
Pro Football: 2026 Regular Season Win Totals
核心摘要
根據「Pro Football: 2026 Regular Season Win Totals」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Chicago Bears 以壓倒性的 9,150% 獲勝機率主導市場;Buffalo Bills 以 9,000% 位居第二,Arizona Cardinals 以 8,950% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $80.2K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Chicago Bears (9,150%):Chicago Bears 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,150¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $3.0K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Buffalo Bills (9,000%):作為最可行的替代選項,Buffalo Bills 保持著 9,000% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,000¢。
- Arizona Cardinals (8,950%):以 8,950% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Arizona Cardinals 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 Minnesota Vikings (8,850%)、San Francisco 49ers (8,800%),以及 Cleveland Browns (8,800%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Las Vegas Raiders 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chicago Bears | 9150.0% | $3.0K | 9150¢ | -9050¢ |
| 2 | Buffalo Bills | 9000.0% | $263 | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 3 | Arizona Cardinals | 8950.0% | $1.7K | 8950¢ | -8850¢ |
| 4 | Minnesota Vikings | 8850.0% | $231 | 8850¢ | -8750¢ |
| 5 | San Francisco 49ers | 8800.0% | $3.4K | 8800¢ | -8700¢ |
| 6 | Cleveland Browns | 8800.0% | $1.7K | 8800¢ | -8700¢ |
| 7 | Las Vegas Raiders | 8650.0% | $146 | 8650¢ | -8550¢ |
| 8 | Denver Broncos | 8600.0% | $2.5K | 8600¢ | -8500¢ |
| 9 | Cincinnati Bengals | 8550.0% | $789 | 8550¢ | -8450¢ |
| 10 | Pittsburgh Steelers | 8550.0% | $958 | 8550¢ | -8450¢ |
| 11 | Jacksonville Jaguars | 8050.0% | $417 | 8050¢ | -7950¢ |
| 12 | New York Giants | 6650.0% | $1.8K | 6650¢ | -6550¢ |
| 13 | New England Patriots | 6350.0% | $584 | 6350¢ | -6250¢ |
| 14 | Kansas City Chiefs | 6250.0% | $1.3K | 6250¢ | -6150¢ |
| 15 | Detroit Lions | 5950.0% | $7.0K | 5950¢ | -5850¢ |
| 16 | Carolina Panthers | 5100.0% | $3.7K | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 17 | Atlanta Falcons | 4350.0% | $3.8K | 4350¢ | -4250¢ |
| 18 | New York Jets | 3750.0% | $1.4K | 3750¢ | -3650¢ |
| 19 | Seattle Seahawks | 3550.0% | $3.8K | 3550¢ | -3450¢ |
| 20 | Green Bay Packers | 3150.0% | $460 | 3150¢ | -3050¢ |
| 21 | Miami Dolphins | 2850.0% | $1.1K | 2850¢ | -2750¢ |
| 22 | Houston Texans | 2750.0% | $3.6K | 2750¢ | -2650¢ |
| 23 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 2750.0% | $467 | 2750¢ | -2650¢ |
| 24 | Washington Commanders | 2750.0% | $6.3K | 2750¢ | -2650¢ |
| 25 | New Orleans Saints | 2650.0% | $1.4K | 2650¢ | -2550¢ |
| 26 | Tennessee Titans | 1835.0% | $406 | 1835¢ | -1735¢ |
| 27 | Los Angeles Rams | 1450.0% | $2.8K | 1450¢ | -1350¢ |
| 28 | Dallas Cowboys | 1250.0% | $3.5K | 1250¢ | -1150¢ |
| 29 | Indianapolis Colts | 1250.0% | $4.2K | 1250¢ | -1150¢ |
| 30 | Baltimore Ravens | 255.0% | $8.8K | 255¢ | -155¢ |
| 31 | Philadelphia Eagles | 165.0% | $6.4K | 165¢ | -65¢ |
裁決規則
This market will resolve according to the final regular season record of the listed team during the 2026 NFL Regular Season. If the listed team records more than the listed number of wins, the corresponding market will resolve to its corresponding "Over". Otherwise, it will resolve to its corresponding "Under".
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the listed team to record more than the listed number of wins per the rules of the NFL, the corresponding market will resolve to its corresponding "Under".
If the NFL Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, these markets will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from the National Football League (https://www.nfl.com); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Nov 6, 2026
- 07:26 PMERerdos-baconator$1.00
Sold 10 U 6.5 for Will the Cleveland Browns win more than 6.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season? at 0.1
- 06:34 PMERerdos-baconator$1.40
Bought 10 U 6.5 for Will the Cleveland Browns win more than 6.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season? at 0.14
- 01:56 PMDAdarkaurora$2.40
Sold 20 U 8.5 for Will the Minnesota Vikings win more than 8.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season? at 0.12
- 01:54 PMANannont$0.08
Sold 0.16 U 7.5 for Will the Carolina Panthers win more than 7.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season? at 0.47
- 01:52 PMHFhfv$2.21
Sold 8.5 O 7.5 for Will the Washington Commanders win more than 7.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season? at 0.26
- 01:50 PM——$53.55
Sold 109.28 O 7.5 for Will the Carolina Panthers win more than 7.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season? at 0.49
- 01:50 PMANannont$4.72
Bought 9.44 U 7.5 for Will the Carolina Panthers win more than 7.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season? at 0.5
- 01:50 PM——$5.09
Sold 5.25 U 10.5 for Will the Philadelphia Eagles win more than 10.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season? at 0.97
- 01:50 PM——$8.57
Sold 8.83 U 10.5 for Will the Philadelphia Eagles win more than 10.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season? at 0.97
- 01:50 PM——$73.44
Sold 75.71 U 10.5 for Will the Philadelphia Eagles win more than 10.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season? at 0.97
- 01:50 PM——$5.82
Sold 6 U 10.5 for Will the Philadelphia Eagles win more than 10.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season? at 0.97
- 01:50 PM——$10.77
Sold 11.1 U 10.5 for Will the Philadelphia Eagles win more than 10.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season? at 0.97
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常見問題
目前市場對「Pro Football: 2026 Regular Season Win Totals」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Chicago Bears 以 9,150% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Buffalo Bills(9,000%),以及 Arizona Cardinals(8,950%)。該市場總成交量已達 $80.2K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
