LoL: FENNEL vs Nothin'Here (BO5) - LCP Promotion Playoffs

$797.6K Vol
2026年11月10日
Active
機率趨勢
Nothin'Here 100.0%
FENNEL 0.1%

核心摘要

根據「LoL: FENNEL vs Nothin'Here (BO5) - LCP Promotion Playoffs」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以 9,995% 位居第二,Any Player Quadra Kill 以 9,950% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $797.6K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (9,995%):Both Teams Slay a Dragon 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (9,995%):作為最可行的替代選項,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 保持著 9,995% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,995¢。
  • Any Player Quadra Kill (9,950%):以 9,950% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Any Player Quadra Kill 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Game 4 Winner (5,050%)、Any Player Quadra Kill (5,000%),以及 Any Player Penta Kill (5,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Both Teams Slay a Dragon9995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
2Both Teams Slay a Dragon9995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
3Any Player Quadra Kill9950.0%—9950¢-9850¢
4Game 4 Winner5050.0%$1.9K5050¢-4950¢
5Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Any Player Penta Kill50.0%—50¢50¢
18Any Player Quadra Kill50.0%—50¢50¢
19Any Player Penta Kill50.0%—50¢50¢
20Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50.0%—50¢50¢
21Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50.0%—50¢50¢
22Both Teams Slay a Dragon45.0%—45¢55¢
23Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor25.0%—25¢75¢
24Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors25.0%—25¢75¢
25Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor25.0%—25¢75¢
26Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors25.0%—25¢75¢
27Game 1 Winner5.0%$116.4K5¢95¢
28Game 2 Winner5.0%$195.4K5¢95¢
29Game 3 Winner5.0%$264.1K5¢95¢
30Match Winner5.0%$199.2K5¢95¢
31O/U 3.5 Games5.0%$2.7K5¢95¢
32O/U 4.5 Games5.0%$3.5K5¢95¢
33Game Handicap: FNL (-1.5) vs Nothin'Here (+1.5)5.0%$10.7K5¢95¢
34Game Handicap: FNL (-2.5) vs Nothin'Here (+2.5)5.0%$3.7K5¢95¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the LoL Quarterfinal 1 match between FENNEL and Nothin'Here in the LCP Promotion Playoffs, initially scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "FENNEL" if FENNEL win the match against Nothin'Here.

This market will resolve to "Nothin'Here" if Nothin'Here win the match against FENNEL.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 24, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Nov 9, 2026

  • 11:22 PM
    VIvictorlt
    $3.00

    Bought 4.615385 Under for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.65

  • 11:17 PM
    GOGoodx999
    $8.57

    Sold 142.85 NothinHere for LoL: FENNEL vs Nothin'Here (BO5) - LCP Promotion Playoffs at 0.06

  • 10:57 PM
    COColdBlooded
    $5.68

    Bought 40.58 NothinHere for Game Handicap: FNL (-1.5) vs Nothin'Here (+1.5) at 0.14

  • 10:57 PM
    HYhypernarwhal
    $1.00

    Bought 6.666667 NothinHere for Game Handicap: FNL (-1.5) vs Nothin'Here (+1.5) at 0.15

  • 10:57 PM
    WIwildtapir
    $1.00

    Bought 6.666667 NothinHere for Game Handicap: FNL (-1.5) vs Nothin'Here (+1.5) at 0.15

  • 10:57 PM
    ——
    $1.00

    Bought 6.666667 NothinHere for Game Handicap: FNL (-1.5) vs Nothin'Here (+1.5) at 0.15

  • 10:53 PM
    MUMultiversos
    $10.00

    Bought 15.384614 Under for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.65

  • 10:51 PM
    GOGoodx999
    $10.00

    Bought 142.857143 NothinHere for LoL: FENNEL vs Nothin'Here (BO5) - LCP Promotion Playoffs at 0.07

  • 10:51 PM
    HYhypernarwhal
    $4.70

    Bought 5 FENNEL for LoL: FENNEL vs Nothin'Here (BO5) - LCP Promotion Playoffs at 0.94

  • 10:51 PM
    WIwildtapir
    $5.31

    Bought 5.648933 FENNEL for LoL: FENNEL vs Nothin'Here (BO5) - LCP Promotion Playoffs at 0.94

  • 10:51 PM
    X2x2e3218b105f4ce606342a31b2cc35537afd91b5d
    $4.70

    Bought 5 FENNEL for LoL: FENNEL vs Nothin'Here (BO5) - LCP Promotion Playoffs at 0.94

  • 10:51 PM
    ——
    $1.00

    Bought 1.063816 FENNEL for LoL: FENNEL vs Nothin'Here (BO5) - LCP Promotion Playoffs at 0.94

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

CO1
ColdBlooded
事件損益
-$53,638.74
成交量
$112,816.42
持倉數
FENNELFENNELFENNEL+3
JA2
Jackenxand
事件損益
+$38.22
成交量
$32,188.38
持倉數
Nothin'HereNothin'Here
MA3
Malfunction.
事件損益
+$153.31
成交量
$30,003.41
持倉數
Nothin'HereNothin'Here
MA4
mamamiyaXD
事件損益
-$81.80
成交量
$27,107.56
持倉數
FENNELFENNEL
NI5
NiK0k0k0k
事件損益
+$11,045.22
成交量
$14,081.05
持倉數
Nothin'HereNothin'HereNothin'Here
PL6
plusti
事件損益
-$449.90
成交量
$13,999.91
持倉數
Nothin'Here
XJ7
xjansfsa
事件損益
-$46.56
成交量
$11,667.30
持倉數
Nothin'Here
EH8
EH-1
事件損益
+$793.09
成交量
$11,499.46
持倉數
Nothin'HereNothin'HereFENNEL

常見問題

目前市場對「LoL: FENNEL vs Nothin'Here (BO5) - LCP Promotion Playoffs」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Both Teams Slay a Dragon(9,995%),以及 Any Player Quadra Kill(9,950%)。該市場總成交量已達 $797.6K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

開始交易