Ligue 1: 2027 Champion
核心摘要
根據「Ligue 1: 2027 Champion」的最新預測市場資料，交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前，Paris Saint-Germain 以壓倒性的 7,750% 獲勝機率主導市場；Monaco 以 850% 位居第二，Lille 以 505% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $345.6K，反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置，可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊：
🥇 第一梯隊：絕對領跑者
- Paris Saint-Germain (7,750%)：Paris Saint-Germain 目前擁有最高機率，深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 7,750¢，顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $87.8K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯隊：主要挑戰者
- Monaco (850%)：作為最可行的替代選項，Monaco 保持著 850% 的成真機率，其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 850¢。
- Lille (505%)：以 505% 的機率位列第三，市場對 Lille 持謹慎懷疑態度，除非勢頭轉變，否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊：長尾選項（合計約 0%）
在前三名之外，還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低，但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖：
- 替代選項：包括 Lens (365%)、Lyon (325%)，以及 Marseille (245%)。
- 投機成交：儘管統計機率偏低，像 Rennes 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解：
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes（成本） | 買入 No（成本） |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint-Germain | 7750.0% | $87.8K | 7750¢ | -7650¢ |
| 2 | Monaco | 850.0% | $28.9K | 850¢ | -750¢ |
| 3 | Lille | 505.0% | $25.1K | 505¢ | -405¢ |
| 4 | Lens | 365.0% | $28.8K | 365¢ | -265¢ |
| 5 | Lyon | 325.0% | $26.7K | 325¢ | -225¢ |
| 6 | Marseille | 245.0% | $43.1K | 245¢ | -145¢ |
| 7 | Rennes | 205.0% | $20.6K | 205¢ | -105¢ |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 65.0% | $23.0K | 65¢ | 35¢ |
| 9 | Paris FC | 50.0% | $14.6K | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 10 | Angers | 5.0% | $3.9K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 11 | Auxerre | 5.0% | $3.3K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 12 | Brest | 5.0% | $4.2K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 13 | Le Havre | 5.0% | $3.2K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 14 | Nice | 5.0% | $10.7K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 15 | Toulouse | 5.0% | $3.2K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 16 | Lorient | 5.0% | $3.2K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 17 | Troyes | 5.0% | $11.1K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 18 | Le Mans | 5.0% | $4.1K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
裁決規則
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship per the rules of Ligue 1 (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from Ligue 1; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Sep 7, 2026
- 10:05 PMSHshoobadooba18$0.11
Sold 0.53 No for Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? at 0.21
- 10:04 PMPApablomaresk$200.00
Bought 256.410254 Yes for Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? at 0.78
- 10:04 PMSHshoobadooba18$6.32
Bought 8 Yes for Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? at 0.79
- 09:25 PM0X0x2F5057A272D5D2DAeCc622055037c21879d163a7-1784668294400$16.12
Sold 20.93 Yes for Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? at 0.77
- 07:39 PMHJHjklm$5.11
Bought 56.8 Yes for Will Monaco win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? at 0.09
- 07:38 PMDOdonthackme$5.81
Bought 6.050139 No for Will Lille win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? at 0.96
- 07:38 PM——$5.44
Bought 5.44 No for Will Paris FC win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? at 1
- 07:38 PMLULucerys$6.00
Bought 6 No for Will Paris FC win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? at 1
- 07:38 PM——$5.39
Bought 5.44 No for Will Strasbourg win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? at 0.99
- 07:38 PMDOdonthackme$6.00
Bought 6.056333 No for Will Strasbourg win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? at 0.99
- 07:38 PMLULucerys$5.94
Bought 6 No for Will Strasbourg win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? at 0.99
- 07:38 PM——$5.33
Bought 5.44 No for Will Rennes win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? at 0.98
正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包
常見問題
目前市場對「Ligue 1: 2027 Champion」的共識是什麼？
截至最新更新，Paris Saint-Germain 以 7,750% 的獲勝機率領跑，其次是 Monaco（850%），以及 Lille（505%）。該市場總成交量已達 $345.6K，顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。