Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B

$655.5K Vol
2026年11月11日
Active
機率趨勢
PlayTime 75.5%
Xipto Esports 24.5%

核心摘要

根據「Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,O/U 2.5 Games 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? 以 9,000% 位居第二,Ends in Daytime 以 9,000% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $655.5K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%):O/U 2.5 Games 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $426 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? (9,000%):作為最可行的替代選項,Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? 保持著 9,000% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,000¢。
  • Ends in Daytime (9,000%):以 9,000% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Ends in Daytime 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? (9,000%)、Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 3? (5,000%),以及 Both Teams Beat Roshan (5,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Any Player Ultra Kill 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1O/U 2.5 Games9995.0%$4269995¢-9895¢
2Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
3Ends in Daytime9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
4Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
5Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 3?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Any Player Rampage5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Ends in Daytime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Rampage5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Match Winner2450.0%$178.2K2450¢-2350¢
15Both Teams Destroy Barracks1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
16Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?1000.0%$101000¢-900¢
17Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
18Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2?1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
19Game Handicap: PlayTime (-1.5) vs Xipto Esports (+1.5)50.0%$8150¢50¢
20Game 2 Winner5.0%$217.3K5¢95¢
21Game Handicap: XE (-1.5) vs PlayTime (+1.5)5.0%$1215¢95¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Xipto Esports and PlayTime in the 1win Essence Play-in Group B, initially scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Xipto Esports" if Xipto Esports win the match against PlayTime.

This market will resolve to "PlayTime" if PlayTime win the match against Xipto Esports.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 24, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 10, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Nov 10, 2026

  • 12:40 PM
    LELeDbenef
    $2.35

    Bought 5 Xipto Esports for Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B at 0.47

  • 12:35 PM
    SHShaolinTEA
    $21.52

    Bought 39.851852 PlayTime for Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B at 0.54

  • 12:34 PM
    MUMuqiang6215
    $4.86

    Bought 9 PlayTime for Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B at 0.54

  • 12:32 PM
    ——
    $2.00

    Bought 3.703704 PlayTime for Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B at 0.54

  • 12:32 PM
    OMomnibus-076daa
    $109.00

    Bought 201.851852 PlayTime for Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B at 0.54

  • 12:32 PM
    CAcaiopaiN
    $20.00

    Bought 37.037036 PlayTime for Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B at 0.54

  • 12:31 PM
    SPspartachio
    $3,333.00

    Bought 6172.222223 PlayTime for Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B at 0.54

  • 12:31 PM
    0X0xc8D9C0Df291315f2184eCdaB4ED8247618aCdF36-1768237865742
    $81.00

    Bought 150 PlayTime for Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B at 0.54

  • 12:31 PM
    DAdavigrulke
    $13.07

    Bought 24.203704 PlayTime for Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B at 0.54

  • 12:31 PM
    BIbijingluomantike
    $120.00

    Bought 222.222223 PlayTime for Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B at 0.54

  • 12:31 PM
    TItitopss
    $11.20

    Bought 20.740741 PlayTime for Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B at 0.54

  • 12:31 PM
    NANatoAlfista
    $144.72

    Bought 268 PlayTime for Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B at 0.54

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

VP1
VPenguin
事件損益
-$11,008.16
成交量
$27,276.90
持倉數
Xipto Esports
F32
0xf3ce…a57a
事件損益
+$8,942.06
成交量
$22,713.36
持倉數
PlayTime
KE3
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
事件損益
-$3,915.13
成交量
$22,681.26
持倉數
Xipto EsportsXipto Esports
PI4
PIKALEVSKIY-MONSTR
事件損益
-$7,441.96
成交量
$20,499.65
持倉數
Xipto Esports
E15
0xE16D…0592
事件損益
+$7,381.72
成交量
$19,146.09
持倉數
PlayTimePlayTime
HA6
handandfacetatto
事件損益
+$7.94
成交量
$12,893.06
持倉數
PlayTime
GA7
GaoJin-GamblingGod
事件損益
+$4,723.97
成交量
$11,728.80
持倉數
PlayTime
SP8
spartachio
事件損益
-$2,151.29
成交量
$11,616.21
持倉數
PlayTimeXipto Esports

常見問題

目前市場對「Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,O/U 2.5 Games 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?(9,000%),以及 Ends in Daytime(9,000%)。該市場總成交量已達 $655.5K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

開始交易