Oilers vs. Maple Leafs

$103.6K Vol
2026年11月15日
Active
機率趨勢
Oilers 57.5%
Maple Leafs 42.5%

核心摘要

根據「Oilers vs. Maple Leafs」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,O/U 2.5 以壓倒性的 9,305% 獲勝機率主導市場;O/U 3.5 以 7,450% 位居第二,Oilers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 4.5 以 6,250% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $103.6K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • O/U 2.5 (9,305%):O/U 2.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,305¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $34 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • O/U 3.5 (7,450%):作為最可行的替代選項,O/U 3.5 保持著 7,450% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 7,450¢。
  • Oilers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 4.5 (6,250%):以 6,250% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Oilers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 4.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Oilers vs. Maple Leafs (5,550%)、Spread -3.5 (3,800%),以及 Oilers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5 (3,700%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Spread -1.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1O/U 2.59305.0%$349305¢-9205¢
2O/U 3.57450.0%—7450¢-7350¢
3Oilers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 4.56250.0%$3556250¢-6150¢
4Oilers vs. Maple Leafs5550.0%$87.8K5550¢-5450¢
5Spread -3.53800.0%—3800¢-3700¢
6Oilers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.53700.0%$1.8K3700¢-3600¢
7Spread -1.53250.0%$1043250¢-3150¢
8Oilers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.52700.0%$7.5K2700¢-2600¢
9Spread -1.52050.0%$1042050¢-1950¢
10Spread -2.52000.0%$1.5K2000¢-1900¢
11Oilers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 7.51400.0%$7501400¢-1300¢
12Spread -2.51350.0%$1.5K1350¢-1250¢
13Spread -3.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
14O/U 8.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
15O/U 9.5500.0%$1.6K500¢-400¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for November 14 at 7:00PM ET:

If the Oilers win, the market will resolve to "Oilers".

If the Maple Leafs win, the market will resolve to "Maple Leafs".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Nov 15, 2026

  • 12:42 AM
    ZEZesty5005
    $196.56

    Bought 578.126667 Oilers for Spread: Oilers (-1.5) at 0.34

  • 12:42 AM
    ——
    $2.00

    Bought 2.985075 Maple Leafs for Spread: Oilers (-1.5) at 0.67

  • 12:42 AM
    BLblasfemio
    $264.00

    Bought 388.235293 Maple Leafs for Spread: Oilers (-1.5) at 0.68

  • 12:34 AM
    GOGoldlobster
    $4.40

    Bought 4.583325 Under for Oilers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 9.5 at 0.96

  • 12:22 AM
    FEferdinand2
    $3.20

    Bought 5 Maple Leafs for Spread: Oilers (-1.5) at 0.64

  • 12:22 AM
    GOGooperask
    $4.76

    Bought 7.44 Maple Leafs for Spread: Oilers (-1.5) at 0.64

  • 12:22 AM
    GOGooperask
    $6.40

    Bought 10 Maple Leafs for Spread: Oilers (-1.5) at 0.64

  • 12:22 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $98.82

    Bought 154.40625 Maple Leafs for Spread: Oilers (-1.5) at 0.64

  • 12:22 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $14.81

    Bought 23.140625 Maple Leafs for Spread: Oilers (-1.5) at 0.64

  • 12:05 AM
    OMomnibus-076daa
    $17.85

    Bought 137.307693 Over for Oilers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 9.5 at 0.13

Nov 14, 2026

  • 11:47 PM
    MDMd54941
    $2.52

    Bought 21 Over for Oilers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 9.5 at 0.12

  • 11:33 PM
    STsteadyhodl
    $10.00

    Bought 27.027028 Oilers for Spread: Oilers (-1.5) at 0.37

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

RA1
Raisuu
事件損益
-$150.00
成交量
$30,000.00
持倉數
Oilers
MU2
Multicoloured-Serf
事件損益
+$114.14
成交量
$22,828.80
持倉數
Maple Leafs
NI3
nigiri99
事件損益
-$40.19
成交量
$15,554.00
持倉數
Maple LeafsOverOver
CH4
chubbytoro
事件損益
+$4.79
成交量
$15,268.17
持倉數
Oilers
LI5
Libratus007
事件損益
-$71.74
成交量
$14,347.24
持倉數
OilersOilersOilers
KE6
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
事件損益
+$65.54
成交量
$13,105.98
持倉數
Maple Leafs
ST7
stackingsats
事件損益
+$47.50
成交量
$9,500.00
持倉數
Maple Leafs
JO8
Joewwe
事件損益
-$42.36
成交量
$8,474.12
持倉數
Oilers

常見問題

目前市場對「Oilers vs. Maple Leafs」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,O/U 2.5 以 9,305% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 O/U 3.5(7,450%),以及 Oilers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 4.5(6,250%)。該市場總成交量已達 $103.6K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

開始交易