Next GPT Terra (6.2+) released by...?

根據「Next GPT Terra (6.2+) released by...?」的最新預測市場資料，交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前，February 28 以壓倒性的 6,250% 獲勝機率主導市場；December 31 以 4,800% 位居第二。該市場的下注量已達 $293，反映出市場的高度關注。

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置，可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊：

🥇 第一梯隊：絕對領跑者

• February 28 (6,250%)：February 28 目前擁有最高機率，深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 6,250¢，顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $219 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊：主要挑戰者

• December 31 (4,800%)：作為最可行的替代選項，December 31 保持著 4,800% 的成真機率，其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 4,800¢。

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's next GPT Terra model (6.2+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Terra" and be designated as version 6.2 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 6.2 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Terra or GPT-6.1 Terra would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-7 Terra or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Terra" or which retain a version designation below 6.2, such as GPT-6.1 Terra (released October 26, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, GPT-6.1 Sol, or GPT-6 Luna, will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-6.1 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.