Magic vs. Jazz

$192.4K Vol
2026年11月12日
Active
機率趨勢
Magic 60.5%
Jazz 39.5%

核心摘要

根據「Magic vs. Jazz」的最新預測市場資料，交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前，O/U 189.5 以壓倒性的 9,350% 獲勝機率主導市場；O/U 191.5 以 9,250% 位居第二，O/U 193.5 以 9,050% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $192.4K，反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置，可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊：

🥇 第一梯隊：絕對領跑者

  • O/U 189.5 (9,350%)：O/U 189.5 目前擁有最高機率，深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,350¢，顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊：主要挑戰者

  • O/U 191.5 (9,250%)：作為最可行的替代選項，O/U 191.5 保持著 9,250% 的成真機率，其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,250¢。
  • O/U 193.5 (9,050%)：以 9,050% 的機率位列第三，市場對 O/U 193.5 持謹慎懷疑態度，除非勢頭轉變，否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊：長尾選項（合計約 0%）

在前三名之外，還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低，但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖：

  • 替代選項：包括 O/U 195.5 (8,750%)、O/U 197.5 (8,500%)，以及 Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 1.5 (8,450%)。
  • 投機成交：儘管統計機率偏低，像 O/U 199.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解：

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes（成本）買入 No（成本）
1O/U 189.59350.0%—9350¢-9250¢
2O/U 191.59250.0%—9250¢-9150¢
3O/U 193.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
4O/U 195.58750.0%—8750¢-8650¢
5O/U 197.58500.0%—8500¢-8400¢
6Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 1.58450.0%—8450¢-8350¢
7O/U 199.58200.0%—8200¢-8100¢
8Franz Wagner: Points O/U 14.58100.0%—8100¢-8000¢
9O/U 201.57850.0%—7850¢-7750¢
10Franz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 3.57850.0%—7850¢-7750¢
11O/U 203.57500.0%—7500¢-7400¢
12Desmond Bane: Assists O/U 1.57400.0%—7400¢-7300¢
13Desmond Bane: Points O/U 14.57200.0%—7200¢-7100¢
14O/U 205.57100.0%—7100¢-7000¢
15Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 5.57100.0%—7100¢-7000¢
16Desmond Bane: Points O/U 18.56950.0%$2136950¢-6850¢
17Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 9.56750.0%—6750¢-6650¢
18O/U 207.56650.0%$2366650¢-6550¢
19Desmond Bane: Points O/U 9.56600.0%—6600¢-6500¢
20Franz Wagner: Points O/U 19.56600.0%—6600¢-6500¢
21Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.56500.0%—6500¢-6400¢
22O/U 209.56300.0%—6300¢-6200¢
23Magic vs. Jazz6050.0%$40.5K6050¢-5950¢
24O/U 211.55850.0%$125850¢-5750¢
25Spread -1.55750.0%$1175750¢-5650¢
26Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 3.55700.0%—5700¢-5600¢
271H Moneyline5700.0%—5700¢-5600¢
28Magic O/U 107.55700.0%—5700¢-5600¢
291Q O/U 54.55650.0%—5650¢-5550¢
302Q O/U 53.55650.0%—5650¢-5550¢
31Spread -2.55550.0%$1005550¢-5450¢
32Jazz O/U 104.55550.0%—5550¢-5450¢
33O/U 213.55450.0%$145450¢-5350¢
341H O/U 109.55400.0%—5400¢-5300¢
35Jazz 1H O/U 52.55350.0%—5350¢-5250¢
362Q Spread -1.55350.0%—5350¢-5250¢
37Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
38Franz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 5.55150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
391H Spread -1.55150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
402Q Spread -0.55150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
41Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 3.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
42Spread -3.55050.0%$15050¢-4950¢
433Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
444Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
45Magic 1H O/U 56.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
46Team to Score First5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
47Odd/Even Score5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
48Overtime?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
49Race to 105000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
50Race to 205000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
51Race to 305000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
521Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
533Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
543Q O/U 49.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
554Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
56Magic 1H O/U 54.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
573Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58O/U 215.54950.0%$6514950¢-4850¢
59Desmond Bane: Points O/U 19.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
60Magic O/U 109.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
61Franz Wagner: Points O/U 9.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
62Franz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 1.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
63Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
64Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
65Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 1.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
66Desmond Bane: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
67Desmond Bane: Steals O/U 0.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
68Desmond Bane: Steals O/U 1.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
69Desmond Bane: Steals O/U 2.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
70Franz Wagner: Steals O/U 0.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
71Franz Wagner: Steals O/U 1.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
72Franz Wagner: Steals O/U 2.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
73Jazz O/U 106.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
74Jazz 1H O/U 54.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
751Q O/U 56.54800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
76Wendell Carter Jr.: Assists O/U 1.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
771Q Spread -1.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
783Q O/U 51.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
79Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 7.54650.0%—4650¢-4550¢
801H O/U 111.54650.0%—4650¢-4550¢
812Q O/U 55.54650.0%—4650¢-4550¢
82Spread -4.54550.0%$138.7K4550¢-4450¢
83Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 9.54500.0%—4500¢-4400¢
84O/U 217.54350.0%$8.2K4350¢-4250¢
85Desmond Bane: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.54350.0%—4350¢-4250¢
864Q O/U 50.54350.0%—4350¢-4250¢
87Spread -5.54250.0%$1.4K4250¢-4150¢
881H Spread -3.54250.0%—4250¢-4150¢
894Q O/U 48.54250.0%—4250¢-4150¢
901Q Spread -0.54250.0%—4250¢-4150¢
911H Spread -0.54100.0%—4100¢-4000¢
92Spread -6.54050.0%$1214050¢-3950¢
93Franz Wagner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.54050.0%—4050¢-3950¢
942Q Spread -2.54050.0%—4050¢-3950¢
95O/U 219.54000.0%$1.4K4000¢-3900¢
96Franz Wagner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.53950.0%—3950¢-3850¢
971H O/U 113.53900.0%—3900¢-3800¢
98Franz Wagner: Points O/U 24.53800.0%—3800¢-3700¢
99Spread -7.53750.0%—3750¢-3650¢
100Spread -1.53700.0%$1173700¢-3600¢
101O/U 221.53650.0%$1703650¢-3550¢
102Desmond Bane: Assists O/U 3.53600.0%—3600¢-3500¢
103Spread -8.53450.0%—3450¢-3350¢
104Desmond Bane: Assists O/U 2.53400.0%—3400¢-3300¢
105O/U 223.53300.0%—3300¢-3200¢
106Spread -9.53150.0%—3150¢-3050¢
1071Q O/U 58.53150.0%—3150¢-3050¢
108Franz Wagner: Points O/U 23.53100.0%—3100¢-3000¢
109Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 12.53100.0%—3100¢-3000¢
110Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 14.53050.0%—3050¢-2950¢
111Wendell Carter Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.53050.0%—3050¢-2950¢
112Spread -3.53000.0%$13000¢-2900¢
113Desmond Bane: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.53000.0%—3000¢-2900¢
114O/U 225.52950.0%—2950¢-2850¢
115Spread -10.52850.0%—2850¢-2750¢
116Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 8.52750.0%—2750¢-2650¢
117Franz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 6.52750.0%—2750¢-2650¢
1182Q O/U 57.52700.0%—2700¢-2600¢
119Franz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 7.52600.0%—2600¢-2500¢
120Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 9.52600.0%—2600¢-2500¢
121O/U 227.52550.0%—2550¢-2450¢
122Spread -5.52500.0%$1.4K2500¢-2400¢
123Spread -12.52350.0%—2350¢-2250¢
124Desmond Bane: Points O/U 24.52350.0%—2350¢-2250¢
125Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 4.52300.0%—2300¢-2200¢
126Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 5.52300.0%—2300¢-2200¢
127O/U 229.52250.0%—2250¢-2150¢
128Desmond Bane: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.52150.0%—2150¢-2050¢
129Franz Wagner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.52150.0%—2150¢-2050¢
130Spread -7.52050.0%—2050¢-1950¢
131O/U 231.51900.0%$51900¢-1800¢
132Spread -14.51850.0%—1850¢-1750¢
133Spread -9.51650.0%—1650¢-1550¢
134Franz Wagner: Points O/U 29.51600.0%—1600¢-1500¢
135Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 11.51600.0%—1600¢-1500¢
136Spread -16.51550.0%—1550¢-1450¢
137O/U 233.51550.0%—1550¢-1450¢
138Desmond Bane: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.51450.0%—1450¢-1350¢
139Lauri Markkanen: Points O/U 20.51450.0%$1001450¢-1350¢
140Lauri Markkanen: Rebounds O/U 6.51450.0%$1001450¢-1350¢
141Wendell Carter Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.51300.0%—1300¢-1200¢
142O/U 235.51250.0%—1250¢-1150¢
143Spread -11.51250.0%—1250¢-1150¢
144Spread -18.51200.0%—1200¢-1100¢
145O/U 237.51150.0%—1150¢-1050¢
146Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 11.51050.0%$61050¢-950¢
147Spread -20.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
148Spread -13.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
149Desmond Bane: Points O/U 29.5900.0%—900¢-800¢
150Franz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 9.5900.0%—900¢-800¢
151O/U 239.5850.0%—850¢-750¢
152Franz Wagner: Points O/U 34.5800.0%—800¢-700¢
153Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 19.5800.0%—800¢-700¢
154Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 7.5800.0%—800¢-700¢
155Wendell Carter Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5800.0%—800¢-700¢
156Spread -15.5750.0%—750¢-650¢
157O/U 241.5750.0%—750¢-650¢
158Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 13.5750.0%—750¢-650¢
159Desmond Bane: Assists O/U 5.5750.0%—750¢-650¢
160Franz Wagner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5750.0%—750¢-650¢
161Spread -22.5700.0%—700¢-600¢
162Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 24.5600.0%—600¢-500¢
163Franz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 11.5600.0%—600¢-500¢
164Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 15.5600.0%—600¢-500¢
165Spread -24.5550.0%—550¢-450¢
166Spread -17.5550.0%—550¢-450¢
167O/U 243.5550.0%—550¢-450¢
168O/U 245.5550.0%—550¢-450¢
169Franz Wagner: Points O/U 39.5550.0%—550¢-450¢
170Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 9.5550.0%—550¢-450¢
171Spread -26.5450.0%—450¢-350¢
172Spread -19.5450.0%—450¢-350¢
173Spread -23.5310.0%$27310¢-210¢
174Spread -21.5245.0%—245¢-145¢
175Spread -28.5235.0%—235¢-135¢
176Spread -30.5235.0%—235¢-135¢
177Spread -32.5225.0%—225¢-125¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming NBA game between Magic and Jazz, originally scheduled for Wednesday, November 11, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

If the Magic win, the market will resolve to "Magic".

If the Jazz win, the market will resolve to "Jazz".

If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Friday, November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Nov 11, 2026

  • 01:10 PM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 2.222223 Under for Magic vs. Jazz: O/U 213.5 at 0.45

  • 01:09 PM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 2.222223 Under for Magic vs. Jazz: O/U 213.5 at 0.45

  • 01:09 PM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 2 Under for Magic vs. Jazz: O/U 215.5 at 0.5

  • 01:06 PM
    VEVeryLucky888
    $6.66

    Sold 14.81 Over for Magic vs. Jazz: O/U 217.5 at 0.45

  • 01:06 PM
    BIbit-job
    $2.25

    Bought 5 Under for Magic vs. Jazz: O/U 213.5 at 0.45

  • 01:06 PM
    BIbit-job
    $2.50

    Bought 5 Under for Magic vs. Jazz: O/U 215.5 at 0.5

  • 01:05 PM
    BIbit-job
    $2.70

    Bought 5 Under for Magic vs. Jazz: O/U 217.5 at 0.54

  • 01:05 PM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $19.44

    Bought 36 Under for Magic vs. Jazz: O/U 217.5 at 0.54

  • 01:05 PM
    BIbit-job
    $2.25

    Bought 5 Under for Magic vs. Jazz: O/U 213.5 at 0.45

  • 01:05 PM
    BIbit-job
    $2.50

    Bought 5 Under for Magic vs. Jazz: O/U 215.5 at 0.5

  • 12:52 PM
    FEferdinand2
    $0.00

    Bought 0.01 Under for Magic vs. Jazz: O/U 211.5 at 0.38

  • 12:52 PM
    ——
    $1.80

    Bought 3.67347 Under for Magic vs. Jazz: O/U 215.5 at 0.49

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

2C1
0x2c33…5465
事件損益
-$599.79
成交量
$119,999.99
持倉數
Magic
RJ2
RJW1
事件損益
+$350.05
成交量
$69,999.99
持倉數
Jazz
SI3
SineNooneEI
事件損益
+$269.99
成交量
$53,986.96
持倉數
Jazz
HO4
HomeRunHazard
事件損益
+$51.48
成交量
$3,870.72
持倉數
JazzOverUnder+3
735
739633786
事件損益
-$35.43
成交量
$2,362.00
持倉數
Magic
SE6
sentrio
事件損益
-$10.03
成交量
$2,005.91
持倉數
Magic
KA7
KasonWong
事件損益
+$90.00
成交量
$2,000.00
持倉數
Under
ST8
strawberrycreek
事件損益
-$23.15
成交量
$1,634.95
持倉數
MagicUnderMagic+2

常見問題

目前市場對「Magic vs. Jazz」的共識是什麼？

截至最新更新，O/U 189.5 以 9,350% 的獲勝機率領跑，其次是 O/U 191.5（9,250%），以及 O/U 193.5（9,050%）。該市場總成交量已達 $192.4K，顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

開始交易