Dolphins vs. Colts - Player Props
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2026年11月15日
Active
機率趨勢
No 84.5%
Yes 15.5%
核心摘要
根據「Dolphins vs. Colts - Player Props」的最新預測市場資料，交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前，Daniel Jones: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 以壓倒性的 5,000% 獲勝機率主導市場；Daniel Jones: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 以 5,000% 位居第二，Daniel Jones: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 以 5,000% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 —，反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置，可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊：
🥇 第一梯隊：絕對領跑者
- Daniel Jones: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 (5,000%)：Daniel Jones: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 目前擁有最高機率，深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 5,000¢，顯示出市場的高度確信。
🥈 第二梯隊：主要挑戰者
- Daniel Jones: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 (5,000%)：作為最可行的替代選項，Daniel Jones: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 保持著 5,000% 的成真機率，其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,000¢。
- Daniel Jones: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 (5,000%)：以 5,000% 的機率位列第三，市場對 Daniel Jones: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 持謹慎懷疑態度，除非勢頭轉變，否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊：長尾選項（合計約 0%）
在前三名之外，還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低，但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖：
- 替代選項：包括 Daniel Jones: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 (5,000%)、Malik Willis: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 (5,000%)，以及 Malik Willis: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 (5,000%)。
- 投機成交：儘管統計機率偏低，像 Malik Willis: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解：
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes（成本） | 買入 No（成本） |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Daniel Jones: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 2 | Daniel Jones: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 3 | Daniel Jones: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 4 | Daniel Jones: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 5 | Malik Willis: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | Malik Willis: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | Malik Willis: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | Malik Willis: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Caleb Douglas: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Daniel Jones: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Greg Dulcich: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Jonathan Taylor: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Josh Downs: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Malik Washington: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | Malik Willis: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | Ollie Gordon II: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | Tyler Warren: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | Caleb Douglas: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 19 | Greg Dulcich: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 20 | Josh Downs: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 21 | Keenan Allen: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 22 | Malik Washington: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 23 | Tyler Warren: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 24 | Daniel Jones: Passing Attempts O/U 27.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 25 | Daniel Jones: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 26 | Daniel Jones: Passing Attempts O/U 35.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 27 | Malik Willis: Passing Attempts O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 28 | Malik Willis: Passing Attempts O/U 27.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 29 | Malik Willis: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 30 | Daniel Jones: Passing Completions O/U 17.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 31 | Daniel Jones: Passing Completions O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 32 | Daniel Jones: Passing Completions O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 33 | Malik Willis: Passing Completions O/U 15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 34 | Malik Willis: Passing Completions O/U 17.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 35 | Malik Willis: Passing Completions O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 36 | Caleb Douglas: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 37 | Daniel Jones: Team First TD (Indianapolis Colts) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 38 | Greg Dulcich: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 39 | Jonathan Taylor: Team First TD (Indianapolis Colts) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 40 | Josh Downs: Team First TD (Indianapolis Colts) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 41 | Malik Washington: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 42 | Malik Willis: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 43 | Ollie Gordon II: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 44 | Tyler Warren: Team First TD (Indianapolis Colts) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 45 | Caleb Douglas: 2+ Touchdowns | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 46 | Daniel Jones: 2+ Touchdowns | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 47 | Greg Dulcich: 2+ Touchdowns | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 48 | Jonathan Taylor: 2+ Touchdowns | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 49 | Josh Downs: 2+ Touchdowns | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 50 | Keenan Allen: 2+ Touchdowns | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 51 | Malik Washington: 2+ Touchdowns | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 52 | Malik Willis: 2+ Touchdowns | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 53 | Ollie Gordon II: 2+ Touchdowns | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 54 | Tyler Warren: 2+ Touchdowns | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 55 | Keenan Allen: Anytime Touchdown | 1600.0% | — | 1600¢ | -1500¢ |
| 56 | Keenan Allen: Team First TD (Indianapolis Colts) | 1550.0% | $40 | 1550¢ | -1450¢ |
裁決規則
Player prop markets for the NFL game between the Dolphins and Colts, scheduled for November 15 at 1:00 PM ET.
常見問題
目前市場對「Dolphins vs. Colts - Player Props」的共識是什麼？
截至最新更新，Daniel Jones: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 以 5,000% 的獲勝機率領跑，其次是 Daniel Jones: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5（5,000%），以及 Daniel Jones: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5（5,000%）。該市場總成交量已達 —，顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。