
M15 Fergana: Aristarkh Safonov vs Akmal Arabdjanov
核心摘要
根據「M15 Fergana: Aristarkh Safonov vs Akmal Arabdjanov」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Aristarkh Safonov 以壓倒性的 5,000% 獲勝機率主導市場;Akmal Arabdjanov 以 5,000% 位居第二。該市場的下注量已達 —,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Aristarkh Safonov (5,000%):Aristarkh Safonov 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 5,000¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Akmal Arabdjanov (5,000%):作為最可行的替代選項,Akmal Arabdjanov 保持著 5,000% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,000¢。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aristarkh Safonov | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 2 | Akmal Arabdjanov | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
裁決規則
This market refers to the tennis match between Aristarkh Safonov and Akmal Arabdjanov in the M15 Fergana, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 3:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Aristarkh Safonov' if Aristarkh Safonov advances against Akmal Arabdjanov.
This market will resolve to 'Akmal Arabdjanov' if Akmal Arabdjanov advances against Aristarkh Safonov.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
常見問題
目前市場對「M15 Fergana: Aristarkh Safonov vs Akmal Arabdjanov」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Aristarkh Safonov 以 5,000% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Akmal Arabdjanov(5,000%)。該市場總成交量已達 —,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
