LoL: Nothin'Here vs Saigon Warriors (BO5) - LCP Promotion Playoffs

$284.9K Vol
2026年11月12日
Active
機率趨勢
Saigon Warriors 93.5%
Nothin'Here 6.5%

核心摘要

根據「LoL: Nothin'Here vs Saigon Warriors (BO5) - LCP Promotion Playoffs」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Game Handicap: SGW (-1.5) vs Nothin'Here (+1.5) 以壓倒性的 8,600% 獲勝機率主導市場;Game Handicap: SGW (-2.5) vs Nothin'Here (+2.5) 以 7,050% 位居第二,Game 4 Winner 以 5,100% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $284.9K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Game Handicap: SGW (-1.5) vs Nothin'Here (+1.5) (8,600%):Game Handicap: SGW (-1.5) vs Nothin'Here (+1.5) 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 8,600¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $8.2K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Game Handicap: SGW (-2.5) vs Nothin'Here (+2.5) (7,050%):作為最可行的替代選項,Game Handicap: SGW (-2.5) vs Nothin'Here (+2.5) 保持著 7,050% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 7,050¢。
  • Game 4 Winner (5,100%):以 5,100% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Game 4 Winner 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,050%)、Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,000%),以及 Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (5,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Any Player Quadra Kill 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Game Handicap: SGW (-1.5) vs Nothin'Here (+1.5)8600.0%$8.2K8600¢-8500¢
2Game Handicap: SGW (-2.5) vs Nothin'Here (+2.5)7050.0%$15.2K7050¢-6950¢
3Game 4 Winner5100.0%$155100¢-5000¢
4Both Teams Slay a Dragon5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
5Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
27Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
28Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
29O/U 3.5 Games4350.0%$4.1K4350¢-4250¢
30Game 3 Winner4300.0%$1.4K4300¢-4200¢
31Game 2 Winner2700.0%$1.8K2700¢-2600¢
32O/U 4.5 Games1350.0%$901350¢-1250¢
33Match Winner750.0%$82.4K750¢-650¢
34Game 1 Winner5.0%$171.8K5¢95¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the LoL Semifinal match between Nothin'Here and Saigon Warriors in the LCP Promotion Playoffs, initially scheduled for November 12, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Nothin'Here" if Nothin'Here win the match against Saigon Warriors.

This market will resolve to "Saigon Warriors" if Saigon Warriors win the match against Nothin'Here.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 26, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 12, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Nov 12, 2026

  • 12:56 AM
    ——
    $157.96

    Bought 359 NothinHere for Game Handicap: SGW (-2.5) vs Nothin'Here (+2.5) at 0.44

  • 12:54 AM
    ——
    $158.84

    Bought 361 NothinHere for Game Handicap: SGW (-2.5) vs Nothin'Here (+2.5) at 0.44

  • 12:42 AM
    LJljs666
    $5.00

    Bought 11.111112 NothinHere for Game Handicap: SGW (-2.5) vs Nothin'Here (+2.5) at 0.45

  • 12:32 AM
    NINiK0k0k0k
    $267.12

    Bought 593.592667 NothinHere for Game Handicap: SGW (-2.5) vs Nothin'Here (+2.5) at 0.45

  • 12:20 AM
    UHUhahd86264
    $1.00

    Bought 2.272728 NothinHere for Game Handicap: SGW (-2.5) vs Nothin'Here (+2.5) at 0.44

  • 12:20 AM
    JEJeekBrain
    $86.60

    Bought 196.82 NothinHere for Game Handicap: SGW (-2.5) vs Nothin'Here (+2.5) at 0.44

  • 12:19 AM
    YOyouqiruc
    $3.00

    Bought 23.076924 NothinHere for LoL: Nothin'Here vs Saigon Warriors (BO5) - LCP Promotion Playoffs at 0.13

  • 12:19 AM
    FIFirstGeyBunny
    $368.17

    Bought 657.44 Saigon Warriors for Game Handicap: SGW (-2.5) vs Nothin'Here (+2.5) at 0.56

  • 12:18 AM
    0X0x8cb9c
    $1.00

    Bought 1.136358 Saigon Warriors for LoL: Nothin'Here vs Saigon Warriors (BO5) - LCP Promotion Playoffs at 0.88

  • 12:17 AM
    ——
    $101.46

    Sold 845.53 NothinHere for LoL: Nothin'Here vs Saigon Warriors (BO5) - LCP Promotion Playoffs at 0.12

  • 12:11 AM
    AMameisgoat11
    $4.40

    Bought 5 Saigon Warriors for LoL: Nothin'Here vs Saigon Warriors (BO5) - LCP Promotion Playoffs at 0.88

  • 12:02 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $86.66

    Bought 666.615385 NothinHere for LoL: Nothin'Here vs Saigon Warriors (BO5) - LCP Promotion Playoffs at 0.13

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

BL1
bloodmaster
事件損益
-$49.11
成交量
$62,438.65
持倉數
Saigon WarriorsSaigon WarriorsSaigon Warriors+4
9E2
0x9e3e…9396
事件損益
+$137.23
成交量
$12,768.94
持倉數
Nothin'HereOverNothin'Here+1
NI3
NiK0k0k0k
事件損益
+$434.94
成交量
$11,932.60
持倉數
Nothin'HereNothin'HereNothin'Here
GT4
gt7238
事件損益
-$810.38
成交量
$9,825.89
持倉數
Saigon Warriors
A85
a8999
事件損益
+$346.90
成交量
$7,146.04
持倉數
Nothin'HereNothin'Here
VE6
VeryLucky888
事件損益
+$19.50
成交量
$4,611.31
持倉數
Saigon WarriorsNothin'HereNothin'Here+1
BA7
backbox
事件損益
-$85.15
成交量
$4,484.87
持倉數
Nothin'HereNothin'HereOver
3E8
0x3e83…5e31
事件損益
-$18.25
成交量
$3,650.80
持倉數
Saigon Warriors

常見問題

目前市場對「LoL: Nothin'Here vs Saigon Warriors (BO5) - LCP Promotion Playoffs」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Game Handicap: SGW (-1.5) vs Nothin'Here (+1.5) 以 8,600% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Game Handicap: SGW (-2.5) vs Nothin'Here (+2.5)(7,050%),以及 Game 4 Winner(5,100%)。該市場總成交量已達 $284.9K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

開始交易