
Serie A: 2027 Champion
核心摘要
根據「Serie A: 2027 Champion」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Inter Milan 以壓倒性的 4,950% 獲勝機率主導市場;Roma 以 1,870% 位居第二,Juventus 以 1,050% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $304.4K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Inter Milan (4,950%):Inter Milan 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 4,950¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $62.1K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Roma (1,870%):作為最可行的替代選項,Roma 保持著 1,870% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 1,870¢。
- Juventus (1,050%):以 1,050% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Juventus 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 AC Milan (800%)、Como (780%),以及 Napoli (550%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Atalanta 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Milan | 4950.0% | $62.1K | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 2 | Roma | 1870.0% | $58.0K | 1870¢ | -1770¢ |
| 3 | Juventus | 1050.0% | $16.8K | 1050¢ | -950¢ |
| 4 | AC Milan | 800.0% | $21.5K | 800¢ | -700¢ |
| 5 | Como | 780.0% | $28.2K | 780¢ | -680¢ |
| 6 | Napoli | 550.0% | $12.4K | 550¢ | -450¢ |
| 7 | Atalanta | 185.0% | $14.9K | 185¢ | -85¢ |
| 8 | Lazio | 105.0% | $15.3K | 105¢ | -5¢ |
| 9 | Bologna | 15.0% | $11.0K | 15¢ | 85¢ |
| 10 | Fiorentina | 15.0% | $7.9K | 15¢ | 85¢ |
| 11 | Genoa | 15.0% | $8.1K | 15¢ | 85¢ |
| 12 | Sassuolo | 15.0% | $8.3K | 15¢ | 85¢ |
| 13 | Torino | 15.0% | $8.4K | 15¢ | 85¢ |
| 14 | Udinese | 15.0% | $8.8K | 15¢ | 85¢ |
| 15 | Cagliari | 5.0% | $3.4K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 16 | Lecce | 5.0% | $4.1K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 17 | Parma | 5.0% | $3.6K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 18 | Venezia | 5.0% | $4.1K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 19 | Frosinone | 5.0% | $4.1K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 20 | Monza | 5.0% | $3.3K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
裁決規則
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Serie A Championship.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship per the rules of Serie A (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026-27 Serie A season is cancelled, postponed after May 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from Serie A; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Sep 8, 2026
- 07:38 AMVIViscaElBarca$13.81
Sold 17.26 No for Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? at 0.8
- 07:38 AM0X0xcc9Ade08Ae2DFB1C25fA259520c7E68Db07bA82E-1782232651838$30.20
Bought 158.950741 Yes for Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? at 0.19
- 06:39 AM0X0xdE126a30c728eF12c57C308a2d56d03A2658799e-1724126026525$5.13
Bought 5.4 No for Will Napoli win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? at 0.95
- 06:29 AMCEce4ww920$7.01
Sold 7.46 No for Will Napoli win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? at 0.94
- 05:11 AMXQxqnn27v0$4.77
Sold 5.07 No for Will Napoli win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? at 0.94
- 03:31 AMCOcornishon2$1.86
Sold 2 No for Will Como win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? at 0.93
- 03:31 AMCOcornishon2$116.25
Sold 125 No for Will Como win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? at 0.93
- 03:07 AMLJljb6djir$7.07
Bought 7.6 No for Will AC Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? at 0.93
- 02:46 AMP7p7fstfh3$5.80
Sold 6.37 No for Will AC Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? at 0.91
- 12:24 AMCEce4ww920$7.09
Bought 7.46 No for Will Napoli win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? at 0.95
Sep 7, 2026
- 11:42 PM0X0x61cF643Ab3954588e7aB586FA779E36D42c9346a-1724225477241$1.13
Bought 1.22 No for Will AC Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? at 0.93
- 11:10 PMXQxqnn27v0$4.82
Bought 5.07 No for Will Napoli win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? at 0.95
常見問題
目前市場對「Serie A: 2027 Champion」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Inter Milan 以 4,950% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Roma(1,870%),以及 Juventus(1,050%)。該市場總成交量已達 $304.4K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
