LALIGA: 2027 Champion

$5.3M Vol
2027年5月31日
Active
機率趨勢
Barcelona 66.5%
Real Madrid 31.5%
Atlético Madrid 2.1%
Betis 0.4%
Villarreal 0.3%

核心摘要

根據「LALIGA: 2027 Champion」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Barcelona 以壓倒性的 6,650% 獲勝機率主導市場;Real Madrid 以 3,150% 位居第二,Atlético Madrid 以 205% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $5.3M,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Barcelona (6,650%):Barcelona 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 6,650¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $333.9K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Real Madrid (3,150%):作為最可行的替代選項,Real Madrid 保持著 3,150% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 3,150¢。
  • Atlético Madrid (205%):以 205% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Atlético Madrid 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Betis (35%)、Villarreal (25%),以及 Alavés (15%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Athletic Bilbao 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Barcelona6650.0%$333.9K6650¢-6550¢
2Real Madrid3150.0%$478.4K3150¢-3050¢
3Atlético Madrid205.0%$336.9K205¢-105¢
4Betis35.0%$161.9K35¢65¢
5Villarreal25.0%$305.9K25¢75¢
6Alavés15.0%$308.3K15¢85¢
7Athletic Bilbao15.0%$218.4K15¢85¢
8Celta Vigo15.0%$273.9K15¢85¢
9Espanyol15.0%$260.0K15¢85¢
10Getafe15.0%$270.8K15¢85¢
11Osasuna15.0%$264.2K15¢85¢
12Rayo Vallecano15.0%$275.9K15¢85¢
13Real Sociedad15.0%$241.2K15¢85¢
14Sevilla15.0%$286.7K15¢85¢
15Valencia15.0%$293.8K15¢85¢
16Levante15.0%$258.3K15¢85¢
17Racing Santander15.0%$347.4K15¢85¢
18Deportivo La Coruña15.0%$278.3K15¢85¢
19Elche5.0%$66.5K95¢
20Málaga5.0%$65.2K95¢
21Team C5.0%$3.2K95¢

裁決規則

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship per the rules of LALIGA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026-27 LALIGA season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from LALIGA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Sep 8, 2026

  • 07:31 AM
    MTmt6eu55w
    $5.17

    Bought 5.28 No for Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? at 0.98

  • 07:21 AM
    $1.96

    Bought 2.925372 Yes for Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? at 0.67

  • 07:20 AM
    $0.75

    Sold 1.13 Yes for Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? at 0.66

  • 07:08 AM
    PEperddiccas
    $200.00

    Bought 625 Yes for Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? at 0.32

  • 06:57 AM
    MEmerod
    $10.25

    Bought 10.25 No for Will Deportivo La Coruña win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? at 1

  • 06:57 AM
    MEmerod
    $10.25

    Bought 10.25 No for Will Levante win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? at 1

  • 06:57 AM
    MEmerod
    $10.25

    Bought 10.25 No for Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? at 1

  • 06:57 AM
    MEmerod
    $10.25

    Bought 10.25 No for Will Celta Vigo win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? at 1

  • 06:57 AM
    MEmerod
    $10.05

    Bought 10.25 No for Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? at 0.98

  • 06:57 AM
    MEmerod
    $10.25

    Bought 10.25 No for Will Racing Santander win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? at 1

  • 06:57 AM
    MEmerod
    $10.25

    Bought 10.25 No for Will Villarreal win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? at 1

  • 06:57 AM
    MEmerod
    $10.25

    Bought 10.25 No for Will Valencia win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? at 1

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

A51
0xa5ef…2966
事件損益
+$3,543,252.88
成交量
$3,757,426.17
持倉數
NoNoNo+15
Q92
q9s7c73jdkke389
事件損益
+$915.01
成交量
$1,760,690.81
持倉數
YesYesYes+9
TI3
TimeTraveler
事件損益
-$156.77
成交量
$328,917.88
持倉數
YesYesYes+5
BA4
BabyGroot
事件損益
+$119.53
成交量
$235,625.87
持倉數
YesYesYes
LE5
leegunner
事件損益
-$136.78
成交量
$186,428.77
持倉數
YesYesYes
MA6
Marcoli
事件損益
+$20,725.41
成交量
$143,896.84
持倉數
Yes
FO7
foxy.
事件損益
-$5,450.51
成交量
$77,408.22
持倉數
YesYes
TH8
thefakenick
事件損益
-$2,068.02
成交量
$61,948.01
持倉數
NoYesYes+1

常見問題

目前市場對「LALIGA: 2027 Champion」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Barcelona 以 6,650% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Real Madrid(3,150%),以及 Atlético Madrid(205%)。該市場總成交量已達 $5.3M,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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