
Pro Football: 2026 Regular Season Win Totals
核心摘要
根據「Pro Football: 2026 Regular Season Win Totals」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Baltimore Ravens 以壓倒性的 5,000% 獲勝機率主導市場;Los Angeles Rams 以 5,000% 位居第二,Buffalo Bills 以 5,000% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 —,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Baltimore Ravens (5,000%):Baltimore Ravens 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 5,000¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Los Angeles Rams (5,000%):作為最可行的替代選項,Los Angeles Rams 保持著 5,000% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,000¢。
- Buffalo Bills (5,000%):以 5,000% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Buffalo Bills 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 Detroit Lions (5,000%)、Green Bay Packers (5,000%),以及 Kansas City Chiefs (5,000%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Los Angeles Chargers 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Baltimore Ravens | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 2 | Los Angeles Rams | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 3 | Buffalo Bills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 4 | Detroit Lions | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 5 | Green Bay Packers | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | Kansas City Chiefs | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | Los Angeles Chargers | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | San Francisco 49ers | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Seattle Seahawks | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Chicago Bears | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Cincinnati Bengals | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Dallas Cowboys | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Denver Broncos | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Houston Texans | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | Jacksonville Jaguars | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | New England Patriots | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | Minnesota Vikings | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | Pittsburgh Steelers | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 19 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 20 | New York Giants | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 21 | Atlanta Falcons | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 22 | Carolina Panthers | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 23 | Indianapolis Colts | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 24 | New Orleans Saints | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 25 | Washington Commanders | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 26 | Cleveland Browns | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 27 | Tennessee Titans | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 28 | New York Jets | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 29 | Las Vegas Raiders | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 30 | Arizona Cardinals | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 31 | Miami Dolphins | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 32 | Philadelphia Eagles | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
裁決規則
This market will resolve according to the final regular season record of the listed team during the 2026 NFL Regular Season. If the listed team records more than the listed number of wins, the corresponding market will resolve to its corresponding "Over". Otherwise, it will resolve to its corresponding "Under".
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the listed team to record more than the listed number of wins per the rules of the NFL, the corresponding market will resolve to its corresponding "Under".
If the NFL Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, these markets will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from the National Football League (https://www.nfl.com); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
常見問題
目前市場對「Pro Football: 2026 Regular Season Win Totals」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Baltimore Ravens 以 5,000% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Los Angeles Rams(5,000%),以及 Buffalo Bills(5,000%)。該市場總成交量已達 —,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
