Serie A: 2027 Champion

$304.4K Vol
2027年5月31日
Active
機率趨勢
Inter Milan 49.5%
Roma 18.6%
Juventus 10.5%
Como 8.1%
AC Milan 8.0%

核心摘要

根據「Serie A: 2027 Champion」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Inter Milan 以壓倒性的 4,950% 獲勝機率主導市場;Roma 以 1,870% 位居第二,Juventus 以 1,050% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $304.4K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Inter Milan (4,950%):Inter Milan 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 4,950¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $62.1K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Roma (1,870%):作為最可行的替代選項,Roma 保持著 1,870% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 1,870¢。
  • Juventus (1,050%):以 1,050% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Juventus 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 AC Milan (800%)、Como (780%),以及 Napoli (550%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Atalanta 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Inter Milan4950.0%$62.1K4950¢-4850¢
2Roma1870.0%$58.0K1870¢-1770¢
3Juventus1050.0%$16.8K1050¢-950¢
4AC Milan800.0%$21.5K800¢-700¢
5Como780.0%$28.2K780¢-680¢
6Napoli550.0%$12.4K550¢-450¢
7Atalanta185.0%$14.9K185¢-85¢
8Lazio105.0%$15.3K105¢-5¢
9Bologna15.0%$11.0K15¢85¢
10Fiorentina15.0%$7.9K15¢85¢
11Genoa15.0%$8.1K15¢85¢
12Sassuolo15.0%$8.3K15¢85¢
13Torino15.0%$8.4K15¢85¢
14Udinese15.0%$8.8K15¢85¢
15Cagliari5.0%$3.4K95¢
16Lecce5.0%$4.1K95¢
17Parma5.0%$3.6K95¢
18Venezia5.0%$4.1K95¢
19Frosinone5.0%$4.1K95¢
20Monza5.0%$3.3K95¢

裁決規則

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Serie A Championship.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship per the rules of Serie A (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026-27 Serie A season is cancelled, postponed after May 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from Serie A; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Sep 8, 2026

  • 07:38 AM
    VIViscaElBarca
    $13.81

    Sold 17.26 No for Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? at 0.8

  • 07:38 AM
    0X0xcc9Ade08Ae2DFB1C25fA259520c7E68Db07bA82E-1782232651838
    $30.20

    Bought 158.950741 Yes for Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? at 0.19

  • 06:39 AM
    0X0xdE126a30c728eF12c57C308a2d56d03A2658799e-1724126026525
    $5.13

    Bought 5.4 No for Will Napoli win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? at 0.95

  • 06:29 AM
    CEce4ww920
    $7.01

    Sold 7.46 No for Will Napoli win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? at 0.94

  • 05:11 AM
    XQxqnn27v0
    $4.77

    Sold 5.07 No for Will Napoli win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? at 0.94

  • 03:31 AM
    COcornishon2
    $1.86

    Sold 2 No for Will Como win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? at 0.93

  • 03:31 AM
    COcornishon2
    $116.25

    Sold 125 No for Will Como win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? at 0.93

  • 03:07 AM
    LJljb6djir
    $7.07

    Bought 7.6 No for Will AC Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? at 0.93

  • 02:46 AM
    P7p7fstfh3
    $5.80

    Sold 6.37 No for Will AC Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? at 0.91

  • 12:24 AM
    CEce4ww920
    $7.09

    Bought 7.46 No for Will Napoli win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? at 0.95

Sep 7, 2026

  • 11:42 PM
    0X0x61cF643Ab3954588e7aB586FA779E36D42c9346a-1724225477241
    $1.13

    Bought 1.22 No for Will AC Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? at 0.93

  • 11:10 PM
    XQxqnn27v0
    $4.82

    Bought 5.07 No for Will Napoli win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? at 0.95

常見問題

目前市場對「Serie A: 2027 Champion」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Inter Milan 以 4,950% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Roma(1,870%),以及 Juventus(1,050%)。該市場總成交量已達 $304.4K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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