LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Frank Esports (BO5) - LCP Promotion Playoffs

$599.5K Vol
2026年11月11日
Active
機率趨勢
Frank Esports 60.5%
Ground Zero Gaming 39.5%

核心摘要

根據「LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Frank Esports (BO5) - LCP Promotion Playoffs」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Game 3 Winner 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;O/U 3.5 Games 以 9,995% 位居第二,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以 9,955% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $599.5K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Game 3 Winner (9,995%):Game 3 Winner 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $121.1K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • O/U 3.5 Games (9,995%):作為最可行的替代選項,O/U 3.5 Games 保持著 9,995% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,995¢。
  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (9,955%):以 9,955% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Both Teams Slay a Dragon 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Both Teams Slay a Dragon (9,955%)、Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (9,950%),以及 Any Player Quadra Kill (9,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Game 4 Winner 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Game 3 Winner9995.0%$121.1K9995¢-9895¢
2O/U 3.5 Games9995.0%$4759995¢-9895¢
3Both Teams Slay a Dragon9955.0%$1019955¢-9855¢
4Both Teams Slay a Dragon9955.0%$1019955¢-9855¢
5Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors9950.0%$509950¢-9850¢
6Any Player Quadra Kill9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
7Game 4 Winner6750.0%$4.7K6750¢-6650¢
8O/U 4.5 Games6650.0%$3876650¢-6550¢
9Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5055.0%$1005055¢-4955¢
10Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%$1005000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%$1015000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%$505000¢-4900¢
17Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%$1005000¢-4900¢
20Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%$1015000¢-4900¢
21Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%$505000¢-4900¢
22Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4800.0%$504800¢-4700¢
25Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4650.0%$504650¢-4550¢
26Match Winner4250.0%$95.4K4250¢-4150¢
27Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1000.0%$1001000¢-900¢
28Any Player Penta Kill1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
29Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50.0%$10050¢50¢
30Game 1 Winner5.0%$118.7K5¢95¢
31Game 2 Winner5.0%$257.5K5¢95¢
32Game Handicap: GZ (-1.5) vs Frank Esports (+1.5)5.0%$3755¢95¢
33Game Handicap: GZ (-2.5) vs Frank Esports (+2.5)5.0%$5135¢95¢
34Both Teams Slay a Dragon5.0%$1015¢95¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the LoL Regional Merit match between Ground Zero Gaming and Frank Esports in the LCP Promotion Playoffs, initially scheduled for November 11, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Ground Zero Gaming" if Ground Zero Gaming win the match against Frank Esports.

This market will resolve to "Frank Esports" if Frank Esports win the match against Ground Zero Gaming.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 25, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 11, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Nov 11, 2026

  • 10:10 AM
    LIliu002
    $231.63

    Bought 482.5625 Frank Esports for LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Frank Esports - Game 2 Winner at 0.48

  • 10:10 AM
    CAcalm919
    $1,000.50

    Bought 2041.8414 Frank Esports for LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Frank Esports - Game 2 Winner at 0.49

  • 10:10 AM
    BBBBback
    $10.00

    Bought 18.181817 Ground Zero Gaming for LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Frank Esports - Game 2 Winner at 0.55

  • 10:10 AM
    WAwap5205202
    $20.45

    Bought 43.510639 Frank Esports for LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Frank Esports - Game 2 Winner at 0.47

  • 10:10 AM
    LDldsmk
    $5.00

    Bought 9.803922 Ground Zero Gaming for LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Frank Esports - Game 2 Winner at 0.51

  • 10:10 AM
    LAlatvian.demon
    $539.54

    Bought 1057.93 Ground Zero Gaming for LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Frank Esports - Game 2 Winner at 0.51

  • 10:10 AM
    SHShaolinTEA
    $3.75

    Bought 7.352942 Ground Zero Gaming for LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Frank Esports - Game 2 Winner at 0.51

  • 10:09 AM
    ASasdkfjask
    $40.00

    Bought 76.923077 Ground Zero Gaming for LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Frank Esports - Game 2 Winner at 0.52

  • 10:09 AM
    LIliugong1
    $17.11

    Bought 34.918368 Frank Esports for LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Frank Esports - Game 2 Winner at 0.49

  • 10:09 AM
    SUsuntori
    $1.90

    Bought 3.877552 Frank Esports for LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Frank Esports - Game 2 Winner at 0.49

  • 10:09 AM
    NInikon73
    $2.38

    Bought 4.666667 Ground Zero Gaming for LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Frank Esports - Game 2 Winner at 0.51

  • 10:09 AM
    MHmhlacroux
    $100.00

    Bought 196.078432 Ground Zero Gaming for LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Frank Esports - Game 2 Winner at 0.51

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

AN1
antec
事件損益
-$5.60
成交量
$1,296.86
持倉數
Ground Zero GamingFrank EsportsFrank Esports+1
NI2
nigiri99
事件損益
+$12.14
成交量
$1,235.00
持倉數
Frank Esports
1B3
0x1Bae…2374
事件損益
-$5.19
成交量
$1,213.47
持倉數
Ground Zero Gaming
DU4
dudunpan
事件損益
+$10.30
成交量
$896.42
持倉數
Frank EsportsFrank EsportsFrank Esports+2
BA5
backbox
事件損益
-$0.73
成交量
$719.89
持倉數
Frank EsportsFrank Esports
9E6
0x9e3e…9396
事件損益
-$21.22
成交量
$623.49
持倉數
Ground Zero GamingFrank Esports
387
38791873984189
事件損益
+$0.02
成交量
$551.80
持倉數
Frank EsportsGround Zero GamingFrank Esports
BI8
biying88888
事件損益
-$4.68
成交量
$512.00
持倉數
Ground Zero Gaming

常見問題

目前市場對「LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Frank Esports (BO5) - LCP Promotion Playoffs」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Game 3 Winner 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 O/U 3.5 Games(9,995%),以及 Both Teams Slay a Dragon(9,955%)。該市場總成交量已達 $599.5K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

開始交易