Red Wings vs. Lightning

$296.1K Vol
2026年11月4日
Active
機率趨勢
Lightning 90.5%
Red Wings 9.5%

核心摘要

根據「Red Wings vs. Lightning」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,O/U 2.5 以壓倒性的 9,620% 獲勝機率主導市場;O/U 3.5 以 9,000% 位居第二,Red Wings vs. Lightning: O/U 4.5 以 8,350% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $296.1K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • O/U 2.5 (9,620%):O/U 2.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,620¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • O/U 3.5 (9,000%):作為最可行的替代選項,O/U 3.5 保持著 9,000% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,000¢。
  • Red Wings vs. Lightning: O/U 4.5 (8,350%):以 8,350% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Red Wings vs. Lightning: O/U 4.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Spread -1.5 (6,750%)、Red Wings vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5 (6,200%),以及 Spread -2.5 (5,450%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Red Wings vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1O/U 2.59620.0%—9620¢-9520¢
2O/U 3.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
3Red Wings vs. Lightning: O/U 4.58350.0%$1.7K8350¢-8250¢
4Spread -1.56750.0%$2556750¢-6650¢
5Red Wings vs. Lightning: O/U 5.56200.0%$9.0K6200¢-6100¢
6Spread -2.55450.0%$925450¢-5350¢
7Red Wings vs. Lightning: O/U 6.55000.0%$11.6K5000¢-4900¢
8Spread -3.53550.0%$1093550¢-3450¢
9Spread -3.52950.0%$1092950¢-2850¢
10Red Wings vs. Lightning: O/U 7.52700.0%$202700¢-2600¢
11O/U 8.51800.0%$1261800¢-1700¢
12Red Wings vs. Lightning1200.0%$221.6K1200¢-1100¢
13O/U 9.5900.0%—900¢-800¢
14Spread -1.5750.0%$255750¢-650¢
15Spread -2.5380.0%$92380¢-280¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for November 3 at 7:00PM ET:

If the Red Wings win, the market will resolve to "Red Wings".

If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Nov 3, 2026

  • 09:52 PM
    0X0x7bFFC729B628859182384d23eDDe7518b34299c9-1768581379400
    $9.52

    Bought 34 Red Wings for Red Wings vs. Lightning at 0.28

  • 09:50 PM
    NInigiri99
    $49.00

    Bought 175 Red Wings for Red Wings vs. Lightning at 0.28

  • 09:50 PM
    MIMIIZ4N
    $2.00

    Bought 4.347827 Over for Red Wings vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5 at 0.46

  • 09:49 PM
    X6x67dsh3
    $504.00

    Bought 1800 Red Wings for Red Wings vs. Lightning at 0.28

  • 09:45 PM
    DADamsgaard
    $49.91

    Bought 108.5 Over for Red Wings vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5 at 0.46

  • 09:42 PM
    NInigiri99
    $59.92

    Bought 214 Red Wings for Red Wings vs. Lightning at 0.28

  • 09:42 PM
    NInigiri99
    $423.08

    Bought 1511 Red Wings for Red Wings vs. Lightning at 0.28

  • 09:41 PM
    NInigiri99
    $482.72

    Bought 1724 Red Wings for Red Wings vs. Lightning at 0.28

  • 09:41 PM
    NInigiri99
    $1,013.60

    Bought 3620 Red Wings for Red Wings vs. Lightning at 0.28

  • 09:41 PM
    NInigiri99
    $362.04

    Bought 1293 Red Wings for Red Wings vs. Lightning at 0.28

  • 09:41 PM
    NInigiri99
    $243.04

    Bought 868 Red Wings for Red Wings vs. Lightning at 0.28

  • 09:39 PM
    OMomrish
    $1.00

    Bought 1.369862 Lightning for Red Wings vs. Lightning at 0.73

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

VI1
Viboomchuu
事件損益
-$280.00
成交量
$55,999.98
持倉數
Red Wings
FE2
ferrariChampions2026
事件損益
+$236.07
成交量
$47,205.50
持倉數
LightningLightning
TA3
taylorsversion
事件損益
+$93.05
成交量
$43,266.51
持倉數
LightningUnderUnder
MO4
mooseborzoi
事件損益
+$0.31
成交量
$36,293.00
持倉數
LightningLightning
RO5
royalestake
事件損益
-$49.99
成交量
$17,999.97
持倉數
Red Wings
PA6
para-Vision
事件損益
-$60.00
成交量
$12,000.00
持倉數
Red Wings
BA7
Babooou
事件損益
-$45.00
成交量
$9,000.00
持倉數
Red Wings
GA8
gagarin59
事件損益
+$17.24
成交量
$7,019.00
持倉數
Red Wings

常見問題

目前市場對「Red Wings vs. Lightning」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,O/U 2.5 以 9,620% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 O/U 3.5(9,000%),以及 Red Wings vs. Lightning: O/U 4.5(8,350%)。該市場總成交量已達 $296.1K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

開始交易