LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs

$190.6K Vol
2026年11月7日
Active
機率趨勢
T1 81.5%
Karmine Corp 18.5%

核心摘要

根據「LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) 以壓倒性的 6,450% 獲勝機率主導市場;O/U 3.5 Games 以 6,050% 位居第二,Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 以 5,000% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $190.6K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) (6,450%):Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 6,450¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $48.9K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • O/U 3.5 Games (6,050%):作為最可行的替代選項,O/U 3.5 Games 保持著 6,050% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 6,050¢。
  • Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,000%):以 5,000% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,000%)、Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (5,000%),以及 Any Player Quadra Kill (5,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Any Player Penta Kill 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)6450.0%$48.9K6450¢-6350¢
2O/U 3.5 Games6050.0%$3.6K6050¢-5950¢
3Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
4Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
5Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
27Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
28Game 4 Winner4500.0%$14500¢-4400¢
29Game 2 Winner3050.0%$493050¢-2950¢
30Game 3 Winner3050.0%$213050¢-2950¢
31Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)3050.0%$72.1K3050¢-2950¢
32Game 1 Winner2950.0%$2202950¢-2850¢
33O/U 4.5 Games2550.0%$982550¢-2450¢
34Match Winner1850.0%$65.7K1850¢-1750¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the LoL Quarterfinal 2 match between Karmine Corp and T1 in the Worlds Playoffs, initially scheduled for November 4, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win the match against T1.

This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win the match against Karmine Corp.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 18, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 4, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Nov 2, 2026

  • 12:38 PM
    KHKhalilwang
    $1.00

    Bought 1.204817 T1 for LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.83

  • 12:37 PM
    0X0x11a8D3b6801Edd00d690EbF4eC732afFa3b724c0-1773573485402
    $5.00

    Bought 6.024094 T1 for LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.83

  • 12:24 PM
    NONolan7210
    $343.24

    Bought 413.542164 T1 for LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.83

  • 12:06 PM
    JXjxfei
    $100.00

    Bought 120.481923 T1 for LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.83

  • 11:56 AM
    303000to6666
    $1,050.95

    Bought 1266.204817 T1 for LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.83

  • 11:54 AM
    0X0x6ef863a55480192474Eff2154456FB13F692606E-1774980698711
    $1.00

    Bought 1.204817 T1 for LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.83

  • 11:49 AM
    SUsuntori
    $1.90

    Bought 10.555556 Karmine Corp for LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.18

  • 11:42 AM
    DEDest1n1-161
    $2.00

    Bought 11.111112 Karmine Corp for LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.18

  • 11:39 AM
    HUhunter-bobby
    $10.00

    Bought 12.048188 T1 for LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.83

  • 11:36 AM
    0X0x21529DE2D0f225b5DFeEA521901b7EA03D15B77f-1785139706847
    $1.00

    Bought 5.555556 Karmine Corp for LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.18

  • 11:36 AM
    GIgimmemymoneybackbro
    $420.00

    Bought 2333.333334 Karmine Corp for LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.18

  • 11:18 AM
    B3b3tboss
    $24.30

    Bought 135 Karmine Corp for LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.18

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

SK1
skadii
事件損益
-$2,246.26
成交量
$125,497.25
持倉數
T1T1Karmine Corp
GA2
GAMBLINGISCANCER69
事件損益
+$277.43
成交量
$30,053.11
持倉數
Karmine CorpKarmine Corp
FO3
ForgeLabs
事件損益
+$600.00
成交量
$30,000.00
持倉數
Karmine CorpKarmine Corp
GO4
Gooooooollllllllll
事件損益
+$700.00
成交量
$20,000.00
持倉數
Karmine Corp
VI5
vibing123
事件損益
+$400.60
成交量
$19,734.61
持倉數
Karmine CorpKarmine Corp
DR6
drunkdegenerate
事件損益
+$525.00
成交量
$15,000.00
持倉數
Karmine Corp
SL7
SlaaneshChosen
事件損益
-$188.94
成交量
$12,349.69
持倉數
T1
SD8
sdhyky
事件損益
-$10.00
成交量
$10,000.00
持倉數
T1

常見問題

目前市場對「LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) 以 6,450% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 O/U 3.5 Games(6,050%),以及 Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor(5,000%)。該市場總成交量已達 $190.6K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

開始交易