
LALIGA: 2027 Champion
核心摘要
根據「LALIGA: 2027 Champion」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Barcelona 以壓倒性的 6,650% 獲勝機率主導市場;Real Madrid 以 3,150% 位居第二,Atlético Madrid 以 205% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $5.3M,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Barcelona (6,650%):Barcelona 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 6,650¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $333.9K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Real Madrid (3,150%):作為最可行的替代選項,Real Madrid 保持著 3,150% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 3,150¢。
- Atlético Madrid (205%):以 205% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Atlético Madrid 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 Betis (35%)、Villarreal (25%),以及 Alavés (15%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Athletic Bilbao 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 6650.0% | $333.9K | 6650¢ | -6550¢ |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 3150.0% | $478.4K | 3150¢ | -3050¢ |
| 3 | Atlético Madrid | 205.0% | $336.9K | 205¢ | -105¢ |
| 4 | Betis | 35.0% | $161.9K | 35¢ | 65¢ |
| 5 | Villarreal | 25.0% | $305.9K | 25¢ | 75¢ |
| 6 | Alavés | 15.0% | $308.3K | 15¢ | 85¢ |
| 7 | Athletic Bilbao | 15.0% | $218.4K | 15¢ | 85¢ |
| 8 | Celta Vigo | 15.0% | $273.9K | 15¢ | 85¢ |
| 9 | Espanyol | 15.0% | $260.0K | 15¢ | 85¢ |
| 10 | Getafe | 15.0% | $270.8K | 15¢ | 85¢ |
| 11 | Osasuna | 15.0% | $264.2K | 15¢ | 85¢ |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 15.0% | $275.9K | 15¢ | 85¢ |
| 13 | Real Sociedad | 15.0% | $241.2K | 15¢ | 85¢ |
| 14 | Sevilla | 15.0% | $286.7K | 15¢ | 85¢ |
| 15 | Valencia | 15.0% | $293.8K | 15¢ | 85¢ |
| 16 | Levante | 15.0% | $258.3K | 15¢ | 85¢ |
| 17 | Racing Santander | 15.0% | $347.4K | 15¢ | 85¢ |
| 18 | Deportivo La Coruña | 15.0% | $278.3K | 15¢ | 85¢ |
| 19 | Elche | 5.0% | $66.5K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 20 | Málaga | 5.0% | $65.2K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 21 | Team C | 5.0% | $3.2K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
裁決規則
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship per the rules of LALIGA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026-27 LALIGA season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from LALIGA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Sep 8, 2026
- 07:31 AMMTmt6eu55w$5.17
Bought 5.28 No for Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? at 0.98
- 07:21 AM——$1.96
Bought 2.925372 Yes for Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? at 0.67
- 07:20 AM——$0.75
Sold 1.13 Yes for Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? at 0.66
- 07:08 AMPEperddiccas$200.00
Bought 625 Yes for Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? at 0.32
- 06:57 AMMEmerod$10.25
Bought 10.25 No for Will Deportivo La Coruña win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? at 1
- 06:57 AMMEmerod$10.25
Bought 10.25 No for Will Levante win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? at 1
- 06:57 AMMEmerod$10.25
Bought 10.25 No for Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? at 1
- 06:57 AMMEmerod$10.25
Bought 10.25 No for Will Celta Vigo win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? at 1
- 06:57 AMMEmerod$10.05
Bought 10.25 No for Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? at 0.98
- 06:57 AMMEmerod$10.25
Bought 10.25 No for Will Racing Santander win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? at 1
- 06:57 AMMEmerod$10.25
Bought 10.25 No for Will Villarreal win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? at 1
- 06:57 AMMEmerod$10.25
Bought 10.25 No for Will Valencia win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? at 1
正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包
常見問題
目前市場對「LALIGA: 2027 Champion」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Barcelona 以 6,650% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Real Madrid(3,150%),以及 Atlético Madrid(205%)。該市場總成交量已達 $5.3M,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
