LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs

$178.6K Vol
2026年11月4日
Active
機率趨勢
Invictus Gaming 53.5%
Top Esports 46.5%

核心摘要

根據「LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以壓倒性的 7,600% 獲勝機率主導市場;Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以 7,600% 位居第二,O/U 3.5 Games 以 7,350% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $178.6K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (7,600%):Both Teams Slay a Dragon 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 7,600¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (7,600%):作為最可行的替代選項,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 保持著 7,600% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 7,600¢。
  • O/U 3.5 Games (7,350%):以 7,350% 的機率位列第三,市場對 O/U 3.5 Games 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Any Player Quadra Kill (5,000%)、Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,000%),以及 Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Both Teams Slay a Dragon7600.0%—7600¢-7500¢
2Both Teams Slay a Dragon7600.0%—7600¢-7500¢
3O/U 3.5 Games7350.0%$5.7K7350¢-7250¢
4Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
5Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
6Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%$805000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%$805000¢-4900¢
19Game 1 Winner4850.0%$9014850¢-4750¢
20Game 2 Winner4850.0%$204850¢-4750¢
21Game 3 Winner4850.0%$264850¢-4750¢
22Game 4 Winner4850.0%$34850¢-4750¢
23Any Player Penta Kill4750.0%$804750¢-4650¢
24Match Winner4650.0%$148.1K4650¢-4550¢
25O/U 4.5 Games3550.0%$1.8K3550¢-3450¢
26Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)3350.0%$20.7K3350¢-3250¢
27Game Handicap: IG (-2.5) vs Top Esports (+2.5)1600.0%$1.1K1600¢-1500¢
28Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1550.0%$51550¢-1450¢
29Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1550.0%$51550¢-1450¢
30Any Player Penta Kill1300.0%$801300¢-1200¢
31Any Player Quadra Kill1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
32Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors900.0%—900¢-800¢
33Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors900.0%—900¢-800¢
34Any Player Penta Kill400.0%$80400¢-300¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the LoL Quarterfinal 4 match between Top Esports and Invictus Gaming in the Worlds Playoffs, initially scheduled for November 6, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win the match against Invictus Gaming.

This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if Invictus Gaming win the match against Top Esports.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 20, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 6, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Nov 2, 2026

  • 12:45 PM
    0X0xDf45C4D9f9745F44BEe5e238Aa03dfD0385299c2-1778935479888
    $4.90

    Bought 10 Top Esports for LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner at 0.49

  • 12:44 PM
    ——
    $1.50

    Bought 3.061225 Top Esports for LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner at 0.49

  • 12:44 PM
    0X0x895Cd50c253A866fc82B7e266808d875ae20D026-1779608208985
    $106.96

    Bought 205.692308 Invictus Gaming for LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner at 0.52

  • 12:42 PM
    LLllllllIIIIIIlIllllllIIIIIIlIllllllIIIIIIlI
    $510.00

    Bought 1500 Invictus Gaming for Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5) at 0.34

  • 12:40 PM
    ISiSeeyoy
    $93.23

    Bought 202.67 Top Esports for LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.46

  • 12:16 PM
    0X0x2A5e009795208b1c279895F7f17736d4C0BC9629-1777771701618
    $6.00

    Bought 12.244898 Top Esports for LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner at 0.49

  • 12:14 PM
    -G-Guapo--
    $1,135.26

    Bought 3338.99 Invictus Gaming for Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5) at 0.34

  • 12:06 PM
    JXjxfei
    $1.00

    Bought 1.818182 Invictus Gaming for LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.55

  • 11:49 AM
    PRProunemployed
    $6.70

    Bought 10 Top Esports for Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5) at 0.67

  • 11:42 AM
    DEDest1n1-161
    $2.00

    Bought 4.347827 Top Esports for LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.46

  • 11:39 AM
    HUhunter-bobby
    $5.00

    Bought 10.869566 Top Esports for LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.46

  • 11:38 AM
    0X0x21529DE2D0f225b5DFeEA521901b7EA03D15B77f-1785139706847
    $1.00

    Bought 2.173914 Top Esports for LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.46

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

JA1
jakepaulthegoat2008
事件損益
+$459.32
成交量
$91,735.12
持倉數
Top Esports
IG2
ig666
事件損益
-$199.14
成交量
$39,827.77
持倉數
Invictus Gaming
TA3
TAIWANNUMBERONE
事件損益
+$106.10
成交量
$28,383.24
持倉數
Top EsportsTop Esports
9E4
0x9e3e…9396
事件損益
-$54.00
成交量
$10,038.74
持倉數
Invictus GamingOverOver
ME5
MeiGuNiuBi
事件損益
-$50.00
成交量
$10,000.00
持倉數
Invictus Gaming
BO6
boss8
事件損益
+$1.21
成交量
$9,282.83
持倉數
Invictus Gaming
B57
0xb5de…cabe
事件損益
-$106.53
成交量
$7,102.20
持倉數
Invictus Gaming
GA8
GAMBLINGISCANCER69
事件損益
+$44.79
成交量
$5,143.28
持倉數
Top EsportsTop EsportsTop Esports

常見問題

目前市場對「LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以 7,600% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Both Teams Slay a Dragon(7,600%),以及 O/U 3.5 Games(7,350%)。該市場總成交量已達 $178.6K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

開始交易