Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B

$474.5K Vol
2026年11月11日
Active
機率趨勢
LEGION 100.0%
Xipto Esports 0.1%

核心摘要

根據「Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Game 2 Winner 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;O/U 2.5 Games 以 9,995% 位居第二,Ends in Daytime 以 9,995% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $474.5K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Game 2 Winner (9,995%):Game 2 Winner 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $181.2K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%):作為最可行的替代選項,O/U 2.5 Games 保持著 9,995% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,995¢。
  • Ends in Daytime (9,995%):以 9,995% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Ends in Daytime 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Both Teams Beat Roshan (5,000%)、Both Teams Destroy Barracks (5,000%),以及 Any Player Ultra Kill (5,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Any Player Rampage 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Game 2 Winner9995.0%$181.2K9995¢-9895¢
2O/U 2.5 Games9995.0%$5519995¢-9895¢
3Ends in Daytime9995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
4Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
5Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Any Player Rampage5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?50.0%—50¢50¢
9Match Winner5.0%$220.1K5¢95¢
10Game Handicap: LEGION (-1.5) vs Xipto Esports (+1.5)5.0%$3885¢95¢
11Both Teams Beat Roshan5.0%—5¢95¢
12Both Teams Destroy Barracks5.0%—5¢95¢
13Any Player Ultra Kill5.0%—5¢95¢
14Any Player Rampage5.0%—5¢95¢
15Ends in Daytime5.0%—5¢95¢
16Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?5.0%—5¢95¢
17Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?5.0%—5¢95¢
18Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?5.0%—5¢95¢
19Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2?5.0%—5¢95¢
20Game Handicap: XE (-1.5) vs LEGION (+1.5)5.0%—5¢95¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Xipto Esports and LEGION in the 1win Essence Play-in Group B, initially scheduled for November 11, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Xipto Esports" if Xipto Esports win the match against LEGION.

This market will resolve to "LEGION" if LEGION win the match against Xipto Esports.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 25, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 11, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Nov 11, 2026

  • 01:03 PM
    MRmr.nikto
    $429.33

    Sold 429.33 LEGION for Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B at 1

  • 01:02 PM
    ——
    $50.00

    Sold 50 LEGION for Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B at 1

  • 01:02 PM
    ——
    $185.41

    Sold 185.41 LEGION for Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B at 1

  • 12:57 PM
    QUquiero
    $69.44

    Sold 69.44 LEGION for Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B at 1

  • 12:57 PM
    ——
    $236.92

    Sold 236.92 LEGION for Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B at 1

  • 12:56 PM
    YOyoooogo
    $290.98

    Sold 290.98 Xipto Esports for Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs LEGION - Game 2 Winner at 1

  • 12:54 PM
    FUfuturewalker9
    $128.20

    Sold 128.2 LEGION for Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B at 1

  • 12:53 PM
    0X0x2fdfe020f3900AFc676Ce7BEc4Af6f11A5d55A4D-1778327440814
    $58.16

    Sold 58.16 LEGION for Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B at 1

  • 12:53 PM
    0X0x7FfD66b4F6e05C189121b9C4715B48c8fa5C08Fa-1778424760882
    $60.60

    Sold 60.6 LEGION for Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B at 1

  • 12:53 PM
    ZEZenhack
    $2,180.55

    Sold 2180.55 LEGION for Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B at 1

  • 12:52 PM
    GRGrimFable
    $1,338.15

    Sold 1338.15 LEGION for Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B at 1

  • 12:52 PM
    XIxiaochaochao
    $17.01

    Sold 17.01 LEGION for Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B at 1

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

E11
0xE16D…0592
事件損益
-$4,301.91
成交量
$63,600.33
持倉數
Xipto EsportsXipto Esports
SK2
Skritopoolniy
事件損益
-$11,667.81
成交量
$35,524.15
持倉數
LEGIONXipto Esports
ME3
Medo3D
事件損益
-$11,401.44
成交量
$34,288.51
持倉數
LEGIONXipto Esports
F34
0xf3ce…a57a
事件損益
-$5,638.41
成交量
$24,256.41
持倉數
Xipto EsportsXipto Esports
KE5
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
事件損益
+$9,248.76
成交量
$24,156.48
持倉數
LEGIONXipto Esports
IL6
ilushin
事件損益
+$12.00
成交量
$24,000.00
持倉數
Xipto EsportsLEGION
BA7
bajacaligold
事件損益
+$11.66
成交量
$23,329.08
持倉數
LEGION
GE8
GeorgeRe
事件損益
-$11,421.83
成交量
$20,295.23
持倉數
LEGIONXipto Esports

常見問題

目前市場對「Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Game 2 Winner 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 O/U 2.5 Games(9,995%),以及 Ends in Daytime(9,995%)。該市場總成交量已達 $474.5K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

開始交易