Club5.3%$3685¢95¢
3Al Kholood Saudi Club 1 - 1 Al Khaleej Saudi Club2.1%$7182¢98¢
4Al Kholood Saudi Club 1 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club1.8%$4852¢98¢
5Al Kholood Saudi Club 1 - 2 Al Khaleej Saudi Club1.3%$3491¢99¢
6Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 2 Al Khaleej Saudi Club1.3%$3381¢99¢
7Al Kholood Saudi Club 3 - 1 Al Khaleej Saudi Club0.7%$2961¢99¢
8Al Kholood Saudi Club 2 - 1 Al Khaleej Saudi Club0.4%$3360¢100¢
9Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 1 Al Khaleej Saudi Club0.3%$3410¢100¢
10Al Kholood Saudi Club 2 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club0.3%$2890¢100¢
11Any Other Score0.1%$19.2K0¢100¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming Saudi Professional League game between Al Kholood Saudi Club and Al Khaleej Saudi Club, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 8:25 AM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve based on the final score of the Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club match, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the match is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve to "0-0". The following abandonment rules apply only when this market's outcome was not already definitively determined under its rules before abandonment. If the match is abandoned, this market will resolve according to the official ruling of the governing body or event organizers on the abandoned match. If a result is awarded by Saturday, November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that determines this market's outcome, this market will resolve based on the awarded result, regardless of the score as played. If no such result is awarded and the result as played at the time of abandonment is declared to stand by Saturday, November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the match as played. If the match is replayed or resumed from the point of abandonment and has an official result by Saturday, November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the completed result. In any other case, this market will resolve to "0-0". Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor names, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences in a team's or player's name will not affect resolution, provided the intended team or player can be clearly and uniquely identified as a participant in the listed fixture or competition. If a listed name has no reasonable connection to any participant, or could reasonably refer to more than one participant such that the intended team or player cannot be determined, this market will resolve as it would if the listed fixture had been canceled entirely; a listed participant who cannot be identified does not count as inactive or absent. The primary resolution source for this market will be official match information from Saudi Professional League (https://www.slstat.com/). If the governing body or event organizers have not published final statistics within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve to "0-0".

AI 估值分析:發現市場錯誤定價與 EV 差

人群共識與投機成交塑造了更宏觀的預測市場,而我們的量化演算法提供了資料驅動的反向視角。透過分析基本面訊號、底層趨勢與歷史分布,我們的 AI 估值模型為每個結果獨立測算出一個「公允價值」機率。

將該公允價值與當前交易價值對比,可揭示出重大背離——即期望值(EV)差。正 EV 差代表統計上被低估的結果,而負 EV 差則提示市場可能存在反應過度。

頂級 AI Alpha 與錯誤定價套利機會

根據最新一輪資料模型測算,以下幾個關鍵合約存在顯著偏離:

  • 最被高估的結果:Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club 當前交易價為 94.2%,但我們的 AI 測算其公允價值僅為 59.8%,形成 -34.4% 的較大負 EV 差,表明人群可能過度炒作該結果、把溢價推得過高。
  • 最佳價值標的(最高 EV):我們的模型將 Al Kholood Saudi Club 1 - 1 Al Khaleej Saudi Club 識別為盤面上最具價值的機會。市場僅給予其 2.1% 的交易機率,而我們 AI 的公允價值評估為 3.2%——形成可觀的 +1.1% EV 差。
  • 被忽視的黑馬:其他值得注意的偏離包括 Al Kholood Saudi Club 1 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club(EV 差:+0.6%)以及 Al Kholood Saudi Club 2 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club(EV 差:+0%)。儘管我們的預測模型給予更強的統計支撐,這些長尾機會仍被即時訂單簿大幅低估。
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club94.2%59.8%-34.4%
Al Kholood Saudi Club 2 - 2 Al Khaleej Saudi Club5.3%0.8%-4.5%
Al Kholood Saudi Club 1 - 1 Al Khaleej Saudi ClubBest EV2.1%3.2%+1.1%
Al Kholood Saudi Club 1 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club1.8%2.4%+0.6%
Al Kholood Saudi Club 1 - 2 Al Khaleej Saudi Club1.3%0.6%-0.7%
Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 2 Al Khaleej Saudi Club1.3%0.1%-1.2%
Al Kholood Saudi Club 3 - 1 Al Khaleej Saudi Club0.7%0.1%-0.6%
Al Kholood Saudi Club 2 - 1 Al Khaleej Saudi Club0.4%0.4%-0.1%
Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 1 Al Khaleej Saudi Club0.3%0.1%-0.2%
Al Kholood Saudi Club 2 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club0.3%0.3%+0.0%
Any Other Score0.1%0.0%-0.0%

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Nov 4, 2026

  • 11:26 AM
    0X0x2f547224DC01Fe49fc81edcf2Ee76e10faC5252C-1765179621924
    $0.06

    Sold 1.85 No for Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club? at 0.03

  • 11:20 AM
    0X0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023
    $8.15

    Bought 8.15 No for Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 1 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club? at 1

  • 11:20 AM
    0X0x005ED998fCb786679Eb8Bfd0d20c15C0903D6D8E-1778811773658
    $8.15

    Bought 8.15 No for Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 3 - 2 Al Khaleej Saudi Club? at 1

  • 11:20 AM
    0X0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293
    $7.82

    Bought 8.15 No for Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 2 - 2 Al Khaleej Saudi Club? at 0.96

  • 11:20 AM
    0X0xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-1778810464493
    $8.15

    Bought 8.15 No for Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 1 - 3 Al Khaleej Saudi Club? at 1

  • 11:20 AM
    0X0x16c7337106A0B3a06fF863A1c06D8e2cbf7322cd-1778811943243
    $8.15

    Bought 8.15 No for Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 2 - 1 Al Khaleej Saudi Club? at 1

  • 11:20 AM
    0X0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225
    $8.15

    Bought 8.15 No for Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 1 - 2 Al Khaleej Saudi Club? at 1

  • 11:20 AM
    0X0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343
    $8.15

    Bought 8.15 No for Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 2 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club? at 1

  • 11:20 AM
    0X0xb2e42D29690B7B63335a03C0Fd5E64Df0681B7f1-1778811987251
    $8.07

    Bought 8.15 No for Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 1 - 1 Al Khaleej Saudi Club? at 0.99

  • 11:20 AM
    0X0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702
    $8.15

    Bought 8.15 No for Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 2 Al Khaleej Saudi Club? at 1

  • 11:20 AM
    0X0x69f0C154a3412F2b3Fa7eB22c6d08E6B5B32FB27-1778811502354
    $8.15

    Bought 8.15 No for Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 1 Al Khaleej Saudi Club? at 1

  • 11:20 AM
    DIdips.
    $9.60

    Bought 10 Yes for Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club? at 0.96

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

FL1
Flaznorp
事件損益
-$24,457.87
成交量
$34,862.93
持倉數
No
HR2
HRAImail-.-
事件損益
+$16,362.52
成交量
$25,428.77
持倉數
Yes
SH3
shineforever
事件損益
+$9,731.57
成交量
$14,040.10
持倉數
Yes
SN4
SnakeBall
事件損益
-$5,019.06
成交量
$10,249.79
持倉數
No
A55
0xa5ef…2966
事件損益
+$0.00
成交量
$9,332.72
持倉數
NoNoNo+9
DI6
dips.
事件損益
-$633.58
成交量
$7,568.96
持倉數
Yes
TE7
testyeagles
事件損益
+$82.28
成交量
$4,098.15
持倉數
YesYesYes+8
E48
e46m3
事件損益
-$316.68
成交量
$1,839.13
持倉數
NoYesYes+7

常見問題

目前市場對「Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club - Exact Score」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club 以 94.2% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Al Kholood Saudi Club 2 - 2 Al Khaleej Saudi Club(5.4%),以及 Al Kholood Saudi Club 1 - 1 Al Khaleej Saudi Club(2.1%)。該市場總成交量已達 $89.5K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

AI 公允價值與即時市場交易價值有何不同?

即時市場交易價值反映的是公眾情緒、訂單簿動能與投機資金。我們的 AI 公允價值則由量化模型獨立計算,剔除情緒炒作、專注底層數據。兩者出現顯著背離時即形成 EV 差,提示市場對某個結果可能存在錯誤定價。

目前哪個結果的期望值(EV)最高?

最新一輪測算顯示,Al Kholood Saudi Club 1 - 1 Al Khaleej Saudi Club 是最顯著的錯誤定價。市場對其隱含機率僅給到 2.1%,而我們的 AI 測算其公允價值為 3.2%——形成 +1.1% 的期望值差,是該市場中最具價值的標的。

市場共識是否對某個結果反應過度?

是的——資料顯示市場對 Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club 存在明顯的反應過度。人群把其即時交易價值推高至 94.2%,但我們的公允價值評估認為其真實機率僅為 59.8%,形成 -34.4% 的負 EV 差,表明該合約被高估。

長尾資料中是否藏有高價值的黑馬選項?

當然有。除了頭部結果之外,我們的模型在排名靠後的選項中發現了被低估的潛力。Al Kholood Saudi Club 1 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club 擁有 +0.6% 的正 EV 差,Al Kholood Saudi Club 2 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club 則為 +0%。儘管量化層面更有支撐,這些合約仍被即時訂單簿低估。

開始交易